NBA Player Props for Sunday, Nov. 12
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 8 p.m. | |
  | 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Check out our NBA props page for daily player props lines and projections.
Welcome to the another weekend of the NBA season — and welcome to the best NBA player props today, with picks and prop bets for Sunday, Nov. 12.
This seven-game slate features a ton of intriguing matchups to take advantage of from a player prop perspective. These three NBA props below include all centers with Nikola Vucevic, Chet Holmgren and Deandre Ayton. Let's break it down!
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Losers of four of their last five games, the Bulls have struggled to find the win column. However, they are 7.5-point home favorites against the Pistons looking to get back on track.
The total has plummeted to 217.5 points as both the Bulls and Pistons rank in the bottom 10 in scoring. Expect a slow-paced, low-scoring contest with not a lot of opportunities for any statistics. That is why many of the under props in this game look enticing across the board.
Nikola Vucevic has been a boom-or-bust rebounder — he has four games with 12 or more rebounds and five games under double-digits boards. His assist numbers have been similar with several games with one assist and the rest at three or four.
Vucevic has posted under 14.5 rebounds and assists in six of his nine games this season, including each of his last three games. With this type of game environment, expect Vucevic to struggle on the glass and capturing assists.
The Pistons are playing without their starting center Jalen Duren, but still have plenty of big bodies to throw at Vucevic. This season, they rank tied for fifth in Rebounding Percentage and 13th in points allowed in the paint.
At nearly plus-money, Vucevic's under 14.5 rebounds and assists looks fantastic. Our Prop Model has him projected for only 11.8 rebounds and assists, which is well below his prop line. Take the under tonight on Vucevic's peripherals.
Pick: Nikola Vucevic Under 14.5 Reb + Ast (-100)
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Playing in his rookie season, Chet Holmgren has shown signs of brilliancy on both sides of the floor. Through his first nine games, Holmgren is averaging 16.2 points per game while shooting 55.4% from the field and 50% from behind the arc.
However, even at his wiry frame, Holmgren has averaged 7.9 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game. He has quick reflexes and at 7-foot-1, capturing blocks comes naturally for Holmgren whose block prop looks too low tonight.
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Our Prop Model has Holmgren projected for exactly three blocks in this matchup against the Suns. The Thunder play at the fifth-fastest Pace in the league, which allows for ample opportunities for Holmgren to reach this over. It also helps that the Suns have allowed 6.4 blocks per game, which is the seventh-highest in the league. Playing without Devin Booker will shift more of the offense toward Kevin Durant, who Holmgren will likely be guarding all night.
Durant attempted 27 field goals in two of his last three games as his usage rate of 33.1% is the fourth-highest in the league. Holmgren has shown the ability to capture big block numbers already this season with seven against the Cavaliers' frontcourt.
Feel free to climb the ladder with Holmgren's player prop, but it looks great at over 1.5 blocks.
Pick: Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 Blocks (-145)
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All of Deandre Ayton's player props look incredible tonight in a matchup against Anthony Davis and the Lakers' frontcourt. The Trail Blazers continue to be decimated by injuries as now Malcolm Brogdon, Anfernee Simons and Scoot Henderson are all out.
With a young Shaedon Sharpe leading the backcourt, Ayton's usage rate is expected to rise significantly. This is a great matchup for Ayton to dominate the paint both with his scoring and rebounding.
In his first season with the Trail Blazers, Ayton is averaging 11.4 points and 12.9 rebounds per game. His scoring is by far the lowest in his career, but again with so many injuries on the Trail Blazers, Ayton will need to score to keep the team in it as a double-digit road underdog.
Ayton scored a season-high 18 points last game and the Lakers have allowed 52.4 points per game in the paint this season, which is tied for the ninth-highest in the league.
The Lakers have also been dominated on the glass despite Anthony Davis and LeBron James in their frontcourt. They rank 25th in Rebounding Percentage, while allowing 48 rebounds per game, which is the fourth-highest in the league.
This is a phenomenal spot for Ayton who is projected for 31.5 points and rebounds tonight, which is well over his player prop. Shop around for the best odds, but I would take his over up to 27.5 points and rebounds in this spot.
Pick: Deandre Ayton Over 25.5 Pts + Reb (-110)
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