Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 2, 2025

Cardinals at Pirates

4:35 pm • FDSMW
0 - 5
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Mitch Keller logoM.KellerPittsburgh Pirates logo3.694-10
Sonny Gray logoS.GraySt. Louis Cardinals logo4.3810-5

Cardinals at Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals
55-56
-1.5
-1.5+135
o7.5-117
-131
Pirates
47-63
u8
+1.5-159
u7.5-103
+108
location pinWednesday 4:35 p.m.
July 02, 2025
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Cardinals vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 89-77-2 (+23.0u)
STL +170 (Live)
1u
CeeJ Sports
CeeJ Sports
Last 30d: 23-19-1 (+0.6u)
STL -125
1.25u
S. Gray (8-2 ERA: 3.36) vs M. Keller (2-10 ERA: 3.90) We get a good pitching matchup here with Gray vs Keller, but Keller has had a lackluster offense behind him, offering no run support. In yesterday's game, the Cardinals failed to score a run and left a lot of guys on, but they were hitting the ball well, and I think they break through today, as they have all season when Gray is on the mound. The pitch mix vs Keller is favorable with the Cardinals lineup rocking a .459 wOBA against his arsenal. STL ranks 8 in wRC+ and wOBA vs RHP's this season.
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 90-77-1 (+18.4u)
Over 8+100
1u
Follow @PicksOffice on X for more.
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 46-49-1 (-0.3u)
PIT o3.5-105
1u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 46-40-2 (-0.7u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-135
0.37u
Projecting this closer to 4 earned runs. The Mitch Keller side of the game will be the sweater side, but the Cardinals are sitting Willson Contreras and Nolan Arenado which should help us. Keller has struggled more against lefties this season but St. Louis is rolling out just five in their starting lineup. Keller is allowing a career-low 0.63 HR/9 this season and I’m hoping he can continue to limit homers here. On the other side, I’m going to continue trusting Sonny Gray. The Pirates have been on an offensive surge lately but I’m siding with Gray. His 2.96 FIP is backed by a 2.98 xFIP, and his 4.5% walk rate is the lowest in his career. I don’t see anything fluky in his numbers. I’m going to back both starting pitchers in this spot.
Lock & Cash
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 18-26-0 (-11.8u)
STL -120
1.5u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 183-191-5 (-4.3u)
M.Keller o2.5 Earned Runs-104
1u
STL -128
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 159-167-6 (-27.0u)
Under 8-118
1u
Cold offenses take under Overall: 809-573-61,59% (ROI:13%) Season:22-19-0,54% (ROI:2%) Under after 1-0 game Overall: 250-176-15,59% (ROI:13%) Season:13-5-0,72% (ROI:37%)
STL -120
1.2u
Away Fav off 1-0 Loss Overall: 71-30-0,70% (ROI:24%) Season:3-3-0,50% (ROI:-12%) away favs off a shutout Overall: 127-59-0,68% (ROI:18%) Season:10-2-0,83% (ROI:45%) Fade dogs off a home shutout win Overall: 212-88-0,71% (ROI:22%) Season:11-4-0,73% (ROI:28%)
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 73-72-3 (-12.1u)
STL -141
1u

Cardinals vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Cardinals vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Cardinals

Public

72%

Bets%

28%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
59-5133-2326-2811-2146-30
Cardinals
57-5430-2627-2822-3134-23

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates
42-63-523-30-319-33-212-2029-42-5
Cardinals
55-50-629-24-326-26-326-22-528-28-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
47-6331-2516-3814-1832-44
Cardinals
55-5632-2423-3227-2627-30

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 1stSTLW 1-0-1.5 LU 7PIT -155
Jun 30thSTLW 7-0+1.5 WU 8.5PIT -109
Jun 29thNYMW 12-1+1.5 WO 9PIT +124
Jun 28thNYMW 9-2+1.5 WO 9.5PIT +121
Jun 27thNYMW 9-1+1.5 WO 8.5PIT +120

Cardinals vs. Pirates Injury Updates

Cardinals Injuries

  • Nolan Arenado
    3B

    Arenado is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Nolan Gorman
    2B

    Gorman is out with back

    Out

Pirates Injuries

  • Johan Oviedo
    SP

    Oviedo is questionable with elbow

    Questionable

  • Endy Rodriguez
    1B

    Rodriguez is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jared Jones
    SP

    Jones is out with elbow

    Out

  • Spencer Horwitz
    1B

    Horwitz is questionable with wrist

    Questionable

Cardinals vs. Pirates Box Score
Cardinals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Sonny Gray logoRS.Gray, P786.164
Riley O'Brien logoRR.O'Brien, P200.211
Kyle Leahy logoRK.Leahy, P16120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Brendan Donovan logo1B.Donovan, 2B1-5000
Masyn Winn logo2M.Winn, SS0-4000
Alec Burleson logo3A.Burleson, 1B1-2000
Nolan Gorman logo4N.Gorman, DH0-4000
Lars Nootbaar logo5L.Nootbaar, LF1-3000
Thomas Saggese logo6T.Saggese, 3B0-4000
Jose Fermin logo7J.Fermin, RF1-4000
Pedro Pages logo8P.Pages, C1-3000
Yohel Pozo logo8Y.Pozo, PH1-1000
Victor Scott logo9V.Scott, CF0-3000
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Mitch Keller logoRM.Keller, P97770
Dennis Santana logoRD.Santana, P16100
Isaac Mattson logoRI.Mattson, P19110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Spencer Horwitz logo1S.Horwitz, 1B1-4001
Andrew McCutchen logo2A.McCutchen, DH1-3000
Bryan Reynolds logo3B.Reynolds, RF0-4000
Nick Gonzales logo4N.Gonzales, 2B1-3100
Oneil Cruz logo5O.Cruz, CF1-4100
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo6K.Hayes, 3B1-4100
Tommy Pham logo7T.Pham, LF2-4102
Henry Davis logo8H.Davis, C0-3000
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS1-3102

Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds Comparison

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Cardinals at Pirates Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Cardinals
55-56
o4-109
u4-116
Pirates
47-63
o3.5-108
u3.5-120