Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - July 9, 2025

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0

0 - 1

San Diego Padres

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			2.87	13-5
M.Kelly			4.23	3-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-182	o7.5-114	+120
Padres 1-2	u7.5	-1.5+152	u7.5-105	-144

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

July 09, 2025

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 7.5-105

Wind Wins Unders (Weather) Overall: 1068-726-81,60% (ROI:15%) Season:37-28-3,57% (ROI:9%)

SD -138

0.72u

SD -125

Taken on Novig for best price (Code "CEEJ" for free money on your 1st deposit) We saw this exact pitching matchup just a month ago, where Pivetta and the Padres beat up on Kelly and the Diamondbacks 8-2 in Arizona. Tonight, the Padres will be at home, and Nick Pivetta has been dominant against lefty bats this season. Almost the entire DBacks lineup is left-handed. Merrill Kelly will be on the mound for the DBacks, and he has not had good numbers vs this Padres team. Over the last 5 games vs San Diego, Kelly has allowed 4,4,3,5,4 earned runs. When these two teams played a month ago, Pivetta went 7IP and gave up 2 hits and 2 ER. Kelly went 5 IP and gave up 7 hits and 4 ER. The bullpen advantage goes to the Padres, who have a rested BP. The DBacks BP has been bad this season, and on top of that, they just used three arms yesterday and five over the last two days.

ARI +115

L.Arraez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130

0.77u

SD -130

Over 7.5-119

0.6u

Bet to 8 (-108)

Zerillo's MLB Predictions for Tuesday
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 8, 2025 UTC
Diamondbacks vs Padres: Over/Under Pick for Tuesday Night
Nick Martin•
Jul 8, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Padres' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26
Diamondbacks	82-79	40-41	42-38	36-52	45-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2
Diamondbacks	80-74-7	39-36-6	41-38-1	43-40-5	37-33-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35
Diamondbacks	80-82	43-38	37-43	45-43	34-38

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 8th	ARI	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	ARI -124
Jul 7th	TEX	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	SD -132
Jul 6th	TEX	L 4-7	-	O 8	TEX -125
Jul 4th	TEX	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	SD -112
Jul 2nd	@PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +126

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P		77	7	4	1
RJ.Curtiss, P		16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	1-3	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
3G.Perdomo, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5B.Alexander, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5B.Alexander, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.McCarthy, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8R.Grichuk, DH	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Thomas, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RN.Pivetta, P	104	5.2	7
RJ.Estrada, P	25	1	3
LA.Morejon, P	8	0.1	1
RJ.Adam, P	15	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	20	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-3	0	0	0
2L.Arraez, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
3M.Machado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4G.Sheets, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4B.Johnson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4B.Johnson, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, SS	1-2	0	0	0
7J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Brooks, DH	0-3	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-3	0	0	0