Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 23, 2024

Red Sox at Guardians

10:10 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

1-2

1 - 4

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Lively			3.82	13-10
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5+170	o8-113	+105
Guardians 1-2	+1.5-202	u8-107	-125

Tuesday 10:10 p.m.

April 23, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 7.5+110

$22.00

Under 8-111

0.9u

T.Houck u4.5 Ks-110

B.Lively u5.5 Ks-133

1.5u

CLE -115

0.5u

Bet to -120

B.Lively o4.5 Ks+110

0.55u

Ballpark pal projects 5.11 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -123 giving value to this number

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -106

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have allowed just 4.2 runs per game on the road since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (94 games). The Guardians have scored just 4.0 runs per game at home since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (90 games).

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 0.4 runs per game in late innings this season -- lowest in MLB (22 games). The Red Sox have scored just 0.6 runs per game in late innings this season -- third lowest in MLB (23 games).

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Josh Naylor is slugging .875 on breaking pitches this season -- second best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 45% of the time this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (23/36) against Tanner Houck this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% (56/153) against Ben Lively on fastballs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 99th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 60% of the time (59/99) with two-strikes this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 21st	ATH	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -170
Apr 20th	ATH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -191
Apr 19th	ATH	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 8	CLE -159
Apr 18th	@BOS	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -110
Apr 17th	@BOS	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8.5	BOS +114

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	91	6	4	2
LB.Bernardino, P	14	1	0	0
LC.Booser, P	24	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	0	0	0
1C.Rafaela, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Duran, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4W.Abreu, LF	1-4	1	1	1
5R.Refsnyder, RF	3-3	0	0	0
6E.Valdez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Wong, C	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Wong, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Dalbec, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-1	0	0	0
9P.Reyes, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Yoshida, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9D.Hamilton, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9D.Hamilton, SS	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	89	6.1	7	1
RS.Barlow, P	6	0.2	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	14	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	13	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	2-3	1	0	0
5R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5R.Laureano, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Freeman, CF	1-3	2	0	1
7E.Florial, DH	1-3	0	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	0-2	0	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Fry, C	0-0	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0	1