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NBA Player Prop Picks Tonight | Harrison Barnes, Vince Williams Jr.
Harrison Barnes is averaging 16.1 combined points, rebounds and assists (PRA) this season, so I’m happy to be jumping on a line that’s more than 3 PRA above his average.
This line reads as inflated following a three-game stretch last week in which Barnes registered an uncharacteristic 29, 43 and 36 PRA. He’s since come back down to earth with 19 and 15 PRA in his last two contests.
Despite the mini-surge, Barnes averaged 16.8 PRA in January, which includes a 4 PRA dud of a game versus his opponent tonight, the Pacers.
In general, Barnes hit rate on this under is 34/46 (74%) this season. I have him at 17 tonight.
Pick: Harrison Barnes Under 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120 at DraftKings) | Play to -130
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Vince Williams Jr. has been a bright spot in an otherwise bleak season for the reeling Grizzlies. The second-year wing has been thrust into a significant role amid the litany of injuries to the rest of the Memphis roster.
Over his last nine games, Williams is averaging 17.3 points in 34.4 minutes, clearing this line in seven of those contests. Without the likes of Desmond Bane, Ja Morant and Marcus Smart, the VCU product has been relied on more as a scorer.
In fact, over that same span, Williams leads the Grizzlies in time of possession and is third in front-court touches. While he’s been excellent as a spot-up shooter (shooting over 45% from deep since the beginning of 2024), he’s also shown more aggression with 6.5 drives per game over his last nine.
It should be an offense-friendly matchup against the Warriors today – Williams dropped 24 against them earlier in January.
I have the swingman projected with 16 points tonight.
Pick: Vince Williams Jr. Over 13.5 Points (-110 at DraftKings) | Play to -125
