Heat vs. Hawks Odds & Betting Predictions - November 12, 2023

Heat at Hawks

12:30 am • BSSE

Miami Heat

0-4

117

117 - 109

Atlanta Hawks

40-42

109

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 0-4	+7.5	+7.5-110	o227.5-111	+232
Hawks 40-42	u227.5	-7.5-110	u227.5-107	-289

Sunday 12:30 a.m.

November 12, 2023

State Farm ArenaAtlanta

MIA o109-120

0.83u

Had the under by accident - 3 people added im sorry

MIA +7.5-110

#NBABRATS

J.Johnson o7.5 Rebs-145

D.Robinson o3.5 3pt M+105

Increased usage - hasn’t hit this line once this szn

J.Johnson o20.5 Pts+Rebs-110

1.1u

He’s over this line in 5/7 with 25+ minutes, and now seems to be locked into that role as a starter. Against Miami, he won’t have to defend a high usage player (Bam or Jimmy) which should both help him on the boards and keep him out of foul trouble. The Heat are allowing the 5th most P+R to PFs this season, and their PnR defense will converge on Trae/Dejounte. Johnson should benefit with spot up shots and cuts to the basket. Plus, MIA has been allowing the 6th most fastbreak points per game (16.8) - another area where Jalen excels.

C.Capela o9.5 Rebs-120

0.83u

K.Lowry o9.5 Pts-110

0.91u

C.Capela o9.5 Pts-109

B.Adebayo o2.5 TOs-145

0.69u

Bam had seen a Usage spike to the highest level in his career this season up to 28.8% with his team desperate for offense. This need is now only exacerbated by Tyler Herro’s injury. This season he’s been exceeded 2.5 TOs in 6/7 games while averaging 3.6 per. He’s played well against Capela throughout his career but it’s a new situation with Quin Snyder coaching there to start the season and Atlanta is playing at the 3rd fastest Pace in the league (103.0) which should result in a pace up spot overall.

ATL -4.5-110

0.5u

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NBA Public Betting

Hawks are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Hawks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Hawks are 23-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Hawks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Hawks' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Hawks	41-41	18-22	23-19	12-19	28-22
Heat	39-42-1	22-19	17-23-1	21-24	18-18-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Hawks	50-31-1	26-14	24-17-1	22-9	28-21-1
Heat	44-38	25-16	19-22	26-19	18-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Hawks	40-42	N/A	N/A	19-12	20-30
Heat	37-45	N/A	N/A	26-19	11-26

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 10th	@ORL	W 120-119	-3.5 L	O 232.5	ATL -154
Nov 7th	@OKC	L 117-126	+1 L	U 243	OKC -102
Nov 4th	@NOP	W 123-105	+2 W	U 237.5	ATL +110
Nov 1st	WAS	W 130-121	-9.5 L	O 240.5	ATL -430
Oct 30th	MIN	W 127-113	+2 W	O 228.5	ATL +110