Yankees vs. Athletics Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2023

Yankees at Athletics

1:40 am • NBCS-CA

New York Yankees

17-12

11 - 0

Athletics

15-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Sears			4.54	5-14
D.German			4.56	5-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 17-12	-1.5+106	o7.5+100	-160
Athletics 15-14	+1.5-128	u7.5-120	+130

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

June 29, 2023

Oakland ColiseumOakland

D.German u5.5 Ks-116

D.German u5.5 Ks-110

1.1u

Since German returned from his sticky stuff suspension, his K% has dipped from 26% to 17% as has his swinging strike % (15.2% to 10.5%). He’s under in 4/5 starts since coming back. Yes it’s OAK, but really only 5 plus spots for him, and with the Yankees losing game 1, and German’s struggles the third time through (6 homers allowed, .904 OPS) he’ll once again be on a shorter leash. He’s also coming off his two worst starts of the season by far.

Under 7.5-110

1.1u

Under 7.5-110

1.1u

OAK +136

0.8u

Available at FanDuel. My model puts the A's win odds here at 48.1%, up from 42.4% implied. That's even with the Yankees' offense being much more feisty against lefties without Aaron Judge than righties. JP Sears has pitched well of late, posting a 4.35 SIERA in 8 starts with more four-seamers thanks to minimal walks and a decent number of strikeouts. Sears lets up a lot of fly balls, but that's a lot less likely to hurt him at home in 63-degree temperatures than other conditions. Domingo German has been searching recently and still hasn't hit his groove, so I agree with the model in being high on the A's here.

OAK +112 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +107

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The Athletics are just 21-60 (.259) this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 30-75 (.286) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Yankees are 49-82 (.374) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .289.

Tony Kemp has an OPS of just .617 since last season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Clay Holmes has allowed an OPS of just .550 (395 PAs) since last season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Athletics are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Athletics are 9-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Athletics' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Athletics' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Athletics	15-13	6-9	9-4	5-6	10-7
Yankees	15-13	10-5	5-8	14-9	1-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Athletics	13-11-4	9-6	4-5-4	5-4-2	8-7-2
Yankees	13-13-2	8-7	5-6-2	11-11-1	2-2-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Athletics	14-14	6-9	8-5	7-4	7-10
Yankees	17-11	10-5	7-6	16-7	1-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	NYY	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	ATH +115
Jun 25th	@TOR	L 1-12	+1.5 L	O 9	TOR +232
Jun 24th	@TOR	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 9	TOR +232
Jun 23rd	@TOR	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9	ATH +255
Jun 22nd	@CLE	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CLE +145

Luis Medina
SP
Medina is out with elbow
Out
J.T. Ginn
SP
Ginn is out with elbow
Out
Ken Waldichuk
SP
Waldichuk is out with elbow
Out
Zack Gelof
2B
Gelof is out with hand
Out
Brett Harris
3B
Harris is out with oblique
Out
Brady Basso
RP
Basso is out with shoulder
Out

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
DJ LeMahieu
3B
LeMahieu is out with calf
Out
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RD.German, P		99	9	9	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.LeMahieu, 2B	1-5	1	0	1
2G.Torres, DH	0-4	1	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	0-4	2	0	0
4G.Stanton, RF	2-3	1	1	3
4O.Cabrera, PR	1-1	2	0	0
4O.Cabrera, RF	1-1	2	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	2-5	1	0	0
6J. Donaldson, 3B	1-4	0	0	2
7I.Kiner-Falefa, LF	1-3	1	0	2
8K.Higashioka, C	1-5	1	0	1
9A.Volpe, SS	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Sears, P	92	4	5	5
RS.Fujinami, P	30	2	2	0
RY. Ríos, P	3	0	0	1
RA.Pruitt, P	20	2	0	0
LS.Long, P	33	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T. Kemp, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2R.Noda, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3B.Rooker, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4C. Pérez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Brown, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Bride, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Diaz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8S.Langeliers, C	0-3	0	0	0
9E.Ruiz, CF	0-3	0	0	0