Athletics vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - August 27, 2024

. mlb under non conference no wind out Overall: 256-171-13,60% (ROI:15%) Season:8-5-1,62% (ROI:17%)

Bet to -117

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Spence has struggled in August to post a 0-3 record with a 5.57 ERA and be very hittable: 21 innings, .282 BAA. Coupled with his very high hard-hit rate at 41.0%, this suggests that hitters are making continued good contact, which will ultimately result in extra bases and perhaps runs. Closer inspection of his xSLG and xBA reveals further that batters will have good success off him:. This is going to be another bullpen game for the Reds, with Jakob Junis on the mound for this one too. Junis hasn't done much better, with an even higher hard-hit percentage, sitting at 42.2%, and an xSLG by of .469. His xBA is .282, and his xwOBA is .337, telling that he, too, is quite susceptible to the big hit which can really elevate those run totals. Junis is going to have a higher launch angle of 14.0°, which means he will have a higher chance of fly balls and line drives getting over the fence or into the gap—thus he raises the potential for scoring in this game. Some recent trends further fortify the case for the "over." Cincinnati has proven a good team for high-scoring games, hitting the "over" in 6 of their last 9. As favorites, they have gone an impressive 16-5-1 to the over in their last 22, some strong evidence of a pattern of either scoring heavily or allowing opponents to do similarly.