Celtics vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 8, 2024

Celtics at Nuggets

3:00 am • TNT
109 - 115

Celtics at Nuggets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Celtics
5-1
-2
-2-108
o222-110
-128
Nuggets
2-3
u222
+2-112
u222-110
+108
location pinFriday 3:00 a.m.
March 08, 2024
Ball ArenaDenver
Celtics vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
239d ago
Last 30d: 89-72-0 (+7.8u)
D.White o12.5 Pts-104
1.04u
It’s just a low line for White, who averages 15.3 ppg this season. Even in a subpar team matchup, White should have a plus spot against Murray. Tatum gets AG, Porzingis has to contend with Jokic, and Brown will get KCP. If Brown doesn’t play, the matchup gets tougher, but the volume opens up - hence why I’ll play this now. He’s also 9/12 to the over when failing to reach 10 points the game before. Some added motivation too, as he’s from the Denver area. Put up 24 vs the Nuggets earlier this season.
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
239d ago
Last 30d: 50-43-1 (+5.3u)
K.Porzingis o20.5 Pts-105
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
239d ago
Last 30d: 45-59-1 (-8.2u)
J.Tatum o2.5 TOs+130
1.3u
Tatum wants to be in this MVP conversation so badly, Brown a bit banged up. I think he’s going to force it
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
239d ago
Last 30d: 67-93-0 (-13.7u)
J.Holiday u4.5 Ast-105
0.95u
@The_Oddsmaker
BOS PK (1H)-110
1u
@JayMoneyIsMoney23
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
239d ago
Last 30d: 37-89-0 (-35.7u)
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs+120
2.4u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
240d ago
Last 30d: 30-24-0 (+3.1u)
J.Holiday u4.5 Ast+105
1.05u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
240d ago
Last 30d: 35-45-1 (-8.0u)
J.Tatum u27.5 Pts-113
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
240d ago
Last 30d: 82-50-1 (+18.1u)
BOS -106
1u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
240d ago
Last 30d: 104-115-0 (-4.6u)
N.Jokic o25.5 Pts-120
$50.00
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
240d ago
Last 30d: 45-85-1 (+8.3u)
N.Jokic o34.5 Pts+Ast-110
0.5u
#Tailing @JoeDellera
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
240d ago
Last 30d: 45-59-1 (-8.2u)
N.Jokic Triple-Double Yes+180
0.36u
N.Jokic o34.5 Pts+Ast-110
0.09u
Meant to play to win ~1 unit
N.Jokic o34.5 Pts+Ast-110
0.91u
The Nuggets host the Boston Celtics in a potential NBA Finals matchup tonight. While we traditionally have backed Jokic to dime at home and score on the road, I like this matchup for Jokic to contribute with both. Jokic has fared very well against Porzingis over the last few seasons, while exceeding 34.5 PA in five consecutive matchups dating back to 2021 in Porzinigis’ time with the Dallas Mavericks. This includes a 34 point and 9 assist effort back in a 2 point Nuggets’ victory on January 19th in Boston. Jokic has had a couple 1H ejections this season but in the games he has played 20+ minutes he is averaging 26.6 points and 9.3 assists per game (35.9 PA). The thing about his last game in Boston was he took 22 FGAs which is higher than the ~18 per game he averages but he did dish 9 assists on 14 potentials which are just slightly down from his season averages. One of the reasons I like Jokic to score is we know the Nuggets’ 2 man game with Murray and Jokic has been absolutely unstoppable, and in the postseason, when Jokic is doubled it is far too easy for Denver to score easy buckets through his facilitating. In the January matchup, the Celtics tried to defend Jokic with a variety of different schemes. Using Porzingis H2H, Horford H2H, zone, doubles, etc. Jokic dealt with all of them. Playoff bound teams with title aspirations often use these regular season games as ways to coax their opponents to show their hand in a particular matchup so they can have extra film on it for the postseason. It would not surprise me to see Malone try and force Mazzula’s hand here to throw some new or nuanced defensive schemes into the mix and see if anything works. I’m taking the PA here because I think Jokic is the best tool Denver has to shred this elite Boston defense. If he continues to cook as a scorer, we shouldn’t have much issue just on residual dimes, but he also has the potential to rack up double digit assists as well and contribute to the combo prop in that regard. I expect Jokic to have an MVP performance tonight against the Boston Celtics and exceed 34.5 PA.
Scott Pritchard
Scott Pritchard
240d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BOS -1-110
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
240d ago
Last 30d: 45-59-1 (-8.2u)
DEN +100
1u
Denver as a home dog? Taking that every time lol

PRO Insights

Celtics logo

Celtics

BOS Insights
  • Celtics logoThe Celtics have averaged 12.5 turnovers/game on the road this season -- T-4th-lowest in the NBA; the Nuggets have forced 12.3 turnovers per game at home this season -- 4th-lowest in the NBA.
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Nuggets logo

Nuggets

DEN Insights
  • Nuggets logoThe Nuggets have averaged 12.7 turnovers/game this season -- T-6th-lowest in the NBA; the Celtics have forced 11.7 turnovers per game this season -- lowest in the NBA.
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Celtics vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Celtics vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages

69%

Bets%

31%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nuggets
1-40-21-20-41-0
Celtics
4-22-02-24-2N/A

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Nuggets
3-20-23-02-21-0
Celtics
3-31-12-23-3N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nuggets
2-3N/AN/A2-20-1
Celtics
5-1N/AN/A5-1N/A

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 6thPHXL 107-117-8.5 LU 225PHX -390
Mar 3rd@LALW 124-114-1 WO 230.5DEN -112
Mar 1stMIAW 103-97-6.5 LU 214.5DEN -257
Feb 29thSACW 117-96-9.5 WU 227DEN -415
Feb 26th@GSWW 119-103+2 WU 233DEN +101

Nuggets vs. Celtics Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries

  • Aaron Gordon
    SF

    Gordon is probable with knee

    Probable

Celtics Injuries

  • Kristaps Porziņģis
    SF

    Porziņģis is out with knee

    Out

  • Jaylen Brown
    PF

    Jaylen Brown (hip) out Saturday

    Out

Player Stats
  • scoring
    Nikola Jokic logo
    Nikola Jokic
    32
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Nikola Jokic logo
    Nikola Jokic
    12
    rpg
  • assists
    Nikola Jokic logo
    Nikola Jokic
    11
    apg
  • shooting
    Zeke Nnaji logo
    Zeke Nnaji
    100
    fg%
Team Stats
41-91 (45%)
Field Goals
45-89 (51%)
16-25 (64%)
Free Throws
21-22 (95%)
11-38 (29%)
3P
4-21 (19%)
46
Rebounds
45
24
Assists
27
Turnovers
7
Steals
10
3
Blocks
4
18
Fouls
19

Celtics vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison

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Celtics at Nuggets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Celtics
5-1
o112-106
u112-120
Nuggets
2-3
o110-119
u110-107