Nationals vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - May 18, 2024

Nationals at Phillies

10:05 pm • NBCS-PH

Washington Nationals

0-0

3 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sanchez			3.32	11-9
M.Gore			3.90	10-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-154	o7-119	+145
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+129	u7-102	-174

Saturday 10:05 p.m.

May 18, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

M.Gore u6.5 Ks-135

0.74u

Projection leans under and +ev bet with devig odds of -182

PHI -2.5+185

0.5u

Team needs to put me on the payroll at this point

WSH +135 (F5)

1.35u

Over 7-115

0.58u

Bet to -117

PHI -160 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -163

PHI -0.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

PHI -1.5+120

Hey Biev how are the Twins doing lmao!

PHI -180

0.56u

Sanchez is a bot but we ride with Red October

Featured Insight
Nationals have allowed a run just 19% of the time after an opposing score this season -- lowest in MLB. The Phillies have answered-back in just 25% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored first in 69% of their games this season -- highest in MLB. The Nationals have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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MLB Props: Bets for Harper & Verlander
Doug Ziefel•
May 18, 2024 UTC

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The Nationals are 5-2 (.714) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- 13th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 29% this season -- tied for 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Jesse Winker has an OPS of .716 with two strikes this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Cristopher Sanchez has allowed an OPS of .635 (94 PAs) with two strikes this season -- sixth worst among qualified SPs-- sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (33/89) against MacKenzie Gore on pitches in the strike zone this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 0 Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has allowed an OBP of .408 (71 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 -- second Percentile.

6 of MacKenzie Gore's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 3rd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: nan -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 41 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	81-81	41-40	40-41	62-67	19-14
Nationals	78-84	33-48	45-36	5-15	72-69

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	70-81-11	41-37-3	29-44-8	57-61-11	13-20
Nationals	81-73-8	40-37-4	41-36-4	8-12	72-61-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	96-66	55-26	41-40	80-49	16-17
Nationals	66-96	32-49	34-47	7-13	58-83

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 17th	WSH	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PHI -245
May 16th	NYM	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM -138
May 15th	NYM	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PHI -202
May 14th	@NYM	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PHI -122
May 13th	@NYM	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7	PHI -101

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	93	6.1	3	2
RD.Floro, P	18	0.2	0	0
LR.Garcia, P	11	0.2	1	0
RH.Harvey, P	3	0.1	0	0
RK.Finnegan, P	17	1.2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	3-5	1	1
2I.Vargas, 2B	3-5	0	0
3J.Meneses, DH	1-5	0	1
4N.Senzel, 3B	1-4	0	0
5R.Adams, C	1-4	0	0
5N.Nunez, PR	0-0	1	0
5K.Ruiz, C	0-0	0	0
6J.Gallo, 1B	0-3	0	0
7V.Robles, RF	0-3	0	0
7E.Rosario, PH	0-1	0	0
7E.Rosario, RF	0-1	0	0
8J.Winker, LF	1-4	0	1
9J.Young, CF	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	92	7	8	2
LM.Strahm, P	18	1	1	0
RO.Kerkering, P	24	1	1	1
LG.Soto, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-1	0	0	0
1W.Merrifield, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Realmuto, C	1-5	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
5B.Stott, SS	1-4	1	1	1
6N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7E.Sosa, SS	0-2	0	0	0
7K.Clemens, PH	2-2	1	1	1
7K.Clemens, 2B	2-2	1	1	1
8C.Pache, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-4	1	0	0