Nationals vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2024

Nationals at Pirates

5:35 pm • SportsNet PT

Washington Nationals

30-29

5 - 3

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Ortiz			3.32	7-6
D.Herz			4.16	4-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 30-29	-1.5	+1.5-192	o8.5-106	+110
Pirates 31-28	u8.5	-1.5+162	u8.5-113	-130

Saturday 5:35 p.m.

September 07, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

L.Ortiz o16.5 Outs-140

0.71u

D.Herz To Record 8+ Strikeouts Yes+350

0.4u

D.Herz o5.5 Ks-120

Featured Insight
Nationals have struck out just 15% this month -- second lowest in MLB. Pirates have a strikeout rate of just 19% this month -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Pirates are batting .354 with RISP over the last week -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .478 (11-for-23) against Nationals RPs with RISP over the last week -- second worst in MLB.

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The Pirates are just 22-67 (.247) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.

The Pirates are just 7-33 (.175) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Nationals are just 17-61 (.218) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Davidjohn Herz has a strikeout rate of 29% this season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 26% (28/106) against Davidjohn Herz on inside fastballs this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 15% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Nationals	37-22	13-15	24-7	1-2	36-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Nationals	37-19-3	19-7-2	18-12-1	3-0	34-19-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Nationals	30-29	11-17	19-12	1-2	29-27

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 5th	WSH	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 8	PIT -125
Sep 4th	@CHC	L 0-12	+1.5 L	O 8	CHC +173
Sep 3rd	@CHC	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT -122
Sep 2nd	@CHC	W 5-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	PIT +130
Sep 1st	@CLE	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CLE +131

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Herz, P	87	5	5	0
LR.Garcia, P	15	1.2	1	1
RJ.Barnes, P	7	0.1	0	1
RD.Law, P	17	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	23	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0	1
2J.Wood, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Chaparro, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4L.Garcia, 2B	1-3	2	0	0
5K.Ruiz, C	0-2	0	0	1
6J.Tena, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
7D.Crews, RF	2-3	2	1	2
8J.Gallo, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	100	5.2	2	3
LJ.Beeks, P	15	1.1	1	0
RK.Nicolas, P	13	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	25	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Bart, C	1-3	1	0	0
4A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5O.Cruz, CF	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
7C.Joe, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7R.Tellez, PH	1-1	1	1	2
7R.Tellez, 1B	1-1	1	1	2
7M.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8B.De La Cruz, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	0	0	0