Padres vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 30, 2023

Padres at Reds

9:10 pm • BSOH

San Diego Padres

70-56

5 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

67-60

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Ashcraft			4.76	7-9
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 70-56	-1.5+107	o10.5-114	-147
Reds 67-60	+1.5-130	u10.5-106	+122

Friday 9:10 p.m.

June 30, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Under 11-110

1.1u

SD -134

Reds (12-16) as home dogs - @studyhallsharp Tail

Over 11-107

CIN +114

1.14u

SD -134

1.34u

CIN +122

0.61u

Bet to +118

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The Padres are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Padres are just 7-40 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Trent Grisham has an OPS of just .655 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .469 (396 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Trent Grisham has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Alexis Diaz has a strikeout rate of 35% since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an average spin rate of 2777.1 RPM on sliders since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 2402.0 -- 99th Percentile.

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)-- ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth best among qualified RPs)-- 91st Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has averaged 96.9 MPH on fastballs since last season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 33-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Reds' 63 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	67-59	34-29	33-30	25-31	42-27
Padres	70-57	34-27	36-30	32-37	37-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	46-73-7	20-38-5	26-35-2	14-39-3	31-34-4
Padres	52-71-4	26-34-1	26-37-3	35-32-2	17-38-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	67-61	35-28	31-32	31-25	35-34
Padres	71-56	40-21	31-35	42-27	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	@BAL	W 11-7	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN +140
Jun 27th	@BAL	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8	CIN +131
Jun 26th	@BAL	L 3-10	+1.5 L	O 10	BAL +110
Jun 25th	ATL	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 11	ATL +182
Jun 24th	ATL	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 12	ATL +115

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Michael King
SP
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out

Nick Lodolo
SP
Lodolo is out with blister
Out
Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	94	6	6	0
RB.Honeywell, P	19	0.1	0	1
RN.Martinez, P	14	1.2	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	20	1	3	0
LR.Kerr, P	14	1	0	1
RD. Carlton, P	14	0.2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-5	1	0	1
2J.Soto, LF	3-5	0	0	1
3M.Machado, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-5	2	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
6G.Sanchez, C	2-4	0	0	1
7M.Carpenter, DH	0-2	0	0	1
7N. Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7N. Cruz, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8R. Odor, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
8H.Kim, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8H.Kim, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	94	6.2	7	1
RL.Sims, P	19	1.1	2	0
RA.Diaz, P	13	1	0	1
RI.Gibaut, P	11	1	0	1
LA.Young, P	9	0.2	0	0
RD.Duarte, P	9	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2M.McLain, SS	1-5	1	1	2
3J.India, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
4E.De La Cruz, DH	2-5	1	0	1
4E.De La Cruz, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0	1
5K.Newman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5K.Newman, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5K.Newman, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Senzel, PH	0-2	1	0	0
6N.Senzel, RF	0-2	1	0	0
7S.Steer, 3B	2-3	1	1	2
7S.Steer, 1B	2-3	1	1	2
7S.Steer, LF	2-3	1	1	2
8T.Stephenson, C	2-4	2	1	1
9W.Benson, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, PH	0-1	0	0	0