Cubs vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 26, 2024
Cubs at Pirates
10:40 pm • SportsNet PTStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.25 | 11-12 | |
 |  | 3.27 | 12-8 |
Cubs at Pirates Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cubs 32-28 | -1.5+162 | o8.5-108 | -105 | |
Pirates 32-28 | +1.5-192 | u8.5-112 | -115 | |
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Cubs vs. Pirates Expert Picks
CeeJ Sports
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
M.Keller o1.5 BB (Live)-130
1u
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 34-20-1 (+5.0u)
PIT -112
1u
Prop Hunter
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases+120
1.2u
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 71-79-4 (-11.3u)
Under 8.5-105
1.05u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 338-364-14 (+34.2u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-105
$1.00
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 68-72-5 (+7.2u)
S.Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases+125
1.25u
Suzuki has been hitting well in these L2 series, accumulating 8 hits in his L6 games (4 of which were 2B or better). He’s also batting .289 away & .277 vs RHP & will see RHP Mitch Keller who he’s 4/7 against with a double & 0 K’s batting .571 in his career. Keller’s 6.75 ERA this month isn’t scary, & even if he pitches decent, PIT bullpen is spent (& not even good ranked 22nd). Great spot for Sukuki to stay hot.
Kyle Just Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
M.Keller u5.5 Ks-140
0.71u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 178-146-4 (+14.4u)
J.Taillon o17.5 Outs-130
0.77u
MJC Locks
Last 30d: 8-22-1 (-1.0u)
O.Cruz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130
1u
-L9 Starting RHP to go 3+ IP at PIT
-> 2, 2, 2, 4, 4, 3, 4, 4, 3 Runs Allowed
-Oneil Cruz has 2+ HRR in 13/L18 Home Games w/ 4+ PAs
-6 Batted Balls hit 106+ MPH exit velocity L4 Games
-Taillon has allowed 4+ Runs in 4/L5 Starts & is much worse to LHB
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 180-145-10 (+9.9u)
Over 8-115
0.43u
Flat to -119 or 8.5 (-101)
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 56-60-6 (-3.6u)
CHC -108
0.5u
Taillon & Keller very similar estimators, pitch modeling and batter splits - PIT 85/82/55 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, CHC 101/98/125 - CHC much better defense - CHC pen estimators nearly 1/2 run better L30 days - CHC better base running team.
PRO Insights
Cubs
CHC Insights
- Featured InsightThe Cubs have allowed just 3.2 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (6 games). The Pirates have scored just 2.1 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (7 games).
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Cubs vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis
Cubs vs. Pirates Notes
Keys to the Game
The Pirates are just 13-19 (.406) after a home win this season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Matchup Contrasts
Nico Hoerner has struck out in just 11% of PA's this season -- third lowest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Mitch Keller has a strikeout rate of just 18% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for sixth lowest among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (107 Total Bases / 198 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 -- third Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Cubs vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Pirates' 33 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Pirates vs. Cubs Injury Updates
Pirates Injuries
Cubs Injuries
- Tyler Austin1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
- Justin SteeleSP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Cubs vs. Pirates Box Score
Cubs Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 90 | 6.2 | 3 | 4 | |
 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
 | 8 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Pirates Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 97 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |
 | 71 | 2.2 | 3 | 8 | |
 | 44 | 1.2 | 0 | 6 | |
 | 16 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds Comparison
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Cubs at Pirates Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Cubs 32-28 | N/A | N/A |
Pirates 32-28 | N/A | N/A |