Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 26, 2023

Red Sox at Orioles

5:05 pm • MASN

Boston Red Sox

25-26

2 - 6

Baltimore Orioles

16-32

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Wells			3.64	7-6
T.Houck			5.01	6-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 25-26	+1.5-190	o8.5-105	+110
Orioles 16-32	-1.5+158	u8.5-115	-130

Wednesday 5:05 p.m.

April 26, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Over 8.5-105

1.05u

BAL -110

T.Houck o4.5 Ks+110

The Orioles have 7 left handed batters in todays lineup and while on the surface it could lower his K rate quite a bit, Houck has actually been striking out LHB at a higher rate (28%) than RHB (22%) this season. I think a big part of that is he now throws a cutter which is a nice weapon to have against lefties and he has been throwing his filthy split finger more against lefties as well. Home plate ump Manny Gonzalez tends to have a big strike zone high and inside to lefties which is where Houck typically throws his cutter. Projecting this closer to -150

BAL -130

0.77u

BOS +115

0.5u

Bet to +114

BOS +108 (F5)

0.25u

Small to +108

BAL -122

0.82u

Under 4.5 (F5)-115

0.45u

The Orioles are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.

The Red Sox are 9-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Orioles are just 0-5 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Red Sox are 9-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .878.

Adley Rutschman has a groundball rate of just 20% on fastballs this season -- fourth lowest in MLB-- third Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% against Tanner Houck fastball this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has a strike rate of just 59% (331/558) vs left-handed batters since last season -- 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% -- ninth Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .230 (38 Total Bases / 165 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season -- 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .358 -- 97th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (23/159) against Tyler Wells since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 9-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Orioles' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	15-33	6-17	9-16	7-21	8-12
Red Sox	25-26	12-14	13-12	16-18	9-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	23-22-3	14-7-2	9-15-1	15-11-2	8-11-1
Red Sox	24-26-1	10-15-1	14-11	15-18-1	9-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	16-32	8-15	8-17	9-19	7-13
Red Sox	25-26	14-12	11-14	18-16	7-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 25th	BOS	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 9	BOS -164
Apr 24th	BOS	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL +100
Apr 23rd	DET	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BAL -172
Apr 22nd	DET	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -180
Apr 21st	DET	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL -197

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with back
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	86	5	2	3
LR. Bleier, P	14	1	0	1
LB.Bernardino, P	11	1	2	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	19	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-3	0	0	1
4M.Yoshida, LF	1-4	1	1	1
5E.Hernandez, SS	2-3	0	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Duran, CF	2-4	0	0	0
8E.Valdez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8C. Arroyo, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8C. Arroyo, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-2	0	0	0
9R.McGuire, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9R.McGuire, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Wells, P	102	5.2	7	2
LD.Coulombe, P	15	0.2	0	0
RY.Cano, P	21	1.2	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	2-3	1	1
2A.Rutschman, C	0-2	0	1
3A.Santander, RF	0-3	0	2
4R.Mountcastle, DH	1-4	0	0
5G.Henderson, SS	0-3	0	0
6A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	1	0
7R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	1	0
8R.Urias, 3B	4-4	3	1
9T.Vavra, LF	0-1	0	0
9R.McKenna, PH	2-2	0	1
9R.McKenna, LF	2-2	0	1