NBA Player Prop & Pick
Killian Hayes, Under 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
| Odds | Under 23.5 PRA (-125) |
| Time | 7 p.m. ET |
| Books Available | FanDuel |
After successfully fading Killian Hayes on his points, rebounds and assists (PRA) line against the Raptors, I’m going back to the well for tonight’s matchup (read: mismatch) against the Bucks.
Hayes has put up some solid numbers for the Pistons as he’s assumed the starting point guard role, averaging 21.4 PRA when playing with the first five.
However, Hayes is not much of a jump shooter, and I see him struggling mightily against the massive Bucks frontcourt. In fact, over the last two seasons, the Frenchman has shot 9-of-30 against Milwaukee, scoring only 24 points in 117 minutes of action.
And even though he’s been dialing up the assists recently, the Bucks only allow 23.4 dimes per game – the fifth lowest mark in the league.
It should be tough sledding for Hayes and the Pistons as a whole tonight. I have the third-year pro projected at 20 PRA and would comfortably play this line down to under 21.5.
Pick: Killian Hayes Under 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125 | Play to 21.5) |
NBA Player Prop & Pick
Russell Westbrook, Under 15.5 Points
| Odds | Under 15.5 Points (-105) |
| Time | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| Books Available | DraftKings |
The last game on tonight’s eight-game slate features the Clippers hosting the Bulls. Despite Paul George’s absence for the Clippers, I’m looking at fading Russell Westbrook on his points line tonight.
The enigmatic Westbrook is averaging 13.3 points in his 12 games played with Kawhi Leonard this season, having failed to clear this line in his last seven games alongside the Klaw. Even with a potential usage bump without George, this is a brutal matchup for Westbrook.
The Bulls have allowed the fewest points per game to opposing point guards over the last 30 games while also allowing the second-lowest field goal percentage. Chicago has also been excellent in limiting transition plays, leading the league in both points allowed and frequency.
I will take my chances with Westbrook needing to score in the halfcourt against the likes of Patrick Beverly and Ayo Dosunmu.
While he's still a force on the boards and as a facilitator, I don’t see much scoring upside for Westbrook tonight. I have the Clippers point guard slotted at 13 points.
Pick: Russell Westbrook Under 15.5 Points (-105 | Play to -125) |
