Braves vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2024

Braves at Reds

10:40 pm • BSSO
5 - 6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Brandon Williamson logoB.WilliamsonCincinnati Reds logo3.770-0
Grant Holmes logoG.HolmesAtlanta Braves logo3.562-1

Braves at Reds Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves
0-2
-1.5+118
o9-105
-148
Reds
0-0
+1.5-140
u9-115
+124
location pinTuesday 10:40 p.m.
September 17, 2024
Great American Ball ParkCincinnati
Braves vs. Reds Expert Picks
YBK Picks.com
95d ago
Last 30d: 37-45-3 (-22.7u)
ATL -1-110
2u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
95d ago
Last 30d: 117-108-6 (+0.4u)
ATL -115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Braves enter this contest hot, having sustained much consistency, and their performance on Tuesdays has thus been remarkable. At 45-15 in its last 60 Tuesday games, Atlanta undoubtedly performs at its best on these midweek contests; thus, a trend that palpably goes hand-in-hand with the current momentum on the Braves' side. It is no doubt that the overall record of Atlanta stands tall with 81-69 against that of Cincinnati at 73-78, hence establishing a high disparity in the quality of the two opponents. Even the road performance of Atlanta carried a 42-33 record, outperforming the Reds' lousy 36-39 home mark to further punctuate how the Braves can handle the pressures of playing on the road. The key determinant should be the pitching in this contest, and Atlanta has a distinct advantage. The rotation for the Braves has been far more reliable throughout the season, with a 3.55 ERA against 4.07 for Cincinnati. This trend is further heightened in recent form, as Braves starters have pitched a 2.43 ERA in the last 10 games while Cincinnati's starters have struggled with a 4.58 ERA over that period. This gives the Braves an important advantage through the critical first innings. The bullpen for Atlanta is also much more stable, sporting a 3.12 ERA for the year to the Reds' 3.82, setting up the Braves very well to lock down any late-game lead. In terms of recent matchups, the bullpen of this Atlanta team has been far better, posting a 3.38 ERA to that of Reds' relievers at 4.18. In the case of runs prevention, again, the Braves stand right out. It speaks to their ability to keep the other team off of the board as they only allow an average of 3.63 runs per game, well-ahead of the the Reds' 4.72. That certainly plays out regarding critical pitching metrics like opponent batting average and WHIP, in which Atlanta's pitchers show better command and control over their Cincinnati counterparts at 0.227 versus 0.255 and 1.17 versus 1.33 respectively. The Braves staff also strikes out more in a 9-inning span than their opponents do, 9.5 to 8.8 for Cincinnati, and those numbers suggest that Atlanta's hurlers are better at overpowering the hitters, which could prove to be the difference here. They also matchup real well offensively, with a lefty on the mound especially, they've hit .254 away from home the entire season. Having both their arms and bats in a good position to click, Atlanta is set up perfectly for this game. Expect the great Tuesday trend - and the normally superior performance metrics - to carry them to a win here.
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
95d ago
Last 30d: 77-87-1 (-21.6u)
CIN +110 (F5)
1u
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
95d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
ATL -133 (F5)
0.38u
@Zerillo
ATL -137
0.5u
@Zerillo
VegasIsMyBitch
VegasIsMyBitch
95d ago
Last 30d: 34-33-2 (-1.6u)
ATL -1-113
1u
Sharp Action Play 🔪📈 Join our 25,000+ Movement! 🚀 https://discord.gg/house-of-degens Follow me on twitter 🐥 https://twitter.com/VegasIsMyBitchh
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
95d ago
Last 30d: 22-13-2 (+5.2u)
Over 8.5-118
0.5u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
95d ago
Last 30d: 52-48-1 (+13.8u)
B.Williamson u4.5 Ks+106
1.06u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
96d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Over 9-110
0.5u
Bet to -111
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
96d ago
Last 30d: 119-86-4 (+23.9u)
ATL o2.5 Team Total (F5)+104
1u
Sandy
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
96d ago
Last 30d: 107-106-4 (+5.9u)
ATL o2.5 Team Total (F5)+104
1.04u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
96d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
ATL -115
0.86u
Bet to -133; reduce beyond -122
ATL -114 (F5)
0.75u
Bet to -137; reduce beyond -127

PRO Insights

Braves logo

Braves

ATL Insights
  • Braves logoThe Braves scored three or more runs in an inning 125 times (9%) last season -- highest in MLB. Reds allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played last season -- fifth highest in MLB.
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Reds logo

Reds

CIN Insights
  • Reds logoThe Reds have allowed just 3.8 runs per game on the road this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (76 games). The Braves have scored just 4.0 runs per game at home this season -- fifth lowest in MLB (74 games).
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Braves vs. Reds Previews & Analysis

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Braves vs. Reds Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Braves vs. Reds Public Betting Percentages

66%

Bets%

34%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds
87-7540-4147-3433-3754-38
Braves
75-8735-4640-4160-7115-16

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Reds
73-81-835-40-638-41-238-29-335-52-5
Braves
58-94-1025-53-333-41-745-77-913-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds
77-8539-4238-4336-3441-51
Braves
89-7346-3543-3876-5513-18

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 15th@MINL 2-9+1.5 LO 9MIN +150
Sep 14th@MINW 11-1+1.5 WO 8.5CIN +125
Sep 14th@MINW 8-4+1.5 WO 8.5CIN +195
Sep 12th@STLL 1-6+1.5 LU 7.5STL +125
Sep 11th@STLL 1-2+1.5 WU 8STL +130

Braves vs. Reds Injury Updates

Braves Injuries

  • Chris Sale
    P

    Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.

    Out

  • Ronald Acuna
    OF

    Acuna is out for season with knee

    Out for Season

  • Austin Riley
    IF

    Riley is out with hand

    Out

  • Spencer Strider
    P

    Strider is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Reds Injuries

  • Jeimer Candelario
    IF

    Candelario is out with toe

    Out

  • Stuart Fairchild
    OF

    Fairchild is out with thumb

    Out

  • Matt McLain
    IF

    McLain is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Brandon Williamson
    P

    Williamson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Graham Ashcraft
    P

    Ashcraft is out with elbow

    Out

  • Andrew Abbott
    P

    Abbott is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Christian Encarnacion-Strand
    IF

    Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand

    Out

Braves vs. Reds Box Score
Braves Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Grant Holmes logoRG.Holmes, P78422
Jesse Chavez logoRJ.Chavez, P321.221
Pierce Johnson logoRP.Johnson, P311.112
Dylan Lee logoLD.Lee, P9120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Michael Harris logo1M.Harris, CF2-6111
Jorge Soler logo2J.Soler, RF1-4211
Marcell Ozuna logo3M.Ozuna, DH2-4100
Matt Olson logo4M.Olson, 1B1-3112
Ramon Laureano logo5R.Laureano, LF2-4001
Travis d'Arnaud logo6T.d'Arnaud, C1-4000
Whit Merrifield logo7W.Merrifield, 2B0-4000
Gio Urshela logo8G.Urshela, 3B1-4000
Jarred Kelenic logo8J.Kelenic, PH0-1000
Orlando Arcia logo9O.Arcia, SS2-5000
Eli White logo9E.White, PR0-0000
Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Brandon Williamson logoLB.Williamson, P481.113
Fernando Cruz logoRF.Cruz, P411.241
Carson Spiers logoRC.Spiers, P46301
Buck Farmer logoRB.Farmer, P200.220
Brent Suter logoLB.Suter, P30.100
Emilio Pagan logoRE.Pagan, P15110
Alexis Diaz logoRA.Diaz, P19120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jonathan India logo1J.India, 2B0-4000
Elly De La Cruz logo2E.De La Cruz, SS1-4100
Tyler Stephenson logo3T.Stephenson, C2-3101
Spencer Steer logo4S.Steer, LF1-3112
TJ Friedl logo5T.Friedl, CF0-4000
Ty France logo6T.France, 1B2-4100
Santiago Espinal logo7S.Espinal, DH1-4100
Jake Fraley logo8J.Fraley, RF1-3101
Noelvi Marte logo9N.Marte, 3B2-4001

Braves vs. Reds Odds Comparison

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Braves at Reds Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Braves
0-2
o4.5-130
u4.5+100
Reds
0-0
o3.5-135
u3.5+105