Padres vs Reds Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - June 30, 2023

Padres at Reds

9:10 pm • BSOH

San Diego Padres

47-48

5 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

43-51

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Ashcraft			4.76	7-9
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 47-48	N/A	N/A	N/A
Reds 43-51	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 9:10 p.m.

June 30, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+110

$1.10

J.Soto o0.5 Hits-250

$1.00

SD -140

$1.00

J.Soto o1.5 Total Bases+105

0.53u

M.Machado o0.5 HR+360

0.1u

Under 11-110

1.1u

F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-140

$2.80

SD -134

Reds (12-16) as home dogs - @studyhallsharp Tail

Over 11-107

CIN +114

1.14u

SD -134

1.34u

Over 11-105

0.5u

SD o5.5-115

CIN +122

0.61u

Bet to +118

CIN +130

0.65u

SD has all the edges in this game except CIN 95/97 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, SDP 91/94). I do have them favored, but by a much smaller amount on the road.

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The Padres are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Padres are just 7-40 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Trent Grisham has an OPS of just .655 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .469 (396 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Trent Grisham has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Alexis Diaz has a strikeout rate of 35% since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an average spin rate of 2777.1 RPM on sliders since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 2402.0 -- 99th Percentile.

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)-- ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth best among qualified RPs)-- 91st Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has averaged 96.9 MPH on fastballs since last season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 26-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Reds' 49 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	50-44	24-25	26-19	15-13	35-30
Padres	51-44	27-23	24-21	20-20	31-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	52-41-1	26-23	26-18-1	18-10	34-30-1
Padres	41-53-1	21-28-1	20-25	15-24-1	26-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	43-51	22-27	21-24	16-12	27-38
Padres	47-48	26-24	21-24	22-18	25-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	@BAL	W 11-7	-	-	-
Jun 27th	@BAL	W 3-1	-	-	-
Jun 26th	@BAL	L 3-10	-	-	-
Jun 25th	ATL	L 6-7	-	-	-
Jun 24th	ATL	L 6-7	-	-	-

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	94	6	6	0
RB.Honeywell, P	19	0.1	0	1
RN.Martinez, P	14	1.2	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	20	1	3	0
LR.Kerr, P	14	1	0	1
RD. Carlton, P	14	0.2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-5	1	0	1
2J.Soto, LF	3-5	0	0	1
3M.Machado, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-5	2	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
6G.Sanchez, C	2-4	0	0	1
7M.Carpenter, DH	0-2	0	0	1
7N. Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7N. Cruz, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8R. Odor, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
8H.Kim, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8H.Kim, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	94	6.2	7	1
RL.Sims, P	19	1.1	2	0
RA.Diaz, P	13	1	0	1
RI.Gibaut, P	11	1	0	1
LA.Young, P	9	0.2	0	0
RD.Duarte, P	9	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2M.McLain, SS	1-5	1	1	2
3J.India, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
4E.De La Cruz, DH	2-5	1	0	1
4E.De La Cruz, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0	1
5K.Newman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5K.Newman, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5K.Newman, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Senzel, PH	0-2	1	0	0
6N.Senzel, RF	0-2	1	0	0
7S.Steer, 3B	2-3	1	1	2
7S.Steer, 1B	2-3	1	1	2
7S.Steer, LF	2-3	1	1	2
8T.Stephenson, C	2-4	2	1	1
9W.Benson, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, PH	0-1	0	0	0