Here's everything you need to know about NBA Player Props Today on Wednesday, March 13 — our expert prop picks for today's NBA games.
The Detroit Pistons have won two of their last three games and have a chance at just their third two-game winning streak of the season. Tonight, they are favored over the Toronto Raptors, who will be a little shorthanded. That may lead to another big night for Cade Cunningham.
We have round two of the NBA Finals rematch in Miami. The Denver Nuggets won the first matchup a couple of weeks ago after defeating the Miami Heat in five games last June. Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray will look to lead the Nuggets to another victory over the Heat here.
In the nightcap, the Sacramento Kings will host the Los Angeles Lakers fresh off a trouncing of the Bucks. No one looks forward to seeing the Lakers more than De'Aaron Fox and he might be in for another big night against them.
After yesterday's action, Wednesday's slate should provide some more exciting player prop betting opportunities. Let's dive into my top NBA prop bets tonight.
Cade Cunningham has scored 21 points or more in nine of his last 10 games. He also has dished out seven assists or more in eight of his last 10 games. He enters tonight's game having 20 points and eight assists in each of his past four games, the longest streak of his young career. If that is the baseline expectation, then we are already working with 28 points and assists.
Cunningham has also pulled down five rebounds in seven of his past 10 games. His rebounds line has risen from 3.5 over that stretch to 4.5 for this matchup. Tonight, he will be in a good spot to fill up the stat sheet in all areas against the Raptors.
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Toronto ranks 23rd or worse in points, rebounds and assists allowed for the season. Over the last 15 games, the Raptors are 28th in defensive rating. In that stretch, they are 24th in rebounds allowed and 30th in assists to point guards. Tonight, the Raptors will be without Scottie Barnes, R.J. Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Chris Boucher and possibly Immanuel Quickley and Gary Trent Jr.
Props.cash projects Cunningham for 39.8 points, rebounds and assists tonight — well over the 35 that we need for this bet to cash. He had 30 points, three rebounds and 12 assists in his last matchup against the Raptors. He also narrowly missed a triple-double in Saturday's game against the Mavericks with 33 points, nine rebounds and 10 assists. Jalen Duren was in foul trouble before ejected on Saturday, which contributed to his spike in rebounds.
It is more likely that Cunningham gets a double-double tonight, which is +195 at DraftKings. He is also +3000 on DraftKings for a triple-double if you would like to sprinkle on that as well.
Nikola Jokic is averaging 12.3 rebounds per game this season and he has had 12 or more in seven of his past 10 games. He also is averaging 13.3 rebounds in his past seven games against Miami. In that span, he had 12 rebounds or more four times. Several games came in the Finals where he had an increased workload, but he has basically been in that mode of late. He has played 38 minutes or more in four of his past five games.
Jokic also has been active as a scorer of late, averaging 26.7 points per game over his past 10 games. Some of his baskets have been set up by Jamal Murray, who is averaging 6.6 assists per game this season. Murray has had seven assists in each of his last five games and six assists in seven of his past nine games.
Murray left the last meeting against Miami early with an ankle injury, but he had at least eight assists in all five NBA Finals games. Murray has also been playing a bunch of minutes of late with 37 minutes in each of his last five games. Additionally, the league has yet to find many answers the Jokic/Murray two-game and Miami certainly has not. Additionally, the Nuggets have scored 115 points or more in four of their past five games.
Jokic and Murray have each been hitting these respective lines at a high clip and against Miami. By combining them, we get plus odds with ESPN Bet having the best number compared to -109 on FanDuel and +100 on DraftKings.
At this number, De'Aaron Fox is an automatic bet against the Lakers. In the last two matchups, we backed over 27.5 points and he scored 28 points. Last Wednesday, he went for 44 points and easily cleared a line of 26.5 points. He has now scored 28 points in six of his past seven games against the Lakers, averaging 32.6 points per game in that span.
Since last week's matchup, the Lakers have allowed 28 points to Damian Lillard. Meanwhile, Fox has scored 33 and 29 points in two of his last three games. He is now averaging 30.2 points per game over his past 10, going over this line in seven of them. For tonight's matchup, the Lakers do have a rest advantage, having last played on Sunday while the Kings played last night. You would also think that at some point Lakers head coach Darvin Ham would make some type of adjustment on him.
However, Fox went over this line in three of his last four games on the second night of a back-to-back and he scored 27 in the other game. Additionally, the Lakers simply do not have a great matchup for Fox while starting D'Angelo Russell and Austin Reaves. Gabe Vincent, Jarred Vanderbilt and Cam Reddish remain out. Meanwhile, LeBron James and Anthony Davis are both questionable, but I would expect them to play with the days off.
If Fox goes off against the Lakers again, 28 points will be well within his reach. He is also +320 for 35 points and +800 for 40 points at FanDuel.
