Twins vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 22, 2024

Twins at Nationals

5:05 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

0-0

3 - 2

Washington Nationals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14
S.Woods Richardson			4.18	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+130	o9.5-110	-130
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-155	u9.5-110	+110

Wednesday 5:05 p.m.

May 22, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

Under 9.5-110

WSH +120

0.5u

WSH +105

Over 5 (F5)-115

1.73u

M.Kepler o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.91u

J.Irvin u4.5 Ks+105

Projection leans to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -122

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Twins hitters are slugging .422 versus relief pitchers since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Nationals RPs have allowed a SLG of .419 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Nationals have scored 7.0 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB (3 games). The Twins have allowed 6.3 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for third highest in MLB (7 games).

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The Nationals are 64-7 (.901) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Twins are 91-1 (.989) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

Carlos Santana is batting just .157 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 30% of the time since the 2022 season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 147 total CB-- 92nd Percentile.

Christian Vazquez is slugging just .290 since last season -- sixth worst among hitters with at least 310 total PA's-- first Percentile. Jake Irvin has allowed a SLG of just .343 vs right-handed batters since last season -- 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (15 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on changeups this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .357 -- second Percentile.

Jake Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 11% (9 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 22% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	78-84	33-48	45-36	5-15	72-69
Twins	78-84	37-44	41-40	36-51	40-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	81-73-8	40-37-4	41-36-4	8-12	72-61-8
Twins	73-83-6	39-39-3	34-44-3	42-42-3	29-39-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	66-96	32-49	34-47	7-13	58-83
Twins	70-92	38-43	32-49	41-46	28-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 21st	MIN	L 0-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN +148
May 20th	MIN	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +130
May 19th	@PHI	L 5-11	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI +190
May 18th	@PHI	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7	PHI +145
May 17th	@PHI	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +200

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

Alan Roden
LF
Roden is out with thumb
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	77	4.2	1	0
LS.Okert, P	14	1.1	2	0
LK.Funderburk, P	14	0.1	1	1
RG.Jax, P	6	0.2	0	0
LC.Thielbar, P	15	1	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
1K.Farmer, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1K.Farmer, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2T.Larnach, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Margot, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	2-4	2	1	1
5R.Jeffers, C	1-4	0	0	1
6B.Buxton, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7W.Castro, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
8C.Santana, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Santana, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	84	6.1	6	2
LR.Garcia, P	12	1.1	1	0
RH.Harvey, P	30	1.1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2E.Rosario, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2N.Senzel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2N.Senzel, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Winker, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3J.Winker, RF	0-2	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	2-4	1	1	1
5L.Garcia, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
5N.Nunez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6I.Vargas, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
6I.Vargas, LF	2-3	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8R.Adams, C	1-2	0	0	0
8K.Ruiz, PH	0-2	0	0	1
8K.Ruiz, C	0-2	0	0	1
9J.Young, CF	0-2	0	0	0