Red Sox vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024

Red Sox at Rays

10:50 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

13-11

5 - 2

Tampa Bay Rays

9-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Littell			3.63	8-10
C.Criswell			4.08	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 13-11	+1.5-181	o8-116	+119
Rays 9-13	u0.5	-1.5+150	u8-105	-139

Tuesday 10:50 p.m.

May 21, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

Under 8.5-115

0.5u

Bet to -116

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

1.05u

Over 8-122

1.22u

TB -125

0.63u

Bet to -135

TB -122 (F5)

0.41u

Flat to -135

Under 8-115

0.5u

Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a groundball rate of 48% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- second lowest in MLB (136 games). The Red Sox have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (126 games).

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The Red Sox are just 43-55 (.439) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Red Sox are just 11-16 (.407) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 92-5 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Rays are 98-24 (.803) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

45% of Yandy Diaz strikeouts are looking this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 47% of Brennan Bernardino strikeouts are looking this season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Randy Arozarena has an OPS of just .573 this season -- 14th worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Brennan Bernardino has allowed an OPS of just .444 (77 PAs) this season -- ninth best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

5 of Zack Littell's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 3rd most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan -- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (36/200) against Cooper Criswell since last season -- 4th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 27% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 0-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Rays' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	8-14	8-11	0-3	6-9	2-4
Red Sox	12-12	5-6	7-6	8-9	4-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	9-11-2	8-9-2	1-2	7-6-2	2-4
Red Sox	9-14-1	4-6-1	5-8	5-11-1	4-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	9-13	9-10	0-3	8-7	1-5
Red Sox	13-11	7-4	6-7	10-7	3-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 20th	BOS	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 7	BOS -125
May 19th	@TOR	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8	TOR -102
May 18th	@TOR	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	TB +120
May 17th	@TOR	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TB +136
May 16th	@BOS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 7.5	TB -110

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Criswell, P	79	5.1	6	2
LC.Booser, P	5	0.2	0	0
RG.Weissert, P	14	1	2	0
RC.Martin, P	15	1	2	0
RK.Jansen, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-3	2	1	1
2W.Abreu, RF	1-4	0	0	1
3T.O'Neill, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
5D.Smith, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5R.Gonzalez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5R.Gonzalez, SS	0-2	0	0	0
6D.Hamilton, SS	0-2	0	0	0
6G.Cooper, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6G.Cooper, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
7R.McGuire, C	2-3	1	1	1
8V.Grissom, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Littell, P	77	5.2	7	2
LG.Cleavinger, P	13	1	0	0
RK.Kelly, P	5	0.1	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	21	1	1	2
RE.Ramirez, P	11	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Lowe, DH	1-4	1	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	1-4	1	0
3B.Lowe, 2B	0-4	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	3-4	0	2
5J.Aranda, 1B	1-2	0	0
5Y.Diaz, PH	0-2	0	0
5Y.Diaz, 1B	0-2	0	0
6A.Rosario, SS	0-4	0	0
7R.Palacios, RF	0-4	0	0
8J.Siri, CF	1-3	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-1	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, PH	0-1	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-1	0	0