Warriors vs. Lakers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 9, 2023

Warriors at Lakers

2:00 am • TNT

Golden State Warriors

2-4

101

101 - 104

Los Angeles Lakers

4-2

104

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Warriors 2-4	+2-110	o228-110	+110
Lakers 4-2	-2-110	u228-110	-130

Tuesday 2:00 a.m.

May 09, 2023

Crypto.com ArenaLos Angeles

GSW +2.5-105

2.1u

GSW +2.5-110

Bet365 7:46.

S.Curry u31.5 Pts-118

Lake show changed their matchup on Chef, putting Reaves on him. While Austin did a good job, this is more about the team defense they are playing on Steph. They are hedging hard on PnRs and swarming on drives (kinda similar to how the Heat are handling Brunson). And they are hell bent on not letting Steph get clean looks for Steph off-ball. It’s essentially the reason why Klay has got clean looks all series. He’s under in all 3 games (yes, 2 blowouts), but I don’t see the Lakers changing their defense around to all of a sudden give Steph more space. He’s Steph Curry, and he can make me look really dumb here, but 31.5 is just too big of a number here. I’m comfortable with this down to u30.5.

R.Hachimura u13.5 Pts+Rebs-125

Not an ideal series for Rui. He has gone under this in 13/16 seeing < 21 MIN. GSW are going small/ adding shooters. He’s not a great screen navigator, & they’re looking for ways to target him on mismatches. Has same rebound dist. as DLo. #PlayerProps

D.Green o13.5 Rebs+Ast-136

0.74u

GSW +3-110

@ChrisRaybon

GSW +3-114

GSW 25-14 (64%) ATS after playoff loss under Kerr, including 15-6 (71%) ATS off double digit loss. Dogs down 2-1 in Round 2-on are 30-19-1 (61%) ATS in Game 4.

GSW +130

GSW +125

0.8u

A.Davis u41.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-106

0.94u

D.Schroder o9.5 Pts+110

1.1u

Same reasoning as last game - he’ll be needed for 25+ minutes for defense, and it’s a good spot for him to score. Averaged 10.7 pts per 25 minutes as a reserve this season. Love getting this at plus odds.

GSW +135

Check Hundreds on Ringer gambling podcast

A.Reaves o21.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-121

$50.00

LAL -3-110

$55.00

D.Schroder o9.5 Pts+106

0.53u

LAL -3-105

0.5u

LAL -2.5-107

2.8u

Under 228-110

GSW +136

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NBA Public Betting

Lakers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Lakers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Lakers are 18-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Lakers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Lakers' 43 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lakers	39-44	21-22	18-22	21-26	18-18
Warriors	40-38-3	14-24-3	26-14	24-29-1	16-9-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Lakers	47-36	21-22	26-14	26-21	21-15
Warriors	40-41	24-17	16-24	25-29	15-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lakers	1-4	N/A	N/A	33-14	15-21
Warriors	12-3	21-20	24-16	36-18	9-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	GSW	W 127-97	-3.5 W	U 229.5	LAL -160
May 5th	@GSW	L 100-127	+7 L	O 226.5	GSW +225
May 3rd	@GSW	W 117-112	+4.5 W	O 227	LAL +148
Apr 29th	MEM	W 125-85	-4.5 W	U 220.5	LAL -207
Apr 26th	@MEM	L 99-116	+4.5 L	U 222.5	MEM +165