76ers vs. Raptors Odds & Betting Predictions - October 28, 2023

76ers at Raptors

11:30 pm • SportsNet

Philadelphia 76ers

20-37

114

114 - 107

Toronto Raptors

18-40

107

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
76ers 20-37	-3	-5-110	o214.5-108	-190
Raptors 18-40	u219	+5-110	u214.5-110	+160

Saturday 11:30 p.m.

October 28, 2023

Scotiabank ArenaToronto

T.Maxey o29.5 Pts+Ast-119

Let’s start with the fact that I have Maxey at 36 minutes tonight. Nick Nurse coaches this team now (FVV averaged 36 mins the last three seasons), and he played Maxey 40 mins against MIL. Last season, with Embiid on the court and Harden off, Maxey avg 19.8 P+A per 24 mins. He should see 12 mins of non-Embiid time as well - which he averaged 11.8 P+A per 12 mins. So in my eyes, the very base level projection has him at 31.6. Poeltl has had (moderate) success vs Embiid in the past, and JoJo always starts the season slow (to me, he looks like he’s working into shape). No OG, and I think Maxey is a bit to quick for Barnes. Should be a plus spot for him - I have him at 33 P+A.

J.Embiid o28.5 Pts-125

0.8u

Under 214.5-105

2.1u

J.Embiid o44.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.87u

Going with both lmao - Cameroon battle of pride

P.Siakam o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

Going back and forth between him and Embiid

T.Maxey o29.5 Pts+Ast-119

T.Maxey o8.5 Rebs+Ast-130

0.77u

T.Harris o22.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.6u

Bet at Bet365. Running it back. Took it last game at 23.5 and went up to 24.5 by tipoff. Already up to 23.5 at some books. Hit this in 72% of games without Harden last year. Expect him to keep playing hard in a contract year.

TOR +4.5-110

1.1u

T.Harris o19.5 Pts+360

0.2u

T.Harris o14.5 Pts-105

0.95u

Harris hit the base in 76% of games without Harden last season and even 64% w/o Harden but w/ Embiid. I like going to 20+ too because it has nearly the same hit rate. He was ultra efficient in the season opener at 8/9 but I’m very encouraged by the 37 mins he played.

TOR +125

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Philadelphia 76ers had a TS% of 53% on the road last season -- second-best among NBA teams. The Toronto Raptors allowed a TS% of 52% at home last season -- tied for fifth-worst among NBA defenses.

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Featured Insight
The Philadelphia 76ers averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,822 rebounds/82 games) last season -- 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Toronto Raptors averaged 18.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,551 rebounds/82 games) last season -- tied for second-best among NBA teams.

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NBA Public Betting

Raptors are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Raptors are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Raptors are 15-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Raptors' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Raptors' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Raptors	33-22-3	18-12-2	15-10-1	3-3	29-19-3
76ers	19-36-2	9-20-1	10-16-1	7-17	12-19-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Raptors	30-28	19-13	11-15	2-4	28-23
76ers	31-24-2	16-13-1	15-11-1	12-10-2	19-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Raptors	18-40	N/A	N/A	3-3	14-37
76ers	20-37	N/A	N/A	13-11	7-26

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 28th	@CHI	L 103-104	+2.5 W	U 216.5	CHI +114
Oct 25th	MIN	W 97-94	-1 W	U 221	TOR -112
Oct 20th	WAS	W 134-98	-7.5 W	O 220.5	TOR -255
Oct 18th	@CHI	W 106-102	+3.5 W	U 225.5	TOR +132
Oct 9th	SAC	W 112-99	-1.5 W	U 226	TOR -110

Brandon Ingram
SF
Ingram is out with ankle
Out

Jakob Poeltl
C
Poeltl is questionable with hip
Questionable

Joel Embiid
C
Joel Embiid (knee) out Monday.
Out
Kyle Lowry
PG
Kyle Lowry (hip) out Wednesday.
Out
Eric Gordon
PG
Eric Gordon (wrist) out Tuesday.
Out
Quentin Grimes
PG
Quentin Grimes (coach's decision) doubtful Wednesday.
Doubtful
Jared McCain
PG
McCain is out with knee
Out

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scoring
Scottie Barnes
24
ppg
rebounding
Scottie Barnes
8
rpg
assists
-
10
apg
shooting
Scottie Barnes
68.8
fg%

76ers

Raptors

43-86 (50%)

Field Goals

38-87 (44%)

18-21 (86%)

Free Throws

14-19 (74%)

10-28 (36%)

17-32 (53%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
76ers 20-37	o108.5-125	u108.5-105
Raptors 18-40	o104.5-125	u104.5-105

76ers vs. Raptors Odds & Betting Predictions - October 28, 2023

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