Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - September 4, 2024

Phillies at Blue Jays

7:07 pm • NBC 10

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

4 - 2

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Francis			3.30	8-5
C.Sanchez			3.32	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+130	o7.5-115	-133
Blue Jays 0-0	+1.5-155	u7.5-105	+113

Wednesday 7:07 p.m.

September 04, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases+115

TOR +110

1.5u

I am very high on TOR pitcher B. Francis. We cashed on him last week & we’ll do it again this week. In 34.1 innings in Aug. he only allowed 4 ER on 10 hits… unheard of.. with that being said, the PHI bats have been top 10 in the L15 days, but bump down to 13th in the L7. TOR bats on the other hand have been 6th in BA in the L15 days & 3rd in the L7 days. They will see C. Sanchez who has had a good year, but has been getting hit up these L2 months allowing 71 hits & 36 runs in that time.. His weak spot has been pitching away allowing a .324 BA, during the day allowing a .303 BA, & vs R’s allowing a .273 BA. TOR will have 7 lefties in their lineup today.. Getting TOR at plus money here is a steal. I would honestly lay juice if they were the favorite.

PHI -1.5+130

2.6u

🔑 Phillies -1.5 +130 (DraftKings) 2u I know they almost gave us a heart attack last night and I typically don’t like taking a team the next day after a big W like that but that sort of win is a destiny, season changing win. Christopher Sanchez is not going to spot the Blue Jays 8 runs and Bowden Francis is due for a clunker. I think this is a perfect spot to get extra value at -1.5. Let’s go!

B.Francis u2.5 Earned Runs-135

1.35u

Johnny

PHI -120 (F5)

@sandyplashkes

Under 8-120

0.83u

Join our 25,000+ Movement! 👉 https://discord.gg/house-of-degens System Plays for the Under: Overall: 309-259-21,54% (ROI:6%) Season:309-259-21,54% (ROI:6%) Overall: 153-125-8,55% (ROI:7%) Season:153-125-8,55% (ROI:7%) Overall: 263-222-28,54% (ROI:6%) Season:263-222-28,54% (ROI:6%)

B.Francis o5.5 Ks+115

1.15u

K.Schwarber o0.5 HR+310

1.55u

B.Harper o0.5 HR+450

0.5u

TOR +110

PHI -120 (F5)

B.Francis o16.5 Outs-140

Under 8-105

0.5u

Bet to -115

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The Phillies are 7-3 (.700) after a win as underdogs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .691 since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has allowed an OPS of just .539 (441 PAs) since last season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Bryce Harper is batting .340 with RISP this season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .291 (39-for-134) against Chris Bassitt with RISP this season -- ninth worst among qualified SPs-- 16th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .355 (77 Total Bases / 217 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 -- 100th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts -- tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 3rd	PHI	L 9-10	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PHI -116
Sep 1st	@MIN	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN +225
Aug 31st	@MIN	W 15-0	+1.5 W	O 9	TOR +123
Aug 31st	@MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7.5	MIN +159
Aug 29th	@BOS	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 8	TOR +110

Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	96	7	7	2
RJ.Hoffman, P	11	1	1	0
RC.Estevez, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	2-3	1	1	1
1J.Rojas, PR	0-1	0	0	0
1J.Rojas, CF	0-1	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
3E.Sosa, PH	0-2	0	0	0
3E.Sosa, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
4N.Castellanos, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	1-4	1	1	1
7B.Marsh, CF	3-3	1	0	0
7B.Marsh, LF	3-3	1	0	0
8W.Wilson, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Clemens, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
9K.Clemens, 1B	1-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Francis, P	89	6	6	3
LB.Little, P	15	1	0	0
RT.Nance, P	19	1	1	0
RR.Burr, P	19	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	0-4	0	0
2D.Varsho, CF	1-4	1	0
3V.Guerrero, 3B	1-4	1	1
4A.Kirk, DH	1-4	0	1
5E.Clement, SS	0-4	0	0
6S.Horwitz, 1B	1-3	0	0
6L.De Los Santos, PR	0-0	0	0
7L.Jimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0
7W.Wagner, PH	0-1	0	0
8D.Schneider, LF	1-3	0	0
9B.Serven, C	1-3	0	0