Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2026

Red Sox at Tigers

10:10 pm • DSN

Boston Red Sox

14-21

5 - 4

Detroit Tigers

18-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Holton			4.91	0-1
P.Tolle			2.04	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 14-21	+1.5	-1.5+140	o8-118	-125
Tigers 18-18	u6.5	+1.5-160	u8-102	+105

Monday 10:10 p.m.

May 04, 2026

Comerica ParkDetroit

DET -1.5 (Live)+102

R.Anthony o0.5 HR+850

0.25u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.15 home runs for Roman Anthony. Oddsmakers are implying 0.12 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 13% of the time resulting in a 27% ROI with expected value of $26.64 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +725. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

W.Abreu o0.5 HR+600

0.25u

There may be some value on Wilyer Abreu's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.23 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.16. The model believes there is a 20% chance he records at least 1 home run, so there is value on the over at +600. This play is good down to at least +448. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

P.Tolle o4.5 Ks-125

0.8u

Under 7-118

1.18u

T.Skubal o7.5 Ks+115

0.87u

BOS +190

1.9u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 7-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Tigers' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	19-17	12-4	7-13	13-11	6-5
Red Sox	11-24	4-12	7-12	8-16	3-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	17-17-2	7-7-2	10-10	10-12-2	6-5
Red Sox	17-17-1	4-11-1	13-6	11-12-1	6-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	18-18	12-4	6-14	14-10	4-7
Red Sox	14-21	6-10	8-11	11-13	3-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	TEX	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	DET -120
May 2nd	TEX	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	DET -135
May 1st	TEX	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8	TEX -120
Apr 30th	@ATL	W 5-2	-	U 8.5	DET +105
Apr 29th	@ATL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL -141

Tanner Houck
P
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
IF
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
IF
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Reese Olson
P
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Jackson Jobe
P
Jobe is out with elbow
Out
Trey Sweeney
IF
Sweeney is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with oblique
Out
Beau Brieske
P
Brieske is out with groin
Out
Troy Melton
P
Melton is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Tolle, P	83	7	8	0
RG.Whitlock, P	26	1	2	2
LA.Chapman, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, DH	3-5	1	1	3
1J.Duran, LF	3-5	1	1	3
2W.Contreras, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Anthony, LF	0-1	0	0	0
3M.Yoshida, LF	2-4	1	0	0
4T.Story, SS	1-5	0	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	0	1
6C.Rafaela, CF	2-5	0	0	0
7M.Mayer, 2B	2-4	0	0	1
8C.Narvaez, C	0-3	1	0	0
9A.Monasterio, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
9C.Durbin, 3B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Holton, P	22	1	1	0
RT.Madden, P	81	5	7	0
RR.Vanasco, P	25	0.2	0	4
LE.De Jesus, P	32	1.1	2	1
RK.Jansen, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Jones, DH	0-2	1	0
1K.Carpenter, PH	0-1	0	0
1K.Carpenter, DH	0-1	0	0
2M.Vierling, CF	0-3	1	1
3D.Dingler, C	1-4	0	2
4R.Greene, LF	1-4	0	0
5S.Torkelson, 1B	0-4	0	0
6W.Perez, RF	0-4	0	0
7H.Lee, 2B	0-4	0	0
8C.Keith, 3B	1-2	2	0
9Z.Short, SS	0-3	0	0