Pirates vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - March 28, 2024

Pirates at Marlins

8:10 pm • Sportsnet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

6 - 5

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			5.00	3-6
M.Keller			4.25	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-205	o7.5-110	+105
Marlins 0-0	u7.5	-1.5+170	u7.5-110	-125

Thursday 8:10 p.m.

March 28, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

M.Keller o4.5 Ks+102

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

0.37u

J.Triolo o0.5 Total Bases-114

$21.93

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

PIT +114

1.14u

Another quick start from the Pirates would not surprise. Keller is tough in April.

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

PIT +115

1.15u

PIT +105

$26.25

Under 7.5-113

$25.00

MIA -130

… home favs on opening day Overall: 31-7-0,82% (ROI:35%)

M.Keller u5.5 Ks-140

J.Luzardo o14.5 Outs-135

0.74u

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The Marlins were 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2023 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

45% of Nick Fortes strikeouts were looking last season -- highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. 35% of Mitch Keller strikeouts were looking last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Jack Suwinski struck out in 32% of PA's last season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Tanner Scott had a strikeout rate of 34% last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

40% of Jesus Luzardo's called strikeouts were elevated in the 2023 season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 91st Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 50% (181/361) against Jesus Luzardo on breaking pitches in the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 32% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 24th	NYM	W 5-1	-	-	-
Mar 23rd	@WSH	W 5-3	-	-	-
Mar 20th	NYM	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	NYM -116
Mar 19th	@HOU	L 3-3	-	-	-
Mar 19th	@STL	L 10-11	-	-	-

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	85	5.2	3	4
LJ.Fleming, P	1	0.1	0	0
RH.Stratton, P	8	0.2	1	0
LR.Borucki, P	14	1.1	2	0
LA.Chapman, P	8	1	1	0
RL.Ortiz, P	11	2	0	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Joe, RF	0-4	1	0	0
1C.Joe, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-5	1	1	2
2B.Reynolds, RF	2-5	1	1	2
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
4A.McCutchen, DH	0-5	0	0	1
5H.Davis, C	1-6	0	0	0
6O.Cruz, SS	1-5	1	1	1
7J.Triolo, 2B	1-6	0	0	1
8R.Tellez, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Olivares, PH	1-1	1	1	1
8E.Olivares, RF	1-1	1	1	1
8J.Suwinski, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Suwinski, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-5	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	85	5	8	2
RG.Soriano, P	24	0.1	1	0
LA.Nardi, P	15	0.2	2	2
RA.Bender, P	20	1	1	0
RS.Sanchez, P	11	1	0	1
LT.Scott, P	26	1	2	0
RD.Cronin, P	32	3	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	0-6	0	0
2J.Bell, 1B	2-4	1	0
3B.De La Cruz, DH	1-6	1	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	1-3	2	0
5J.Burger, 3B	3-4	1	3
6J.Sanchez, RF	0-3	0	1
6A.Garcia, PH	0-2	0	0
6A.Garcia, RF	0-2	0	0
7T.Anderson, SS	1-5	0	1
8N.Gordon, LF	0-3	0	0
8V.Brujan, PH	0-1	0	0
8V.Brujan, LF	0-1	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0
9J.Bride, PH	0-1	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-0	0	0