Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 2, 2024

Cardinals at Brewers

6:10 pm • MLB Network
3 - 9
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Freddy Peralta logoF.PeraltaMilwaukee Brewers logo3.6811-9
Andre Pallante logoA.PallanteSt. Louis Cardinals logo3.788-8

Cardinals at Brewers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals
0-0
+1.5-149
o7.5-105
+142
Brewers
1-2
-1.5+124
u7.5-115
-170
location pinMonday 6:10 p.m.
September 02, 2024
American Family FieldMilwaukee
Cardinals vs. Brewers Expert Picks
Picks  Office
Picks Office
71d ago
Last 30d: 82-114-3 (-39.0u)
STL +150
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Cardinals have fared quite well as underdogs, compiling a 7-3 record in their last 10 such situations, putting recent performances into perspective. They have been feisty in the toughest matchups. Now, onto the pitching matchup, Andre Pallante has been in really good form lately, going 2-0 with a 2.29 ERA over his last three starts. What separates Pallante is his ability to limit damage, illustrated by his mere 1.17 WHIP over the stretch and his flyball-to-groundball ratio to help defend against extra-base hits. On the other hand, while Freddy Peralta is coming off a very strong August, his history against the Cardinals isn't as convincing, with a 4.90 ERA in 14 starts against St. Louis. He also hasn't had the most convincing season personally, including a no-decision after five innings against the Cardinals on August 22. Head-to-head matchups also favor St. Louis, which defeated Milwaukee two out of three times in their last series and shut them out when Peralta started. Recent success shows the Cardinals can effectively compete with the Brewers, even when Peralta starts for Milwaukee. The disparity in bullpens considerably tips the scales further in St. Louis' direction. The Cardinals boast a 3.41 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP out of the pen, which means there's always a strong arm available to hold a lead or at least keep the game within one run. Meanwhile, the Milwaukee bullpen has been bad of late. Offensively, the St. Louis Cardinals are in a good rhythm, posting a .284 batting average with a 1.262 OPS across their last 10 games. They have shown an ability to hit right-handed pitchers like Peralta, against whom they have posted a team batting average of .322. In contrast, the Brewers offense has not run on all cylinders, as demonstrated recently when they suffered a defeat to the Cincinnati Reds in which they only managed to attain a .154 batting average. Situationally, the Cardinals are highly motivated, fighting to stay above .500 and perhaps to make a late-season push. Momentum from a strong series against the Yankees included a dominant 14-7 win into this series. This would give them some kind of psychological edge, which, when put together with the recent performances, points to St. Louis having a good enough chance to come out top against Milwaukee.
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
71d ago
Last 30d: 27-52-0 (-18.2u)
P.Goldschmidt o0.5 Total Bases-135
1u
P.Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases+170
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
71d ago
Last 30d: 82-114-3 (-39.0u)
Under 7.5+100
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice First, we catch the head-to-head trends; the Under has cashed in 9 of the last 12 meetings in Milwaukee. If we look at the starting pitchers, then both Freddy Peralta and Andre Pallante enter in terrific form. Peralta has an outstanding 0.53 ERA in his last three starts, and his 0.94 WHIP is mainly because he can command the game effectively. Pallante isn't that far behind him with his 2.29 ERA and WHIP of 1.17 in that time frame, proving he's on one right now. Milwaukee's bullpen has been incredible, sporting a quality 3.30 ERA, which presents another level of confidence in keeping the game low-scoring. Also, an overall team ERA of 2.77 for the Brewers further indicates that their staff is pretty effective. Offensively, St. Louis doesn't have an overly high-scoring offense, averaging just 4.18 runs per game, putting them 23rd in MLB. Their OPS is .705, ranking 23rd, reflecting decidedly below-average production for the season thus far. The Cardinals' team ERA of 4.16 on the season seems around average, but given the form their starter is in and the limited amount of offense the Brewers have put up, that number should hold up quite well. In fact, consider the fact that Peralta can miss bats at a 27.9% strikeout rate, or that Pallante induces ground balls with the best of them; his ground ball rate is in the 98th percentile. Both are capable of negating opposing offenses well and often. Low average exit velocities they've allowed further indicate hard contact will be limited, thus taking away extra-base hits or home runs.
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
71d ago
Last 30d: 81-69-0 (+2.5u)
A.Pallante u17.5 Outs-135
1u
Pallante has been solid since becoming a full-time starter - but still under in 6/L11. Brutal spot vs the Brewers who are starting 8 guys with above avg pitches per PA (and the one who isn’t is Chourio, who has been red hot). Pallante also struggles to hit the zone, with a zone% in the bottom 25th percentile of all pitchers with 50+ IP. Brewers have the second lowest chase rate as a team. Brewers bats also back on the upswing.
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
71d ago
Last 30d: 26-38-0 (+2.5u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135
1.35u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
71d ago
Last 30d: 117-118-0 (+3.0u)
Under 4 (F5)-114
1.14u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
71d ago
Last 30d: 50-46-4 (+6.5u)
STL +145
3u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
71d ago
Last 30d: 155-167-1 (-2.9u)
Under 8-115
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
71d ago
Last 30d: 54-76-3 (-8.6u)
Under 8-110
0.5u
Flat to -116

PRO Insights

Cardinals logo

Cardinals

STL Insights
  • Cardinals logoCardinals left-handed hitters have struck out just 16% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB. Brewers have a strikeout rate of just 17% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.
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Brewers logo

Brewers

MIL Insights
  • Brewers logoOpponents are hitting just .216 (222-for-1,028) against Brewers RPs with RISP since last season -- best in MLB. The Cardinals are batting just .239 with RISP since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.
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Cardinals vs. Brewers Previews & Analysis

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Cardinals vs. Brewers Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Cardinals vs. Brewers Public Betting Percentages

12%

Bets%

88%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
87-7544-3743-3843-4843-26
Cardinals
80-8242-3938-4328-4951-33

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Brewers
81-70-1140-33-841-37-341-43-740-25-4
Cardinals
74-83-537-42-237-41-339-3834-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
93-6947-3446-3554-3738-31
Cardinals
83-7944-3739-4239-3843-41

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 1st@CINL 3-4-1.5 LU 9.5CIN -135
Aug 31st@CINW 5-4-1.5 LO 8.5MIL -132
Aug 30th@CINW 14-0+1.5 WO 9.5MIL +100
Aug 30th@CINW 5-4-1.5 LU 9MIL -118
Aug 29thSFW 6-0-1.5 WU 8.5MIL -130

Brewers vs. Cardinals Injury Updates

Brewers Injuries

  • Christian Yelich
    OF

    Yelich is out with back

    Out

  • Brandon Woodruff
    P

    Woodruff is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Robert Gasser
    P

    Gasser is out with elbow

    Out

Cardinals Injuries

  • Sonny Gray
    P

    Gray is out with arm

    Out

  • Willson Contreras
    C

    Contreras is out with finger

    Out

  • Drew Rom
    P

    Rom is out with biceps

    Out

Cardinals vs. Brewers Box Score
Cardinals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Andre Pallante logoRA.Pallante, P100535
Riley O'Brien logoRR.O'Brien, P350.214
Kyle Leahy logoRK.Leahy, P262.140
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Masyn Winn logo1M.Winn, SS0-4000
Alec Burleson logo2A.Burleson, DH0-3000
Nolan Arenado logo3N.Arenado, 3B0-4000
Brendan Donovan logo4B.Donovan, 2B2-3100
Paul Goldschmidt logo5P.Goldschmidt, 1B1-4000
Lars Nootbaar logo6L.Nootbaar, LF1-1000
Luken Baker logo6L.Baker, PH0-0001
Victor Scott logo6V.Scott, LF0-1000
Jordan Walker logo7J.Walker, RF0-4000
Pedro Pages logo8P.Pages, C2-4222
Michael Siani logo9M.Siani, CF0-3000
Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Freddy Peralta logoRF.Peralta, P1025.133
Bryan Hudson logoLB.Hudson, P331.220
Joe Ross logoRJ.Ross, P32240
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Brice Turang logo1B.Turang, 2B1-5000
Jackson Chourio logo2J.Chourio, LF1-2214
William Contreras logo3W.Contreras, C0-2000
Jake Bauers logo4J.Bauers, DH0-3100
Willy Adames logo5W.Adames, SS1-4113
Garrett Mitchell logo6G.Mitchell, CF1-4100
Rhys Hoskins logo7R.Hoskins, 1B1-3212
Sal Frelick logo8S.Frelick, RF1-4100
Joey Ortiz logo9J.Ortiz, 3B1-3100

Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds Comparison

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Cardinals at Brewers Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Cardinals
0-0
o3.5+109
u3.5-142
Brewers
1-2
o3.5-160
u3.5+124