Mets vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2024

Mets at Phillies

10:40 pm • MLB Network

New York Mets

57-44

6 - 5

Philadelphia Phillies

57-43

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			7.10	3-7
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 57-44	+1.5-170	o8.5-115	+118
Phillies 57-43	-1.5+143	u8.5-105	-138

Thursday 10:40 p.m.

May 16, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

NYM +1.5-170

Over 4.5 (F5)-110

1.1u

T.Walker u4.5 Ks-130

0.5u

Mets low 20% K rate v righties. NYM positive run value v Walker’s pitch arsenal 4seam-Sinker-Slider

J.Quintana u16.5 Outs-115

Quintana under in 6/8 starts, coming off two tough outings. 3.89 pitches per PA. His pitch count is driven up by his low zone%: 37.1% is 192nd/203 pitchers with 20+ innings. And he doesn’t induce chases (23rd percentile). Phillies have reduced their chase rate lately, with the 10th lowest in the L30 days, and they have the 2nd highest walk rate vs lefties this season. Plus, the Phillies are mashing: 126 wRC+ and .794 OPS vs lefties the L30 days, and 12/18 lefty starters under this line (7/8 in PHI).

PHI o4.5 Team Total+102

1.02u

Chicfila has a new spicy biscuit for breakfast

PHI -2.5+200

0.5u

GTA free money glitch

PHI -1.5+140

2024 POTUS Bryce “Mammoth Cock” Harper

PHI -150

Throwing piss water bottles at Mets fans

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Featured Insight
The Phillies have allowed just 3.2 runs per game on the road this season -- third lowest in MLB (21 games). The Mets have scored just 3.3 runs per game at home this season -- tied for second lowest in MLB (24 games).

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Mets vs. Phillies: Expect Fireworks at Citizens Bank
Tony Sartori•
May 16, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- 14th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Bryce Harper has an OPS of .835 with two strikes this season -- fifth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Jose Quintana has allowed an OPS of .649 (90 PAs) with two strikes this season -- seventh worst among qualified SPs-- eighth Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (117/207) in two strike counts this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- second Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 58% (353/605) against right-handed batters this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 25-25 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Phillies' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	49-51	24-26	25-25	38-41	11-10
Mets	48-53	26-25	22-28	32-40	16-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	41-55-4	25-23-2	16-32-2	33-42-4	8-13
Mets	45-55-1	24-26-1	21-29	36-35-1	9-20

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	57-43	32-18	25-25	50-29	7-14
Mets	57-44	35-16	22-28	46-26	11-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	NYM	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PHI -202
May 14th	@NYM	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PHI -122
May 13th	@NYM	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7	PHI -101
May 12th	@MIA	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7	MIA -205
May 11th	@MIA	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8	PHI -123

Starling Marte
LF
Marte is out with knee
Out
Jesse Winker
LF
Winker is out with back
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Alec Bohm
3B
Bohm is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	81	5.1	4	2
RR.Garrett, P	23	1.2	2	1
RA.Ottavino, P	13	1	0	0
RE.Diaz, P	25	1	2	1
RJ.Lopez, P	6	1	0	0
LJ.Diekman, P	22	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Taylor, CF	0-5	1	0	0
1T.Taylor, LF	0-5	1	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	2	1	1
3F.Lindor, SS	0-5	1	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	1-4	1	0	1
5D.Stewart, LF	1-3	0	0	0
5H.Bader, PR	2-2	0	0	1
5H.Bader, CF	2-2	0	0	1
6S.Marte, RF	2-5	1	0	0
7B.Baty, 3B	1-2	0	0	1
7M.Vientos, PH	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Vientos, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	59	3.1	1	2
LM.Strahm, P	16	1.2	2	0
RO.Kerkering, P	27	1	3	0
LG.Soto, P	9	1	0	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	33	1	2	0
RJ.Ruiz, P	30	2	3	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	15	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-6	0	1
2J.Realmuto, C	2-5	1	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-5	0	1
5N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	1	1
6W.Merrifield, 2B	1-5	0	0
6W.Merrifield, LF	1-5	0	0
7B.Marsh, LF	0-4	1	0
7B.Marsh, CF	0-4	1	0
8E.Sosa, SS	0-1	0	0
8K.Clemens, PH	0-2	0	0
8K.Clemens, 2B	0-2	0	0
8J.Rojas, PR	0-0	0	0
9C.Pache, CF	0-2	0	0
9B.Stott, PH	1-2	1	2
9B.Stott, SS	1-2	1	2