Rays vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2024

Rays at Braves

8:10 pm • BSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

9-13

2 - 9

Atlanta Braves

9-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Morton			4.19	8-10
R.Pepiot			3.60	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 9-13	+1.5-181	o9-110	+110
Braves 9-13	-1.5+150	u9-110	-130

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 15, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

TB +110

C.Morton o5.5 Ks-120

0.83u

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases+106

1.06u

TB +112

$50.00

ATL -135

R.Pepiot o16.5 Outs-108

R.Pepiot o15.5 Outs-110

R.Pepiot o5.5 Ks-129

1.29u

Pepiot over in 9/11 full starts. Great stuff - whiff and K rate in the 87th percentile, and a 29.7% CSW% (16th of 146 pitchers with 40+ IP). Braves with a 28% K% vs power pitchers, and likely a soft lineup tomorrow (no Harris).

Under 9-112

0.56u

Bet to -118

TB +145

0.5u

Bet to +130

Featured Insight
Rays won 61% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- fourth best in MLB. Braves won just 36% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Braves this season -- best in MLB. Rays hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Rays vs. Braves: Target the Under
John Feltman•
Jun 15, 2024 UTC
Our MLB Best Bets for Saturday
Action Network Staff•
Jun 15, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 11-1 (.917) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Braves are 17-72 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Rays are just 5-6 (.455) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Yandy Diaz is batting .349 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 42% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Isaac Paredes is batting just .197 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 48% of the time since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.111 (20 Total Bases / 18 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .389 -- first Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 42 of 369 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- third Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OPS of 1.611 (18 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .668 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 4-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Braves' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	9-13	5-4	4-9	6-9	3-4
Rays	8-14	8-11	0-3	6-9	2-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	10-9-3	4-4-1	6-5-2	8-6-1	2-3-2
Rays	9-11-2	8-9-2	1-2	7-6-2	2-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	9-13	7-2	2-11	8-7	1-6
Rays	9-13	9-10	0-3	8-7	1-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 14th	TB	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -225
Jun 13th	@BAL	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -105
Jun 12th	@BAL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 9	BAL +100
Jun 11th	@BAL	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BAL -142
Jun 9th	@WSH	L 5-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	WSH -173

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	90	4.2	4	5
RS.Armstrong, P	23	1.1	1	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	28	1	1	3
RP.Fairbanks, P	10	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Lowe, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
3I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Lowe, RF	0-3	0	0	1
5R.Arozarena, DH	1-4	1	1	1
6R.Palacios, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7A.Rosario, SS	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Rortvedt, C	0-2	0	0	0
8A.Jackson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Jackson, C	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Siri, CF	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	105	6	8	1
LA.Bummer, P	20	1	3	0
RP.Johnson, P	14	1	1	0
LR.Kerr, P	27	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	3-5	1	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	1	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	3-5	2	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	2	1	1
5A.Riley, 3B	1-2	1	1	3
6A.Duvall, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	1-3	1	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	0	0