Cardinals vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2023

Cardinals at Giants

1:45 am • NBCS-BA

St. Louis Cardinals

11-12

0 - 4

San Francisco Giants

18-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Cobb			3.87	7-7
J.Montgomery			2.79	4-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 11-12	-1.5+155	o8-118	-105
Giants 18-6	+1.5-188	u8-105	-115

Tuesday 1:45 a.m.

April 25, 2023

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

SF -112

STL u4.5-130

0.77u

SF +105

2.1u

Over 8-110

1.1u

SF -100

SF +105

1.05u

I have the Giants as favored in this game with 53.3% win odds. Alex Cobb has looked lights out with his new slider, holding a 2.90 SIERA in four starts. He's letting up hard contact, but most of it is on the ground with a 59.0% ground-ball rate. He faces a super tough opposing offense, but I think he can do enough here to keep the Giants in it. Once you add in homefield, I feel comfortable giving them a slight edge in this one.

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The Cardinals are 10-59 (.145) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .118.

Willson Contreras has a groundball rate of 50% since last season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% against Alex Cobb since last season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Jordan Walker has a groundball rate of 58% this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% against Alex Cobb this season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cardinals	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cardinals	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cardinals	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	NYM	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9	SF +105
Apr 22nd	NYM	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SF -126
Apr 22nd	NYM	L 0-7	-1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -120
Apr 21st	NYM	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM +105
Apr 19th	@MIA	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	SF -110

Tom Murphy
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Murphy is out with back
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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Montgomery, P	107	6	6	0
RD. VerHagen, P	21	1	2	3
RJ.Hicks, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Nootbaar, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3N.Gorman, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Burleson, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6T.O'Neill, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7B.Donovan, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
8P.DeJong, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Edman, 2B	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Cobb, P		109	9	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Slater, DH	2-3	0	0	0
1J.Pederson, PH	0-0	1	0	0
1J.Pederson, DH	0-0	1	0	0
2T.Estrada, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Haniger, LF	0-2	0	0	1
4J.Davis, 3B	2-4	1	1	3
5M.Conforto, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6W.Flores, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6L.Wade, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6L.Wade, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
7D.Villar, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Yastrzemski, CF	2-4	1	0	0
9J.Bart, C	1-3	0	0	0
9B.Sabol, PR	0-1	1	0	0
9B.Sabol, C	0-1	1	0	0