Rays vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2026

Rays at Red Sox

5:35 pm • RAYS

Tampa Bay Rays

35-19

4 - 1

Boston Red Sox

23-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Tolle			2.61	2-2
N.Martinez			1.62	5-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 35-19	+1.5	+1.5-170	o8.5-101	+126
Red Sox 23-33	u8	-1.5+143	u8.5-116	-150

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

May 10, 2026

Fenway ParkBoston

P.Tolle o5.5 Ks+110

Tolle has recorded 5 strikeouts in his first three starts with 11 strikeouts against the Yankees and 8 against the Tigers. The matchup isn’t great today but his stuff is elite. I’ll take a shot at plus odds.

TB +130

1.3u

P.Tolle u1.5 Earned Runs+125

BOS -135

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Boston is 17-22 and still priced as the home favorite against a 25-13 Tampa Bay team, so this is not a standings-only game. Payton Tolle is confirmed with a 2.04 ERA, and Tampa Bay is 4-6 over its last 10 with 43 runs allowed. The last matchup went 8-3 to Boston, and Fenway has 70-degree weather with wind out at 9 mph.

W.Abreu o1.5 Total Bases+101

$1.00

Over 8-118

0.59u

Bet to 8.5 (-110)

W.Abreu o0.5 HR+425

0.1u

BOS -124

0.62u

Bet to -140

Grant's 4 Home Run Bets for Sunday
Grant Neiffer•
May 10, 2026 UTC
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McGrath's Pick for Rays vs Red Sox on Sunday
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 13-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Red Sox' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	22-34	9-19	13-15	14-22	7-12
Rays	33-21	19-6	14-15	20-12	13-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	25-29-2	9-17-2	16-12	16-18-2	9-10
Rays	27-25-2	11-13-1	16-12-1	17-13-2	10-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	23-33	9-19	14-14	16-20	6-13
Rays	35-19	20-5	15-14	22-10	13-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 8th	TB	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -134
May 7th	TB	L 4-8	-	O 8.5	TB -118
May 6th	@DET	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -110
May 5th	@DET	W 10-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS +129
May 4th	@DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	BOS -125

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Martinez, P	80	5.2	3	1
RK.Kelly, P	20	1.1	1	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	25	1	3	0
RB.Baker, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Simpson, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Caminero, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
3B.Williamson, 2B	1-2	1	0	1
4Y.Diaz, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5R.Vilade, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
5J.Aranda, PH	1-2	0	0	0
5J.Aranda, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	1-3	0	0	1
7J.DeLuca, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	1-4	1	0	0
9T.Walls, SS	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Tolle, P	81	5	4	3
RZ.Kelly, P	16	0.1	0	1
LT.Samaniego, P	5	0.2	0	0
RJ.Slaten, P	15	1	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	10	0.2	0	0
LJ.Moran, P	16	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	0	0
2W.Contreras, 1B	0-0	0	0
2A.Monasterio, 1B	2-3	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	0-4	0	0
4M.Yoshida, DH	1-3	0	0
4C.Narvaez, PH	0-1	0	0
4C.Narvaez, DH	0-1	0	0
5T.Story, SS	1-4	1	0
6M.Gasper, C	3-4	0	1
7M.Mayer, 2B	0-3	0	0
8C.Rafaela, CF	0-4	0	0
9C.Durbin, 3B	0-3	0	0