Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 2, 2025

S. Gray (8-2 ERA: 3.36) vs M. Keller (2-10 ERA: 3.90) We get a good pitching matchup here with Gray vs Keller, but Keller has had a lackluster offense behind him, offering no run support. In yesterday's game, the Cardinals failed to score a run and left a lot of guys on, but they were hitting the ball well, and I think they break through today, as they have all season when Gray is on the mound. The pitch mix vs Keller is favorable with the Cardinals lineup rocking a .459 wOBA against his arsenal. STL ranks 8 in wRC+ and wOBA vs RHP's this season.

Follow @PicksOffice on X for more.

Projecting this closer to 4 earned runs. The Mitch Keller side of the game will be the sweater side, but the Cardinals are sitting Willson Contreras and Nolan Arenado which should help us. Keller has struggled more against lefties this season but St. Louis is rolling out just five in their starting lineup. Keller is allowing a career-low 0.63 HR/9 this season and I’m hoping he can continue to limit homers here. On the other side, I’m going to continue trusting Sonny Gray. The Pirates have been on an offensive surge lately but I’m siding with Gray. His 2.96 FIP is backed by a 2.98 xFIP, and his 4.5% walk rate is the lowest in his career. I don’t see anything fluky in his numbers. I’m going to back both starting pitchers in this spot.