Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 30, 2024

Mariners at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN
10 - 6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
James Paxton logoJ.PaxtonBoston Red Sox logo4.091-1
Luis Castillo logoL.CastilloSeattle Mariners logo3.6411-12

Mariners at Red Sox Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners
0-0
-1.5+125
o10.5-110
-120
Red Sox
0-0
+1.5-150
u10.5-110
+100
location pinTuesday 11:10 p.m.
July 30, 2024
Fenway ParkBoston
Mariners vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
115d ago
Last 30d: 268-257-8 (+9.1u)
L.Castillo u17.5 Outs+122
0.25u
Projection lands at 16.46 and a +ev pick with devig odds of +100 giving us value at this number
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
115d ago
Last 30d: 77-78-3 (-8.8u)
SEA -115
1u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
115d ago
Last 30d: 43-62-2 (-3.2u)
L.Castillo o5.5 Ks+115
0.5u
Over a 10% edge, per our Action Network projections.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
115d ago
Last 30d: 268-257-8 (+9.1u)
J.Paxton o4.5 Ks+135
1.35u
Projection lands at 4.8 and a +ev pick with devig odds of +107 giving us value at this number
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
116d ago
Last 30d: 27-53-0 (-7.1u)
Over 9.5-108
0.25u
Small to -111
Over 4.5 (F5)-120
0.25u
Bet to -150 or 5 (-110)

PRO Insights

Mariners logo

Mariners

SEA Insights
  • Mariners logoThe Mariners have scored 4.0 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB (6 games). The Red Sox have allowed 4.8 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- highest in MLB (6 games).
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Red Sox logo

Red Sox

BOS Insights
  • Red Sox logoRed Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 47% over the last two weeks -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 54% against the Mariners RPs over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.
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Mariners vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis

  • Mariners vs Red Sox: Why to Back Boston article feature image

    Mariners vs Red Sox: Why to Back Boston

    Kevin Rogers
    Jul 30, 2024 UTC
  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card

    Sean Zerillo
    Jul 30, 2024 UTC
  • Our 3 MLB Best Bets for Tuesday Night article feature image

    Our 3 MLB Best Bets for Tuesday Night

    Action Network Staff
    Jul 30, 2024 UTC
  • MLB Player Props Tuesday: Bets for Castillo, Glasnow and More article feature image

    MLB Player Props Tuesday: Bets for Castillo, Glasnow and More

    Alex Hinton
    Jul 30, 2024 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Mariners vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages

44%

Bets%

56%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
75-8732-4943-3830-4944-37
Mariners
74-8838-4336-4547-6226-26

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Red Sox
79-75-837-40-442-35-437-40-241-34-6
Mariners
76-76-1031-45-545-31-550-55-425-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
81-8138-4343-3842-3738-43
Mariners
85-7749-3236-4562-4723-29

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 29thSEAW 14-7-1.5 WO 8.5BOS -125
Jul 28thNYYL 2-8+1.5 LO 9NYY -105
Jul 27thNYYL 8-11+1.5 LO 10NYY -120
Jul 26thNYYW 9-7+1.5 WO 9.5BOS +105
Jul 24th@COLL 7-20-1.5 LO 10.5COL -148

Mariners vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Mariners Injuries

    Red Sox Injuries

    • Lucas Giolito
      P

      Giolito is out for season with elbow

      Out for Season

    • Garrett Whitlock
      P

      Whitlock is out with oblique

      Out

    • David Hamilton
      IF

      Hamilton is out with finger

      Out

    Mariners vs. Red Sox Box Score
    Mariners Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Luis Castillo logoRL.Castillo, P100643
    Tayler Saucedo logoLT.Saucedo, P170.213
    Collin Snider logoRC.Snider, P80.100
    Yimi Garcia logoRY.Garcia, P11110
    Andres Munoz logoRA.Munoz, P18120
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Victor Robles logo1V.Robles, CF2-5300
    Luke Raley logo1L.Raley, CF0-0000
    Randy Arozarena logo2R.Arozarena, LF1-5101
    Cal Raleigh logo3C.Raleigh, C0-5100
    Justin Turner logo4J.Turner, 1B1-5002
    Jorge Polanco logo5J.Polanco, 2B2-4312
    Dylan Moore logo6D.Moore, 3B2-3003
    Dylan Moore logo6D.Moore, SS2-3003
    Mitch Garver logo7M.Garver, DH0-4000
    Mitch Haniger logo8M.Haniger, RF1-3100
    Cade Marlowe logo8C.Marlowe, RF0-0000
    Leo Rivas logo9L.Rivas, SS1-2100
    Josh Rojas logo9J.Rojas, PH0-2000
    Josh Rojas logo9J.Rojas, 3B0-2000
    Red Sox Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    James Paxton logoLJ.Paxton, P724.153
    Zack Kelly logoRZ.Kelly, P160.101
    Yohan Ramirez logoRY.Ramirez, P291.112
    Cooper Criswell logoRC.Criswell, P32300
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Jarren Duran logo1J.Duran, CF1-5000
    Wilyer Abreu logo2W.Abreu, RF1-2100
    Rob Refsnyder logo2R.Refsnyder, PH0-2000
    Rob Refsnyder logo2R.Refsnyder, LF0-2000
    Masataka Yoshida logo3M.Yoshida, DH2-5200
    Rafael Devers logo4R.Devers, 3B3-5214
    Tyler O'Neill logo5T.O'Neill, LF1-5001
    Tyler O'Neill logo5T.O'Neill, RF1-5001
    Dominic Smith logo6D.Smith, 1B2-4001
    Connor Wong logo7C.Wong, C0-4000
    David Hamilton logo8D.Hamilton, 2B0-4000
    Ceddanne Rafaela logo9C.Rafaela, SS1-2100

    Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison

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    Mariners at Red Sox Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Mariners
    0-0
    o5.5-105
    u5.5-125
    Red Sox
    0-0
    o4.5-130
    u4.5+100