Pelicans vs. Mavericks Odds & Betting Predictions - November 6, 2025

Pelicans at Mavericks

1:30 am • KFAA

New Orleans Pelicans

1-6

101

101 - 99

Dallas Mavericks

2-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pelicans 1-6	+7.5	+7.5-102	o225.5-115	+250
Mavericks 2-5	u227.5	-7.5-118	u225.5-105	-310

Thursday 1:30 a.m.

November 06, 2025

American Airlines CenterDallas

K.Thompson u15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-113

0.57u

Thompson will be coming off the bench while D'Angelo Russell will move into the starting lineup to replace him. Thompson is averaging 12.7 PRA this season so he could certainly catch fire and beat this number, but I think his floor is lowered now in a reserve role as I suspect the Mavs are accepting he's not the same player he once was, nor does he offer the same floor he did just last season.

Under 226-110

0.27u

D.Russell o5.5 Ast-140

M.Christie o2.5 Ast-132

Max Christie ⬆️ 2.5 Assists (-132 @ DraftKings)(DAL) Collab w/ @SC_FFB 🤝 No Anthony Davis again! Max Christie has 4+ assists in all three games with Anthony Davis out or playing less than 8 minutes, averaging 5 assists on 7.7 potentials. With Davis out of the lineup the last 2 games, Christe has 5 and 6 assists on 8 and 9 potentials. There's no reason to think that'll stop tonight against an NOP team that is allowing the 10th most assists per game. If the juice on your book is too much, RA's is a solid pivot too.

K.Looney u12.5 Pts+Rebs+100

0.5u

@cawright95 got me on this via ScoresAndOdds and I’m on board. Yves Missi was ruled out, which does make it likely Looney starts again and has a higher floor, but we saw last game that Looney, Derik Queen, and Karlo Matkovic may split up the center minutes instead of someone like Looney taking on a role of 20+ minutes. Looney only played 15 minutes last night, while Matkovic played 15 and Queen played 18 amazing minutes (where he finished with a 12/8/7 line and closed the game). RotoGrinders projections have Looney at 9.5 PR over 14 minutes after the news that Missi is out, so they seemingly expect a similar role for Looney tonight, with Queen potentially having a more expanded role. I'm aligned with this projection.

D.Gafford o11.5 Pts-105

#EV

C.Flagg o17.5 Pts+102

1.5u

#EV

C.Flagg o10.5 Rebs+Ast+102

You’re a flaming Flagg

J.Poole o6.5 Rebs+Ast+105

D.Russell o15.5 Pts-116

1.16u

C.Flagg o20.5 Pts+Ast-125

D.Russell o15.5 Pts-120

1.2u

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NBA Public Betting

Mavericks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mavericks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mavericks are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mavericks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mavericks' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mavericks	3-4	2-3	1-1	0-3	3-1
Pelicans	2-4-1	1-1-1	1-3	1-0	1-4-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mavericks	2-5	1-4	1-1	0-3	2-2
Pelicans	4-3	1-2	3-1	0-1	4-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mavericks	2-5	N/A	N/A	1-2	1-3
Pelicans	1-6	N/A	N/A	1-0	0-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 4th	@HOU	L 102-110	+12.5 W	U 226.5	HOU +490
Nov 2nd	@DET	L 110-122	+7.5 L	O 227.5	DET +237
Oct 30th	IND	W 107-105	-5.5 L	U 229.5	DAL -240
Oct 28th	OKC	L 94-101	+9 W	U 225	OKC +300
Oct 26th	TOR	W 139-129	+1 W	O 231.5	DAL -105