Padres vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - September 1, 2024

Padres at Rays

5:40 pm • BSSUN
4 - 3
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Ryan Pepiot logoR.PepiotTampa Bay Rays logo3.608-8
Dylan Cease logoD.CeaseSan Diego Padres logo3.4714-11

Padres at Rays Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres
4-3
-1.5+145
o7+102
-121
Rays
0-0
+1.5-175
u7-120
+102
location pinSunday 5:40 p.m.
September 01, 2024
Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg
Padres vs. Rays Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
69d ago
Last 30d: 24-51-0 (-18.2u)
M.Machado o175 Total Bases (Live)+110
1u
JB Bets
JB Bets
69d ago
Last 30d: 70-79-0 (-0.7u)
SD -120
0.83u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
69d ago
Last 30d: 59-59-1 (-3.5u)
SD -132
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
69d ago
Last 30d: 85-110-3 (-32.3u)
TB +0.5 (F5)-130
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Dylan Cease has been a model of inconsistency of late, with a 3.57 ERA that masks his recent struggles. In his last three starts, Cease's ERA has swelled to 4.96-the end result of poor starts where Cease fails to keep his opponents off the board early. He allowed four runs in just over four innings to a scuffling Cardinals lineup and three runs in six innings against the Mets; he was hit hard early in both those games. Cease's inefficiency is further illustrated by his P/IP, which ballooned to 22.2 against the Cardinals-a sign that he often labors through innings and allows early scoring chances to opponents. Indeed, Cease has historically struggled against Tampa Bay-a fact well documented by personal outings where he allowed six earned runs in four innings of work and three to four runs in other short starts. In these games, he has high P/IPs, ranging from 16.1 to 25.2, that show how much trouble he is in wrangling the Rays lineup. Additionally, Cease has created apparent control problems, with the five walks he issued against the Diamondbacks remaining part of his inflated ERA. Pretty easily, in fact, such control-lapse fits can be converted into early runs for Tampa Bay, especially with Cease mixed on the road. The games lined up against teams such as the Marlins and Pirates further give them pointers of vulnerability in early scoring away from home. On the other side, Ryan Pepiot has been hot lately, with a 2.08 ERA over his last three starts. Pepiot has pitched efficiently, keeping his P/IP low: 13.5 vs. Cleveland and 15.0 vs. both the Diamondbacks and Athletics to stay in and out and limit chances of scoring. His recent performances-against lineups that haveTRY become formidable, like the Yankees and Mariners-in which he allowed two earned runs in 5.2 innings against each, further attest to his ability to suppress early offense. Pepiot's control has been outstanding with minimal walks and home runs allowed, such as just one walk in six innings against the Athletics. This is imperative in not allowing big innings early and increases the Rays' chances greatly to take an early lead.
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
69d ago
Last 30d: 118-116-0 (+3.4u)
SD -118
1u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
69d ago
Last 30d: 35-29-0 (+5.8u)
R.Pepiot u5.5 Ks-148
1u

PRO Insights

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Padres

SD Insights
  • Padres logoPadres RPs have a strikeout rate of 31% this month -- highest in MLB. Rays have struck out 28% this month -- second highest in MLB.
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Rays

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    Padres vs. Rays Previews & Analysis

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    Padres vs. Rays Notes

    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Padres vs. Rays Public Betting Percentages

    71%

    Bets%

    29%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Rays
    89-7345-3644-3732-3655-34
    Padres
    82-7835-4547-3343-5737-19

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Rays
    68-88-636-40-532-48-129-38-136-48-5
    Padres
    81-74-544-34-237-40-351-44-528-28

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Rays
    80-8242-3938-4336-3242-47
    Padres
    93-6945-3547-3358-4231-25

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Aug 31stSDW 11-4-1.5 WO 8TB -121
    Aug 30thSDL 5-13-1.5 LO 7.5SD -125
    Aug 28th@SEAL 2-6+1.5 LO 6.5SEA +132
    Aug 28th@SEAW 3-2+1.5 WU 6.5TB +142
    Aug 27th@SEAL 1-5+1.5 LU 7SEA +110

    Rays vs. Padres Injury Updates

    Rays Injuries

    • Jeffrey Springs
      P

      Springs is out with elbow

      Out

    • Shane McClanahan
      P

      McClanahan is out for season with elbow

      Out for Season

    Padres Injuries

    • Mason McCoy
      IF

      McCoy is out with back

      Out

    Padres vs. Rays Box Score
    Padres Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Dylan Cease logoRD.Cease, P84543
    Jason Adam logoRJ.Adam, P11100
    Jeremiah Estrada logoRJ.Estrada, P22110
    Tanner Scott logoLT.Scott, P21120
    Robert Suarez logoRR.Suarez, P14110
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Luis Arraez logo1L.Arraez, DH1-4000
    Jurickson Profar logo2J.Profar, LF0-2001
    Jake Cronenworth logo3J.Cronenworth, 1B0-2000
    Jake Cronenworth logo3J.Cronenworth, 2B0-2000
    Tyler Wade logo3T.Wade, PR0-0100
    Tyler Wade logo3T.Wade, 2B0-0100
    Manny Machado logo4M.Machado, 3B1-4000
    Xander Bogaerts logo5X.Bogaerts, 2B2-4101
    Xander Bogaerts logo5X.Bogaerts, SS2-4101
    Jackson Merrill logo6J.Merrill, CF1-5112
    David Peralta logo7D.Peralta, RF1-4100
    Bryce Johnson logo7B.Johnson, RF0-0000
    Luis Campusano logo8L.Campusano, C0-2000
    Mason McCoy logo9M.McCoy, SS0-2000
    Donovan Solano logo9D.Solano, PH0-1000
    Donovan Solano logo9D.Solano, 1B0-1000
    Rays Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Ryan Pepiot logoRR.Pepiot, P89343
    Cole Sulser logoRC.Sulser, P482.210
    Richard Lovelady logoLR.Lovelady, P20100
    Edwin Uceta logoRE.Uceta, P231.120
    Manuel Rodriguez logoRM.Rodriguez, P20101
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Yandy Diaz logo1Y.Diaz, DH1-2100
    Taylor Walls logo1T.Walls, PR0-1000
    Taylor Walls logo1T.Walls, DH0-1000
    Brandon Lowe logo2B.Lowe, 1B1-4100
    Junior Caminero logo3J.Caminero, 3B1-2001
    Josh Lowe logo4J.Lowe, RF0-3000
    Jonny DeLuca logo4J.DeLuca, PH0-1000
    Jonny DeLuca logo4J.DeLuca, RF0-1000
    Dylan Carlson logo5D.Carlson, LF0-4000
    Christopher Morel logo6C.Morel, 2B0-3000
    Ben Rortvedt logo7B.Rortvedt, C0-3000
    Jose Caballero logo8J.Caballero, SS1-4000
    Jose Siri logo9J.Siri, CF0-3100

    Padres vs. Rays Odds Comparison

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    Padres at Rays Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Padres
    4-3
    o3.5-105
    u3.5-125
    Rays
    0-0
    o2.5-145
    u2.5+114