Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Pirates at Red Sox

5:35 pm • NESN

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

4 - 1

Boston Red Sox

24-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C. Kluber			7.04	3-6
M.Keller			4.21	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 31-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
Red Sox 24-33	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 5:35 p.m.

April 05, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

Under 8.5-105

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-120

$1.20

C.Kluber o4.5 Ks-115

PIT +129

0.65u

PIT +135

0.68u

too much cheddar here

Under 9+100

0.5u

Need +100 or better

PIT +125

1.25u

Cunningham's Favorite MLB Bets for Wednesday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 5, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
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The Red Sox are 31-34 (.477) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Pirates are just 53-8 (.869) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Red Sox are just 27-49 (.355) when underdogs since the 2022 season -- 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

51% of fastball strikeouts for Rafael Devers were located out of the zone last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 46% of Mitch Keller fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 87th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 36% (188/519) against Corey Kluber in 2022 -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents batted .356 (47-for-132) against Corey Kluber with runners in scoring position in 2022 -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 -- fourth Percentile.

Mitch Keller allowed an OBP of .406 (160 PA's) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .296 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (53/154) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2021 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 14-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Red Sox' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	23-34	9-19	14-15	14-22	8-12
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	26-29-2	9-17-2	17-12	16-18-2	10-10
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	24-33	9-19	15-14	16-20	7-13
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 4th	PIT	L 1-4	-	-	-
Apr 3rd	PIT	L 6-7	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	BAL	W 9-5	-	-	-
Apr 1st	BAL	W 9-8	-	-	-
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	107	7	7	1
LR.Zastryzny, P	8	1	1	0
RD. Underwood, P	5	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	1-4	1	0	0
1C.Joe, RF	0-1	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-3	1	0	1
3A.McCutchen, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
6J.Suwinski, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Suwinski, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7R.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7R.Castro, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Bae, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Bae, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC. Kluber, P	67	5	2	1
RJ.Schreiber, P	24	1	2	1
RK.Ort, P	29	1	1	2
LR. Bleier, P	19	1	0	0
RZ.Kelly, P	22	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	0-3	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-3	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	0-4	0	0
5T.Casas, 1B	1-4	1	0
6C. Arroyo, 2B	2-3	0	1
7R. Tapia, CF	1-3	0	0
8Y. Chang, SS	0-2	0	0
8R.McGuire, PH	0-1	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-1	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-2	0	0
9E.Hernandez, SS	0-1	0	0