Twins vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 22, 2024

Twins at Nationals

5:05 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

7-9

3 - 2

Washington Nationals

9-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14
S.Woods Richardson			4.18	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 7-9	-1.5+130	o9.5-110	-130
Nationals 9-9	+1.5-155	u9.5-110	+110

Wednesday 5:05 p.m.

May 22, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

Under 9.5-110

WSH +120

0.5u

WSH +105

Over 5 (F5)-115

1.73u

M.Kepler o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.91u

J.Irvin u4.5 Ks+105

Projection leans to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -122

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Twins hitters are slugging .422 versus relief pitchers since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Nationals RPs have allowed a SLG of .419 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Nationals have scored 7.0 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB (3 games). The Twins have allowed 6.3 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for third highest in MLB (7 games).

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The Nationals are 64-7 (.901) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Twins are 91-1 (.989) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

Carlos Santana is batting just .157 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 30% of the time since the 2022 season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 147 total CB-- 92nd Percentile.

Christian Vazquez is slugging just .290 since last season -- sixth worst among hitters with at least 310 total PA's-- first Percentile. Jake Irvin has allowed a SLG of just .343 vs right-handed batters since last season -- 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (15 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on changeups this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .357 -- second Percentile.

Jake Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 11% (9 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 22% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 21st	MIN	L 0-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN +148
May 20th	MIN	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +130
May 19th	@PHI	L 5-11	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI +190
May 18th	@PHI	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7	PHI +145
May 17th	@PHI	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +200

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	77	4.2	1	0
LS.Okert, P	14	1.1	2	0
LK.Funderburk, P	14	0.1	1	1
RG.Jax, P	6	0.2	0	0
LC.Thielbar, P	15	1	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
1K.Farmer, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1K.Farmer, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2T.Larnach, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Margot, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	2-4	2	1	1
5R.Jeffers, C	1-4	0	0	1
6B.Buxton, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7W.Castro, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
8C.Santana, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Santana, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	84	6.1	6	2
LR.Garcia, P	12	1.1	1	0
RH.Harvey, P	30	1.1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2E.Rosario, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2N.Senzel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2N.Senzel, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Winker, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3J.Winker, RF	0-2	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	2-4	1	1	1
5L.Garcia, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
5N.Nunez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6I.Vargas, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
6I.Vargas, LF	2-3	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8R.Adams, C	1-2	0	0	0
8K.Ruiz, PH	0-2	0	0	1
8K.Ruiz, C	0-2	0	0	1
9J.Young, CF	0-2	0	0	0