Phillies vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Phillies at Yankees

5:05 pm • YES

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

2 - 4

New York Yankees

8-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Cole			2.63	15-4
A.Nola			4.46	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-152	o6.5-110	+137
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+128	u6.5-110	-168

Wednesday 5:05 p.m.

April 05, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

Under 3.5 (F5)-134

0.75u

NYY u1.5 (F5)+100

A.Nola u7.5 Ks-150

BetMGM: Nola had a brutal opening start and a couple of the concerns were his 53% first pitch strike % and 7% swinging strike rate. It’s going to be tougher for him to rack up Ks until those rebound. He had one of the slowest paces with runners on base last year so have to figure the new pitch clock rules could explain his early struggles. Franchy Cordero (batting 7th) is his easiest K victim but I’m only giving him a 20% chance to face him a 3rd time, which is one of the reasons I’m showing value here. Projecting this closer to -210

A.Rizzo o0.5 HR+625

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Betting 0.1U on both HR and Double for players I like today.

A.Rizzo o0.5 Doubles+500

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Betting 0.1U on both HR and Double for players I like today.

NYY -1-105

J.Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases+100

$50.00

Under 6.5-110

Under 3.5 (F5)-120

Under 7-115

0.5u

Need -115 or better

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The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 11-42 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Phillies are 8-132 (.057) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Kyle Schwarber batted just .217 last season -- tied for eighth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Left handed batters hit just .182 (59-for-324) against Gerrit Cole last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Gleyber Torres had a swing rate of 40% on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Opponents batted just .277 (28-for-101) against Aaron Nola on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- fifth best among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Opponents batted just .246 (17-for-69) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 38% (156/413) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the third time in a game in 2022 -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (5/34) against Aaron Nola this season -- 11th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- eighth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 4th	PHI	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PHI -161
Apr 3rd	PHI	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYY -177
Apr 2nd	SF	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY -137
Apr 1st	SF	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	SF -144
Mar 30th	SF	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 6.5	NYY -180

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	87	6	5	3
LG.Soto, P	34	1	3	1
RS.Dominguez, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2K.Schwarber, LF	1-4	1	1	1
3J.Realmuto, C	0-4	0	0	0
4D.Hall, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
4E.Sosa, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
4E.Sosa, CF	0-2	0	0	0
5N.Castellanos, DH	0-3	1	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Cave, RF	0-1	0	0	1
9C.Pache, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9J. Harrison, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J. Harrison, 3B	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Cole, P	103	6.1	8	1
RJ.Loaisiga, P	16	1.2	1	1
RC.Holmes, P	16	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.LeMahieu, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
2A.Judge, CF	1-3	1	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4G.Torres, DH	3-4	0	0	2
5J. Donaldson, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Cabrera, LF	1-3	1	0	0
7F. Cordero, RF	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	1-3	1	1	2
9A.Volpe, SS	0-3	0	0	0