Rays vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2023

Rays at Rangers

12:05 am • BSSW

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

2 - 3

Texas Rangers

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 0-0	-1.5+125	o9-110	-130
Rangers 0-0	+1.5-150	u9-110	+105

Tuesday 12:05 a.m.

July 18, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

TEX +110

1.1u

S.McClanahan u5.5 Ks-110

0.28u

Small to -125

S.McClanahan u5.5 Ks-112

Available at FanDuel. Once again, I need convincing that McClanahan is fully good to go. Even if he is, he's on the road facing a Rangers team with a 19.9% strikeout rate on the active roster against lefties, which will make it a tough hill to climb regardless. I want McClanahan to prove me wrong by going out and showing his health. Otherwise, this number is too high.

TEX +100

Available at FanDuel. This line seems to assume that Shane McClanahan is fully healthy, which may be true. But we haven't seen him get a full workload in several weeks, and the fact that he got pushed back to Monday is a bit worrisome. On the other side is Dane Dunning, who doesn't get many strikeouts but has had really nice batted-ball data even in the rotation. Both offenses are solid, but the Rangers' 140 wRC+ against lefties would give McClanahan issues if he isn't fully at 100%. My model has the Rangers at 57.4% to win, up from 50.0% implied.

Over 8.5-120

1.2u

S.McClanahan o1.5 BB-125

TEX +114 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +112

TEX +105

$50.40

TEX +110

0.55u

Bet to +100

TB -125

1.25u

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The Rays are 53-26 (.671) after a home win since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.

Adolis Garcia has 22 home runs on breaking pitches since last season -- seventh most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Jason Adam has thrown his curveball 34% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 86th Percentile.

Josh Smith has an OPS of just .596 since last season -- 14th worst among hitters with at least 379 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Nick Sandlin has allowed an OPS of just .542 (309 PAs) since last season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 16th	CLE	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9	TEX -140
Jul 15th	CLE	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 9	TEX -170
Jul 15th	CLE	W 12-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TEX -140
Jul 9th	@WSH	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	WSH -217
Jul 8th	@WSH	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	WSH -215

Jeffrey Springs
P
Springs is out with elbow
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.McClanahan, P	69	6	6	2
RJ.Adam, P	12	1	1	0
LC.Poche, P	19	1	2	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	12	0.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3L.Raley, RF	1-3	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-3	0	0	1
5B.Lowe, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Siri, CF	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Lowe, DH	2-3	1	1	1
7H.Ramirez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7H.Ramirez, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Walls, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Walls, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Dunning, P	96	7	4	2
RJ.Leclerc, P	14	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	14	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Jung, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Smith, PR	0-0	1	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Lowe, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6M.Garver, C	0-3	0	0	0
7R.Grossman, DH	2-3	1	0	0
8E.Duran, LF	1-3	1	1	2
8T.Jankowski, LF	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	0-3	0	0	0