Rays vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2024

Rays at Mariners

8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW
2 - 6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Luis Castillo logoL.CastilloSeattle Mariners logo3.6411-12
Drew Rasmussen logoD.RasmussenTampa Bay Rays logo2.830-2

Rays at Mariners Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays
0-0
+1.5-175
o6.5-122
+132
Mariners
0-0
-1.5+145
u6.5+101
-156
location pinWednesday 8:10 p.m.
August 28, 2024
T-Mobile ParkSeattle
Rays vs. Mariners Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
76d ago
Last 30d: 211-223-1 (-0.6u)
Under 6.5 (Live)-113
1u
.tsa umpire friendly unders Overall: 2061-1450-166,59% (ROI:13%) Season:46-35-3,57% (ROI:10%) … mariners home unders Overall: 220-145-13,60% (ROI:17%) Season:8-0-0,100% (ROI:91%)
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
76d ago
Last 30d: 103-112-4 (-13.1u)
SEA -0.5 (F5)+105
1.05u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
76d ago
Last 30d: 82-114-3 (-39.0u)
TB +140
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Thus far this season, Rasmussen has a 2.70 ERA through his first six appearances and is holding opponents to a .205 batting average. Rasmussen's strikeout rate of 12.6 per nine innings shows he has the stuff to dominate, and he should be able to stymie a Mariners lineup that has struggled mightily all year. Expected stats are also excellent on Rasmussen, with an xERA of 2.32 and an xBA of .215 that are far and away above league average, showing he has been limiting quality contact effectively. Other than that, his fastball velocity sits in the 90th percentile. His strikeout rate sits at 33.3%, and hard-hit rate sits at 28%, showing he can dominate hitters for the most part. That would make him a good challenge for Seattle's offense. It's clear that the big part of the problem remains the Seattle offense, and yesterday was another clear indication of it, scoring only two runs in support for an otherwise great outing by Logan Gilbert. The Mariners have struggled with running up the score this year, and their 3.95 average runs scored per game would certainly attest to that. That is unlikely to change soon with the tough staff the Rays throw out there. Luis Castillo is Seattle's ace, and he has had his share of issues too. Most of those have been due to a lack of run support. Of late he has not been in the best of form and gave up six hits and five runs in his last outing. While Castillo has had a good season, he does show some vulnerability in important areas. His xERA sits at 3.89 and his xBA at .245, both higher than Rasmussen's, meaning he has allowed more quality contact. His hard-hit percentage sits concerning at 41.9%, placing him below league average in that metric and thus insinuating that when he is hit, it is often with authority. Also, a 24.9% strikeout rate from Castillo, though solid in its own right, isn't quite as dominant as Rasmussen's. And an xSLG of .412 portends extra-base possibilities against him. Rasmussen's hard-contact limitation ability combined with an elite fastball, paired with strong overall expected statistics, set him up well in this matchup. With Castillo prone to hard contact and the strong offense of the Rays, Tampa Bay would have the advantage in this contest. The Rays on the moneyline have a nice value, particularly with Rasmussen performing well over his recent turns and the Mariners struggling with the velocity he can offer.
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
76d ago
Last 30d: 60-82-0 (-26.0u)
L.Castillo o7.5 Ks+100
1u
R.Arozarena o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+100
1u

PRO Insights

Rays logo

Rays

TB Insights
  • Rays logoRays RPs have allowed an OPS of just .520 (371 PAs) this month -- best in MLB. Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .643 this month -- fourth worst in MLB.
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Mariners logo

Mariners

SEA Insights
  • Mariners logoMariners have allowed a run just 12% of the time after an opposing score this month -- lowest in MLB. The Rays have answered-back in just 19% of innings after an opponent scores this month -- third lowest in MLB.
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Rays vs. Mariners Previews & Analysis

  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card

    Sean Zerillo•
    Aug 28, 2024 UTC
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Rays vs. Mariners Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Rays vs. Mariners Public Betting Percentages

16%

Bets%

84%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mariners
74-8838-4336-4547-6226-26
Rays
89-7345-3644-3732-3655-34

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mariners
76-76-1031-45-545-31-550-55-425-21-6
Rays
68-88-636-40-532-48-129-38-136-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mariners
85-7749-3236-4562-4723-29
Rays
80-8242-3938-4336-3242-47

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 28thTBL 2-3-1.5 LU 6.5TB -170
Aug 27thTBW 5-1-1.5 WU 7SEA -130
Aug 25thSFW 4-3-1.5 LU 7SEA -142
Aug 24thSFL 3-4+1.5 WO 6SF -115
Aug 24thSFW 6-5-1.5 LO 7SEA -155

Rays vs. Mariners Injury Updates

Rays Injuries

  • Jeffrey Springs
    P

    Springs is out with elbow

    Out

  • Shane McClanahan
    P

    McClanahan is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Mariners Injuries

  • Sam Haggerty
    OF

    Haggerty is out with achilles

    Out

Rays vs. Mariners Box Score
Rays Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Drew Rasmussen logoRD.Rasmussen, P26220
Kevin Kelly logoRK.Kelly, P261.210
Tyler Alexander logoLT.Alexander, P764.145
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Yandy Diaz logo1Y.Diaz, 1B0-4000
Brandon Lowe logo2B.Lowe, 2B1-3100
Junior Caminero logo3J.Caminero, 3B1-4000
Christopher Morel logo4C.Morel, DH1-4000
Josh Lowe logo5J.Lowe, RF1-4111
Dylan Carlson logo6D.Carlson, LF1-4001
Jose Caballero logo7J.Caballero, SS0-4000
Ben Rortvedt logo8B.Rortvedt, C0-2000
Jose Siri logo9J.Siri, CF1-3000
Mariners Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Luis Castillo logoRL.Castillo, P975.242
Austin Voth logoRA.Voth, P151.130
Collin Snider logoRC.Snider, P8110
Andres Munoz logoRA.Munoz, P13120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
J.P. Crawford logo1J.Crawford, SS0-3100
Julio Rodriguez logo2J.Rodriguez, CF2-4112
Cal Raleigh logo3C.Raleigh, DH0-4000
Randy Arozarena logo4R.Arozarena, LF3-4211
Jorge Polanco logo5J.Polanco, 2B1-4000
Luke Raley logo6L.Raley, 1B0-2001
Dylan Moore logo7D.Moore, 3B1-3100
Mitch Garver logo8M.Garver, C0-3000
Victor Robles logo9V.Robles, RF2-3112

Rays vs. Mariners Odds Comparison

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Rays at Mariners Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Rays
0-0
o2.5-135
u2.5+105
Mariners
0-0
o3.5-110
u3.5-120