Last night, we began the week in the green and were one Chris Paul assist away from a sweep. Tonight, we'll try again. Four of the seven games on tonight's NBA slate are between playoff teams, so let's dive into some NBA player props and make some NBA prop picks tonight.
We'll begin in Oklahoma City, where the Thunder will host the Pacers. The game has a high total (239 points), but there is still value on Myles Turner's rebounds.
There's another high total in Sacramento, where the Bucks will be visiting the Kings. Damian Lillard is on a roll and will look to stay hot against Sacramento' struggling defense.
Don't expect many points in Los Angeles when the Clippers host the Timberwolves. Neither team scored 90 points in the most recent matchup and in the first three meeting between these teams, only one team has cracked 110 points. As a result, Anthony Edwards could have lot of rebounding opportunities.
Myles Turner has had at least seven rebounds in seven of his past 10 games. He has cleared this line in six of those games, including four games with 10 or more rebounds. He'll be facing an Oklahoma City team that has one of the best offenses in the league, but will be missing a key cog in Jalen Williams. That could lead to more rebounds being available.
Oklahoma City is 25th in rebounds allowed this season and is allowing 18.1 rebounds per game to centers over the past 15 games, the second-most in the league in that stretch. Jusuf Nurkic certainly impacted that number when he pulled down 31 rebounds against the Thunder, but Alperen Sengun (twice), Anthony Davis and Bam Adebayo have also had at least 10 rebounds against the Thunder recently.
Turner will be in a good spot to thrive in this matchup, provided he gets minutes. In two games in which he didn't clear this line, he played 20 minutes or fewer. However, when playing 26 or more minutes this season, Turner is hitting this line at a 64% clip, including in six of his past seven games.
In his past 10 games, Turner is averaging 14.3 rebounding chances per contest and grabbing 55.2% of those opportunities. If he exceeds tonight's line, he may be in line for another double-double. Turner is +200 for 10 rebounds and +230 for a double-double tonight on FanDuel.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have the No. 1 defense in the NBA this season. Meanwhile, the Clippers are 14th and have a pair of high-level defenders in Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. The last time these teams got together, elite defense was on full display as both teams shot under 39% from the field. Tonight, there may be better shooting performances, but rebounds were the first thing on my mind when looking at this matchup.
If Rudy Gobert plays, he'll be in a good spot as he has had a lot of success against Ivica Zubac. However, Gobert missed Sunday's game against the Lakers with a hamstring injury and is questionable tonight. Anthony Edwards (shoulder) is also questionable, though Edwards has been playing through a few injuries lately and hasn't missed much time.
I also prefer Edwards over Gobert tonight because he offers more value. Edwards has had seven or more rebounds in three of his past six games against the Clippers and finished with five in another. He also has six rebounds in two of his past three games, including seven in Sunday's contest without Gobert.
In Sunday's game, Edwards collected seven of his 10 rebounding chances and he may have more rebounding chances tonight. I like this line for Edwards, whether or not Gobert plays. Edwards is also +220 for eight rebounds on FanDuel.
The last time the Bucks and Kings got together, they played one of the best games of the season. In that game, Damian Lillard, who finished with 29 points, hit a game-winning 3 to give the Bucks a 143-142 victory in overtime.
Lillard is averaging 24.9 points per game in 41 career games against the Kings and has scored 26 points in nine of his past 15 games against the Kings, including two games with 35 and performances with 40, 44 and 50 points. He also scored 24 and 25 points in that stretch, so even when he's gone under, he's been close.
Additionally, the Kings have fallen to 29th in defensive rating over their past 15 games and have to deal with a red-hot Lillard.
Lillard has scored 28 or more points in three of his past four games, the past three coming on Milwaukee's current road trip. The Bucks have been incorporating more of a two-man game with Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo and both will be a handful for the Kings. In fact, it wouldn't be a surprise if both scored 30 points tonight. Lillard is +200 for 30 points and +500 for 35 points on FanDuel tonight.
(Are you in North Carolina? With North Carolina sports betting now online, you can bet legally at major sportsbooks. Learn more.)
