Reds vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2025

🔑 Royals ML +102 (FanDuel) 2u Absolutely LOVE this spot for the royals. I know Greene is pitching for the reds but Vegas knows what they are doing and this line screams KC. Cameron has been insane to start his career, they are great at home (17-11) and big money bets and sharp money on KC. Let’s go

2 game streaks Overall: 403-273-0,60% (ROI:11%) Season:2-6-0,25% (ROI:-59%)

Pitcher’s duel loading in KC – both starters dealing, lineups limping. Hunter Greene (2.54 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 11.4 K/9) shuts down rallies w/ elite 27% K-BB%. Royals can't slug – just 33 HR all year, dead last. Noah Cameron counters w/ 0.93 ERA, .108 BAA, 3/3 QS. Reds can’t hit lefties – .216 AVG, .649 OPS vs LHP. Missing Hays, Candelario, Encarnacion-Strand, Marte. Royals worse – 3.33 R/G, 28th in MLB, just 2.6 R/G since May 10. Neither team capitalizes w/ RISP (3.6 runners stranded/game). Power outage expected. Weather & park help too – Kauffman cuts HRs by 10–21%, worst HR park in MLB. Wind in from CF, temps in low 60s = dead air. Royals pen has 3.38 ERA, Reds solid arms too. No easy runs anywhere tonight.

Cameron was a high-strikeout guy all throughout the minors and has an 11.2% swinging-strike rate in 3 big league starts so far. Now facing the Reds, who are an above-average team for strikeouts against lefties.

In just 3 career starts, Cameron has a 0.93 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, and ranks in the top 20 percentile in xERA and xBA. He has been unbelievable for such a young pitcher and is in the perfect spot to go over this line again today. Today, he faces the Reds, who have been awful vs LHP's. In the last 30 days, the Reds offense ranks 26th in AVG, 25th in OBP/OPS, and 27th in wRC+. A massive note here as well is that the Royals desperately need him to run long in this game. They had to use 7 bullpen arms yesterday, after Lynch went just 2.2 IP. I think we see him go a full 6 IP here, so I will gladly take a 15.5 line. Would take 15.5 or 16.5, whichever you can get