Pirates vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 12, 2025

Pirates at Twins

6:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

4 - 12

Minnesota Twins

27-32

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sands			4.50	4-6
M.Burrows			3.94	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 31-28	+1.5	+1.5-180	o9.5-107	+115
Twins 27-32	u9	-1.5+147	u9.5-113	-136

Saturday 6:10 p.m.

July 12, 2025

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN -1.5 (Live)+154

1.54u

MIN -135 (Live)

0.74u

Over 9.5-107

0.93u

PIT +116

Under 5.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

There is a big question mark what the Twins do after Cole Sands, so I'm going to embrace that variance. Travis Adams is the expected bulk reliever, who doesn't have the greatest metrics. Still, I'm going to take the leap and trust whatever the Twins do in this spot. On the other side is Mike Burrows, who has been solid this season and I'm trusting his underlying metrics. He has a 4.52 FIP but 3.91 xFIP. The total for this game has moved from 9 to 9.5, and as a result we've seen the F5 shift to 5.5. I have this projected closer to 5.1.

Over 9.5-104

PIT +125

Read the full writeup at @PicksOffice on X.

B.Buxton o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-140

$1.00

O.Cruz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-140

$1.00

B.Buxton o1.5 Total Bases-102

Pirates vs Twins: Model Identifies Repeat Spot
Action Network Staff•
Jul 12, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 15-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Twins' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	32-27	17-12	15-15	8-8	24-18
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	33-21-5	14-11-4	19-10-1	9-6-1	23-15-4
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	27-32	15-14	12-18	7-9	20-22
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 12th	PIT	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7	MIN -144
Jul 10th	CHC	L 1-8	+1.5 L	U 9.5	CHC -105
Jul 9th	CHC	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	MIN -112
Jul 8th	CHC	W 8-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	MIN +115
Jul 6th	TB	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TB -132

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Burrows, P	56	1.1	1	6
LG.Cabrera, P	33	1.2	1	3
RY.Ramirez, P	30	2	4	0
LA.Heaney, P	34	2	0	3
RD.Bednar, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Horwitz, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
2A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	1	0	0
3B.Reynolds, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3A.Frazier, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
4N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
4N.Gonzales, SS	1-4	0	0	1
5O.Cruz, CF	1-3	1	0	0
5T.Pham, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5T.Pham, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Suwinski, LF	1-4	1	1	1
7J.Suwinski, CF	1-4	1	1	1
8J.Bart, C	2-4	0	0	1
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Canario, RF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Sands, P	19	2	0	0
RT.Adams, P	67	4	3	1
LA.Misiewicz, P	39	1.1	1	2
RJ.Topa, P	30	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Buxton, CF	5-5	3	1	2
1D.Keirsey, CF	0-0	0	0	0
2W.Castro, LF	3-4	2	1	3
3T.Larnach, RF	0-2	1	0	1
4R.Jeffers, C	1-5	0	0	1
5B.Lee, SS	1-5	0	0	1
6M.Wallner, DH	2-5	1	1	1
7R.Lewis, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
8T.France, 1B	0-3	2	0	0
9K.Clemens, 2B	2-4	2	1	3