Reds vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 22, 2024

Reds at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Cincinnati Reds

30-28

0 - 7

Pittsburgh Pirates

32-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 30-28	+1.5-175	o7-115	+130
Pirates 32-28	-1.5+145	u7-105	-155

Thursday 10:40 p.m.

August 22, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 7.5-120

0.83u

Under 7.5-117

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

P.Skenes u1.5 Earned Runs-130

$1.00

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-110

N.Lodolo o16.5 Outs-110

1.1u

Fliff

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

0.71u

N.Lodolo o5.5 Ks-111

$10.00

Over 7-120

0.5u

Flat to -125 or 7.5 (-105)

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .225 (106-for-471) against Reds RPs with RISP this season -- fifth best in MLB. The Pirates are batting just .228 with RISP this season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Pirates have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last week -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Reds have struck out 26% over the last week -- third highest in MLB.

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Billy Ward's MLB NRFI Picks for Thursday
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Aug 22, 2024 UTC
Reds vs Pirates: The Over/Under Pick
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Aug 22, 2024 UTC
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The Pirates are just 13-19 (.406) after a home win this season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 32% this season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Yasmani Grandal has an OPS of just .608 since the 2022 season -- ninth worst among hitters with at least 675 total PA's-- second Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .574 (732 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 14th best among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (37/72) this month (3 games) -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- third Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (39 SO in 101 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Pirates' 33 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-29	16-17	15-12	18-17	12-12
Reds	33-25	15-14	18-11	11-7	22-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	33-25-2	22-11	11-14-2	23-12	9-13-2
Reds	36-21-1	20-9	16-12-1	12-6	24-15-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	32-28	18-15	14-13	21-14	10-14
Reds	30-28	15-14	15-14	11-7	19-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 21st	@TEX	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TEX +135
Aug 21st	@TEX	W 4-0	+1.5 W	U 8	PIT +120
Aug 20th	@TEX	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	TEX +135
Aug 18th	SEA	L 3-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SEA +150
Aug 17th	SEA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +130

Hunter Greene
SP
Greene is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	91	4.2	9	5
RJ.Junis, P	47	2.1	3	2
LJ.Wilson, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4T.Friedl, CF	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Rosario, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6S.Espinal, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Marte, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RP.Skenes, P	87	6	9
RB.Heller, P	32	2	4
RH.Stratton, P	18	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	1	0	1
3J.Bart, DH	0-3	1	0	1
4B.De La Cruz, RF	3-4	1	0	3
5O.Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0	1
6C.Joe, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	1-4	1	1	1
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	1	0	0