Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2023
Diamondbacks at Braves
11:20 pm • BSSOStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 3.81 | 12-4 | ||
![]() | 7.00 | 2-5 |
Diamondbacks at Braves Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks 48-47 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Braves 54-40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |

Truist ParkAtlanta
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Expert Picks
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 146-172-16 (+6.4u)
B.Elder o3.5 Ks-130
0.77u
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 16-15-1 (+1.2u)
L.Gurriel Jr. o1.5 Total Bases+102
0.75u
L.Gurriel Jr. o0.5 HR+625
0.1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 13-14-1 (-2.8u)
ARI +1.5-115
2u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 10.5-108
1u
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 95-119-4 (+0.7u)
ATL o5.5-125
0.8u
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 50-41-3 (+8.0u)
ATL -1.5-105
2.1u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 248-313-20 (-45.1u)
ATL -1.5-110
$1.10
R.Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-145
$1.00
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ARI +1.5-110
0.91u
POD
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 13-27-1 (-5.2u)
Over 10.5-102
0.5u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 21-108-4 (-5.9u)
Z.Davies o14.5 Outs-131
1.31u
B.Elder o3.5 Ks-135
1u
Capper Central
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL -150
$185.00
READ. Braves to NOT bat bottom 9. Prop bet via DRAFTKINGD
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 96-116-4 (-14.7u)
ARI +190
1.9u
FULL GAME, NOT F5 - Elder (4.41 SIERA/4.03 xERA) only around 1/3 run better than Davies (4.93 SIERA/4.63 xERA) overall this year - ATL biggest edge 122 wRC+ Hm/116 v RHP, ARI 101/104 - ARI def 16 Runs Prevetned better & ATL pen estimators nearly 1/2 run better L30 days. All ATL edges except defense, but none so large that they should be massive favorites. This team is over-valued right now.
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Previews & Analysis
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Notes
Keys to the Game
The Braves are 58-26 (.690) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Braves are 44-75 (.370) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Matchup Contrasts
Ronald Acuna has an OPS of .871 since last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Jose Ruiz has allowed an OPS of .788 (453 PAs) since last season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.
Matt Olson has an OPS of .850 since last season -- 15th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Jose Ruiz has allowed an OPS of .788 (453 PAs) since last season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (176/314) against Bryce Elder this season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (102/157) against Bryce Elder this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Braves are 27-22 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Braves' 45 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-44 | 23-22 | 27-22 | 37-31 | 12-13 | |
| 52-43 | 26-21 | 26-22 | 19-21 | 32-22 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44-44-6 | 17-24-4 | 27-20-2 | 34-29-5 | 9-15-1 | |
| 40-52-3 | 19-27-1 | 21-25-2 | 15-24-1 | 24-28-2 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54-40 | 27-18 | 27-22 | 42-26 | 11-14 | |
| 48-47 | 27-20 | 21-27 | 24-16 | 23-31 |
Last 5 Matchups
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Injury Updates

Diamondbacks Injuries
- Corbin BurnesSP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
- Blake WalstonSP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
- Tyler Locklear1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out
- Cristian MenaSP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Braves Injuries
- Joey WentzRP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
- Spencer SchwellenbachSP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
- AJ Smith-ShawverSP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Box Score
Diamondbacks Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 78 | 3.2 | 1 | 9 | |
![]() | 26 | 1.1 | 0 | 2 | |
![]() | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
![]() | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
![]() | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
![]() | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Braves Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 76 | 2.2 | 4 | 5 | |
![]() | 40 | 2.2 | 1 | 4 | |
![]() | 10 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | |
![]() | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
![]() | 13 | 0.1 | 1 | 2 | |
![]() | 5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
![]() | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds Comparison
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Diamondbacks at Braves Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks 48-47 | N/A | N/A |
Braves 54-40 | N/A | N/A |






































