Padres vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - September 1, 2024
Padres at Rays
5:40 pm • BSSUNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
R.Pepiot | 3.60 | 8-8 | ||
D.Cease | 3.47 | 14-11 |
Padres at Rays Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Padres 4-3 | -1.5+145 | o7+102 | -121 | |
Rays 0-0 | +1.5-175 | u7-120 | +102 |
Sunday 5:40 p.m.
September 01, 2024Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg
Padres vs. Rays Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
81d ago
Last 30d: 29-38-0 (-8.7u)
M.Machado o175 Total Bases (Live)+110
1u
JB Bets
81d ago
Last 30d: 56-52-0 (+7.1u)
SD -120
0.83u
The Degenerates
81d ago
Last 30d: 71-77-3 (-13.8u)
SD -132
1u
Picks Office
81d ago
Last 30d: 93-105-0 (-19.9u)
TB +0.5 (F5)-130
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Dylan Cease has been a model of inconsistency of late, with a 3.57 ERA that masks his recent struggles. In his last three starts, Cease's ERA has swelled to 4.96-the end result of poor starts where Cease fails to keep his opponents off the board early. He allowed four runs in just over four innings to a scuffling Cardinals lineup and three runs in six innings against the Mets; he was hit hard early in both those games. Cease's inefficiency is further illustrated by his P/IP, which ballooned to 22.2 against the Cardinals-a sign that he often labors through innings and allows early scoring chances to opponents. Indeed, Cease has historically struggled against Tampa Bay-a fact well documented by personal outings where he allowed six earned runs in four innings of work and three to four runs in other short starts. In these games, he has high P/IPs, ranging from 16.1 to 25.2, that show how much trouble he is in wrangling the Rays lineup.
Additionally, Cease has created apparent control problems, with the five walks he issued against the Diamondbacks remaining part of his inflated ERA. Pretty easily, in fact, such control-lapse fits can be converted into early runs for Tampa Bay, especially with Cease mixed on the road. The games lined up against teams such as the Marlins and Pirates further give them pointers of vulnerability in early scoring away from home.
On the other side, Ryan Pepiot has been hot lately, with a 2.08 ERA over his last three starts. Pepiot has pitched efficiently, keeping his P/IP low: 13.5 vs. Cleveland and 15.0 vs. both the Diamondbacks and Athletics to stay in and out and limit chances of scoring. His recent performances-against lineups that haveTRY become formidable, like the Yankees and Mariners-in which he allowed two earned runs in 5.2 innings against each, further attest to his ability to suppress early offense. Pepiot's control has been outstanding with minimal walks and home runs allowed, such as just one walk in six innings against the Athletics. This is imperative in not allowing big innings early and increases the Rays' chances greatly to take an early lead.
Sandy Plashkes
81d ago
Last 30d: 121-110-0 (+15.6u)
SD -118
1u
Player Prop Savant
81d ago
Last 30d: 40-30-0 (+8.4u)
R.Pepiot u5.5 Ks-148
1u
PRO Insights
Padres
SD Insights
- Featured InsightPadres RPs have a strikeout rate of 31% this month -- highest in MLB. Rays have struck out 28% this month -- second highest in MLB.
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Padres vs. Rays Previews & Analysis
Padres vs. Rays Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Padres vs. Rays Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Rays vs. Padres Injury Updates
Rays Injuries
- Jeffrey SpringsP
Springs is out with elbow
Out
- Shane McClanahanP
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Padres Injuries
- Mason McCoyIF
McCoy is out with back
Out
Padres vs. Rays Box Score
Padres Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RD.Cease, P | 84 | 5 | 4 | 3 | |
RJ.Adam, P | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RJ.Estrada, P | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
LT.Scott, P | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
RR.Suarez, P | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1L.Arraez, DH | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2J.Profar, LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
3J.Cronenworth, 1B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Cronenworth, 2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Wade, PR | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Wade, 2B | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4M.Machado, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5X.Bogaerts, 2B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
5X.Bogaerts, SS | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
6J.Merrill, CF | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
7D.Peralta, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7B.Johnson, RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8L.Campusano, C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9M.McCoy, SS | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9D.Solano, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9D.Solano, 1B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rays Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RR.Pepiot, P | 89 | 3 | 4 | 3 | |
RC.Sulser, P | 48 | 2.2 | 1 | 0 | |
LR.Lovelady, P | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RE.Uceta, P | 23 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | |
RM.Rodriguez, P | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1Y.Diaz, DH | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1T.Walls, PR | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1T.Walls, DH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2B.Lowe, 1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Caminero, 3B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
4J.Lowe, RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4J.DeLuca, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4J.DeLuca, RF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5D.Carlson, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6C.Morel, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7B.Rortvedt, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8J.Caballero, SS | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Siri, CF | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Padres vs. Rays Odds Comparison
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Padres at Rays Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Padres 4-3 | o3.5-105 | u3.5-125 |
Rays 0-0 | o2.5-145 | u2.5+114 |