Reds vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2025

Reds at Pirates

4:35 pm • SportsNet PT
1 - 3
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Andrew Heaney logoA.HeaneyPittsburgh Pirates logo5.395-10
Brady Singer logoB.SingerCincinnati Reds logo4.0314-12

Reds at Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds
0-2
-1.5
-1.5+135
o8-104
-128
Pirates
0-0
u8
+1.5-160
u8-116
+109
location pinWednesday 4:35 p.m.
May 21, 2025
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Reds vs. Pirates Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 77-62-2 (+10.1u)
Under 8-115
1u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 117-115-8 (-3.9u)
A.Heaney u2.5 Earned Runs-140
0.5u
Like the ballpark factors and am fine with the matchup. Reds have been a bottom-10 offense versus lefties this season. I am worried a little about Elly and Hays but game has a total of just 8 so banking on a pitcher’s duel today.
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 21-67-0 (-8.6u)
A.Heaney o4.5 Ks-115
0.58u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 28-37-0 (-4.4u)
A.Heaney o4.5 Ks-115
1.15u
Heaney hasn’t hit this in 4 straight, so most action is likely on the under — but I think there’s sneaky value here. He has reverse splits, striking out RHB at a slightly higher rate, and the Reds are sending out 8 right-handed bats, which actually works in his favor. Heaney leans on his slow curve almost exclusively vs. righties — it has a 41% whiff rate — and his best putaway pitch is the slider, which the Reds whiff against more than any team in MLB. They also take a ton of pitches and have the 3rd highest chase whiff rate, which plays right into his hands. Ump Emil Jimenez is inconsistent but tends to expand the zone low/middle away to righties — right where Heaney likes to miss with his changeup. I project this closer to -145 — not a huge edge, but the pitch mix, splits, and matchup all quietly line up in his favor.
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 30-24-0 (+2.6u)
E.De La Cruz To Record 1+ Stolen Bases Yes+270
0.5u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 117-115-8 (-3.9u)
B.Singer u2.5 Earned Runs-155
0.5u
Targeting the Pirates offense again, this time with Singer. Singer hasn’t been sharp this season with a 5.01 ERA but his xERA is 3.99. Pirates only implied for 3.9 runs today and they don’t have Andrew McCutchen or Joey Bart in the lineup. This is more so just a bet against this Pirates offense that is averaging 2.92 runs per game.
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 62-76-3 (-13.2u)
PIT +105 (F5)
1.05u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 28-35-1 (-4.6u)
CIN -121
3u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CIN -130
1.3u
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
Last 30d: 16-10-0 (+9.7u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125
1.25u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 47-64-0 (-12.6u)
Under 8-105
0.48u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 155-181-6 (-9.3u)
PIT +110
0.55u
Bet to +100

Reds vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Reds vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Reds

Public

74%

Bets%

26%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
90-7248-3342-3919-2669-45
Reds
82-7840-3942-3929-4353-34

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates
61-92-933-43-528-49-417-26-242-65-7
Reds
58-91-1126-45-832-46-320-47-537-44-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
71-9144-3727-5422-2348-66
Reds
83-7944-3538-4339-3343-44

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 20thCINW 1-0+1.5 WU 8PIT +122
May 19thCINL 1-7+1.5 LU 8CIN -102
May 18th@PHIL 0-1-1.5 LU 8.5PHI -110
May 17th@PHIL 2-5+1.5 LU 9PHI +267
May 16th@PHIL 4-8+1.5 LO 9PHI +190

Pirates vs. Reds Injury Updates

Pirates Injuries

  • Johan Oviedo
    SP

    Oviedo is questionable with elbow

    Questionable

  • Endy Rodriguez
    1B

    Rodriguez is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jared Jones
    SP

    Jones is out with elbow

    Out

Reds Injuries

  • Noelvi Marte
    3B

    Marte is day-to-day with side

    Day-to-Day

  • Reiver Sanmartin
    RP

    Sanmartin is out with elbow

    Out

  • Brandon Williamson
    SP

    Williamson is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Douglas Ashcraft
    RP

    Ashcraft is out with groin

    Out

  • Chase Burns
    SP

    Burns is out with hip

    Out

  • Julian Aguiar
    SP

    Aguiar is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Rhett Lowder
    SP

    Lowder is out with elbow

    Out

  • William Spiers
    RP

    Spiers is out with shoulder

    Out

Reds vs. Pirates Box Score
Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Brady Singer logoRB.Singer, P102532
Ian Gibaut logoRI.Gibaut, P100.200
Taylor Rogers logoLT.Rogers, P261.130
Douglas Ashcraft logoRG.Ashcraft, P12111
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Terry Friedl logo1T.Friedl, CF0-4000
Santiago Espinal logo2S.Espinal, 3B1-4100
Elly De La Cruz logo3E.De La Cruz, SS0-3000
Austin Hays logo4A.Hays, DH1-4001
Spencer Steer logo5S.Steer, 1B1-3000
Tyler Stephenson logo6T.Stephenson, C1-3000
Connor Joe logo7C.Joe, LF0-2000
Gavin Lux logo7G.Lux, PH0-1000
Gavin Lux logo7G.Lux, LF0-1000
Matthew McLain logo8M.McLain, 2B0-3000
Rece Hinds logo9R.Hinds, RF0-2000
William Benson logo9W.Benson, PH0-0000
William Benson logo9W.Benson, RF0-0000
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Andrew Heaney logoLA.Heaney, P97541
Chase Shugart logoRC.Shugart, P16110
Tanner Rainey logoRT.Rainey, P130.200
Caleb Ferguson logoLC.Ferguson, P151.110
Dennis Santana logoRD.Santana, P12120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Oneil Cruz logo1O.Cruz, CF1-4100
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo2I.Kiner-Falefa, SS1-3000
Bryan Reynolds logo3B.Reynolds, DH0-3001
Spencer Horwitz logo4S.Horwitz, 1B0-3000
Alexander Canario logo5A.Canario, RF0-4000
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo6K.Hayes, 3B1-3200
Adam Frazier logo7A.Frazier, 2B2-4001
Thomas Pham logo8T.Pham, LF2-4000
Henry Davis logo9H.Davis, C2-2001

Reds vs. Pirates Odds Comparison

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Reds at Pirates Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Reds
0-2
o4.5+115
u4.5-148
Pirates
0-0
o3.5-115
u3.5-115