Rays vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2024
Rays at Mariners
8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NWStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
L.Castillo | 3.64 | 11-12 | ||
D.Rasmussen | 2.83 | 0-2 |
Rays at Mariners Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Rays 0-0 | +1.5-175 | o6.5-122 | +132 | |
Mariners 0-0 | -1.5+145 | u6.5+101 | -156 |
Wednesday 8:10 p.m.
August 28, 2024T-Mobile ParkSeattle
Rays vs. Mariners Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
85d ago
Last 30d: 262-260-8 (-2.7u)
Under 6.5 (Live)-113
1u
.tsa umpire friendly unders
Overall: 2061-1450-166,59% (ROI:13%)
Season:46-35-3,57% (ROI:10%)
… mariners home unders
Overall: 220-145-13,60% (ROI:17%)
Season:8-0-0,100% (ROI:91%)
Ryan Sura
85d ago
Last 30d: 86-106-5 (-24.4u)
SEA -0.5 (F5)+105
1.05u
Picks Office
85d ago
Last 30d: 93-105-0 (-19.9u)
TB +140
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Thus far this season, Rasmussen has a 2.70 ERA through his first six appearances and is holding opponents to a .205 batting average. Rasmussen's strikeout rate of 12.6 per nine innings shows he has the stuff to dominate, and he should be able to stymie a Mariners lineup that has struggled mightily all year. Expected stats are also excellent on Rasmussen, with an xERA of 2.32 and an xBA of .215 that are far and away above league average, showing he has been limiting quality contact effectively. Other than that, his fastball velocity sits in the 90th percentile. His strikeout rate sits at 33.3%, and hard-hit rate sits at 28%, showing he can dominate hitters for the most part. That would make him a good challenge for Seattle's offense.
It's clear that the big part of the problem remains the Seattle offense, and yesterday was another clear indication of it, scoring only two runs in support for an otherwise great outing by Logan Gilbert. The Mariners have struggled with running up the score this year, and their 3.95 average runs scored per game would certainly attest to that. That is unlikely to change soon with the tough staff the Rays throw out there.
Luis Castillo is Seattle's ace, and he has had his share of issues too. Most of those have been due to a lack of run support. Of late he has not been in the best of form and gave up six hits and five runs in his last outing. While Castillo has had a good season, he does show some vulnerability in important areas. His xERA sits at 3.89 and his xBA at .245, both higher than Rasmussen's, meaning he has allowed more quality contact. His hard-hit percentage sits concerning at 41.9%, placing him below league average in that metric and thus insinuating that when he is hit, it is often with authority. Also, a 24.9% strikeout rate from Castillo, though solid in its own right, isn't quite as dominant as Rasmussen's. And an xSLG of .412 portends extra-base possibilities against him.
Rasmussen's hard-contact limitation ability combined with an elite fastball, paired with strong overall expected statistics, set him up well in this matchup. With Castillo prone to hard contact and the strong offense of the Rays, Tampa Bay would have the advantage in this contest. The Rays on the moneyline have a nice value, particularly with Rasmussen performing well over his recent turns and the Mariners struggling with the velocity he can offer.
Firefighter Bets
85d ago
Last 30d: 54-64-0 (-14.6u)
R.Arozarena o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+100
1u
L.Castillo o7.5 Ks+100
1u
PRO Insights
Rays
TB Insights
- Featured InsightRays RPs have allowed an OPS of just .520 (371 PAs) this month -- best in MLB. Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .643 this month -- fourth worst in MLB.
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Mariners
SEA Insights
- Featured InsightMariners have allowed a run just 12% of the time after an opposing score this month -- lowest in MLB. The Rays have answered-back in just 19% of innings after an opponent scores this month -- third lowest in MLB.
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Rays vs. Mariners Previews & Analysis
Rays vs. Mariners Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Rays vs. Mariners Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Rays vs. Mariners Injury Updates
Rays Injuries
- Jeffrey SpringsP
Springs is out with elbow
Out
- Shane McClanahanP
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Mariners Injuries
- Sam HaggertyOF
Haggerty is out with achilles
Out
Rays vs. Mariners Box Score
Rays Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RD.Rasmussen, P | 26 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
RK.Kelly, P | 26 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | |
LT.Alexander, P | 76 | 4.1 | 4 | 5 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1Y.Diaz, 1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2B.Lowe, 2B | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Caminero, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4C.Morel, DH | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5J.Lowe, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
6D.Carlson, LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
7J.Caballero, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8B.Rortvedt, C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Siri, CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mariners Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RL.Castillo, P | 97 | 5.2 | 4 | 2 | |
RA.Voth, P | 15 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 | |
RC.Snider, P | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RA.Munoz, P | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Crawford, SS | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2J.Rodriguez, CF | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
3C.Raleigh, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4R.Arozarena, LF | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
5J.Polanco, 2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6L.Raley, 1B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
7D.Moore, 3B | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8M.Garver, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9V.Robles, RF | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Rays vs. Mariners Odds Comparison
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Rays at Mariners Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Rays 0-0 | o2.5-135 | u2.5+105 |
Mariners 0-0 | o3.5-110 | u3.5-120 |