Marlins vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - September 9, 2024

Marlins at Pirates

10:40 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

26-33

2 - 3

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3
V.Bellozo			3.67	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 26-33	+1.5+105	o8-113	+225
Pirates 31-28	-1.5-125	u8-106	-276

Monday 10:40 p.m.

September 09, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

MIA +240

0.25u

Small to +215

MIA +225

0.5u

This is ugly. Skenes is a massive pitching edge, but it's their only edge. MIA equal or better offense/defense/bullpen/base running.

PIT -1.5-125

$1.25

P.Skenes u1.5 Earned Runs-130

Johnny

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Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored 6.4 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (7 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.4 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB (7 games).

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Our MLB Best Bets for Monday Night
Action Network Staff•
Sep 9, 2024 UTC

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The Pirates are just 7-33 (.175) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Pirates are 5-57 (.081) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Jake Burger has an OPS of just .450 with two strikes this season -- 11th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Paul Skenes has allowed an OPS of just .388 (265 PAs) with two strikes this season -- ninth best among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Jake Burger has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 39% since last season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 38% (44 SO in 117 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 32% (142 SO in 444 PAs) this season -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Marlins	24-35	13-20	11-15	14-18	10-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Marlins	35-21-3	17-16	18-5-3	15-17	20-4-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Marlins	26-33	18-15	8-18	20-12	6-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 8th	WSH	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT -157
Sep 7th	WSH	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -148
Sep 7th	WSH	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -130
Sep 5th	WSH	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 8	PIT -125
Sep 4th	@CHC	L 0-12	+1.5 L	O 8	CHC +173

Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RV.Bellozo, P	91	5.1	2	1
RL.Bachar, P	9	0.2	1	0
LA.Veneziano, P	8	1	2	0
RM.Baumann, P	29	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1X.Edwards, SS	2-4	0	0
2C.Norby, DH	0-4	0	0
3J.Burger, 3B	0-4	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	2-4	2	0
5J.Bride, 1B	1-4	0	0
6G.Conine, LF	0-3	0	0
6J.Sanoja, PH	0-0	0	0
7O.Lopez, 2B	2-4	0	1
8K.Stowers, CF	0-3	0	0
8C.Pache, PH	1-1	0	1
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P	98	6	9	1
RC.Holderman, P	11	1	1	0
RD.Santana, P	11	1	2	0
LA.Chapman, P	23	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0	2
3O.Cruz, CF	1-4	1	1	1
4A.McCutchen, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4M.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Taylor, DH	0-0	0	0	0
5R.Tellez, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6B.De La Cruz, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Triolo, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9A.Williams, SS	0-3	1	0	0