Pirates vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 12, 2025

Pirates at Twins

6:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

61-76

4 - 12

Minnesota Twins

61-74

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sands			3.97	3-3
M.Burrows			4.23	1-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 61-76	+1.5	+1.5-180	o9.5-107	+115
Twins 61-74	u9	-1.5+147	u9.5-113	-136

Saturday 6:10 p.m.

July 12, 2025

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN -135 (Live)

0.74u

MIN -1.5 (Live)+154

1.54u

Over 9.5-107

0.93u

PIT +116

Under 5.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

There is a big question mark what the Twins do after Cole Sands, so I'm going to embrace that variance. Travis Adams is the expected bulk reliever, who doesn't have the greatest metrics. Still, I'm going to take the leap and trust whatever the Twins do in this spot. On the other side is Mike Burrows, who has been solid this season and I'm trusting his underlying metrics. He has a 4.52 FIP but 3.91 xFIP. The total for this game has moved from 9 to 9.5, and as a result we've seen the F5 shift to 5.5. I have this projected closer to 5.1.

Over 9.5-104

PIT +125

Read the full writeup at @PicksOffice on X.

B.Buxton o1.5 Total Bases-102

Under 9.5-130

1.3u

Cold Bats, Cooler Totals Overall: 812-575-61,59% (ROI:13%) Season:25-21-0,54% (ROI:4%)

Pirates vs Twins: Model Identifies Repeat Spot
Action Network Staff•
Jul 12, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 34-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 29 of Twins' 65 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	67-67	33-32	34-35	35-41	30-25
Pirates	75-61	42-27	33-34	17-23	56-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	60-68-6	29-33-3	31-35-3	34-39-3	24-28-3
Pirates	53-75-8	28-36-5	25-39-3	16-22-2	36-52-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	61-73	34-31	27-42	39-37	21-34
Pirates	60-76	39-30	21-46	20-20	39-55

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 12th	PIT	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7	MIN -144
Jul 10th	CHC	L 1-8	+1.5 L	U 9.5	CHC -105
Jul 9th	CHC	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	MIN -112
Jul 8th	CHC	W 8-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	MIN +115
Jul 6th	TB	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TB -132

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

Alan Roden
LF
Roden is out with thumb
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Burrows, P	56	1.1	1	6
LG.Cabrera, P	33	1.2	1	3
RY.Ramirez, P	30	2	4	0
LA.Heaney, P	34	2	0	3
RD.Bednar, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Horwitz, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
2A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	1	0	0
3B.Reynolds, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3A.Frazier, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
4N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
4N.Gonzales, SS	1-4	0	0	1
5O.Cruz, CF	1-3	1	0	0
5T.Pham, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5T.Pham, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Suwinski, LF	1-4	1	1	1
7J.Suwinski, CF	1-4	1	1	1
8J.Bart, C	2-4	0	0	1
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Canario, RF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Sands, P	19	2	0	0
RT.Adams, P	67	4	3	1
LA.Misiewicz, P	39	1.1	1	2
RJ.Topa, P	30	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Buxton, CF	5-5	3	1	2
1D.Keirsey, CF	0-0	0	0	0
2W.Castro, LF	3-4	2	1	3
3T.Larnach, RF	0-2	1	0	1
4R.Jeffers, C	1-5	0	0	1
5B.Lee, SS	1-5	0	0	1
6M.Wallner, DH	2-5	1	1	1
7R.Lewis, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
8T.France, 1B	0-3	2	0	0
9K.Clemens, 2B	2-4	2	1	3