Mariners vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 20, 2024

Mariners at Guardians

5:10 pm • MLB Network

Seattle Mariners

6-6

3 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 6-6	PK-114	o8-118	-101
Guardians 1-2	PK+101	u8-103	-118

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

June 20, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

S.Kwan o1.5 Total Bases-105

SEA -115

$1150.00

CLE -130

1.54u

SEA +0.5 (F5)-150

1.5u

M’s are +.5 on MGM but action showing differently had to adjust if the bet doesn’t grade correctly I’ll add custom just fyi

SEA +110

SEA -115

1.15u

SEA +105

SEA -1.5+168

M.Garver o0.5 HR+500

0.2u

CLE -104

2.88u

SEA -125 (F5)

2.5u

Under 8.5-112

0.56u

Bet to -116

Featured Insight
The Mariners have allowed just 1.1 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (237 games). The Guardians have scored just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (232 games).

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .218 (1,118-for-5,120) against Guardians RPs since the 2022 season -- tied for second best in MLB. The Mariners are batting just .222 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 20, 2024 UTC
Mariners vs Guardians: Favor Seattle on Thursday
D.J. James•
Jun 20, 2024 UTC

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The Guardians are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Guardians are 16-9 (.640) after a loss this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.

The Mariners are 15-85 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Steven Kwan has an OPS of 1.010 this season -- third best among hitters with at least 106 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Tim Mayza has allowed an OPS of .879 (107 PAs) this season -- seventh worst among qualified RPs-- third Percentile.

Mitch Garver has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- 13th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Cade Smith has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.085 (117 PA's) versus the top of the order this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .740 -- second Percentile.

Luis Castillo has walked 35 of 432 batters (8%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- 16th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 27% (177 SO in 657 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 85th Percentile.

Logan Allen has walked 6 of 44 batters (14%) -- 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Mariners	69-93	36-45	33-48	44-69	24-22

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Mariners	88-68-6	41-35-5	47-33-1	58-49-6	28-18

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Mariners	90-72	51-30	39-42	66-47	22-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 19th	SEA	W 8-0	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -155
Jun 18th	SEA	L 5-8	-1.5 L	O 9	SEA -135
Jun 16th	@TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	TOR +100
Jun 15th	@TOR	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	TOR +105
Jun 14th	@TOR	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE +125

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	93	5	4	5
LT.Saucedo, P	13	1	0	0
RR.Stanek, P	25	1	2	0
RT.Thornton, P	22	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2D.Moore, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
3J.Rodriguez, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Garver, C	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Raleigh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Raleigh, C	0-1	0	0	0
5T.France, DH	0-2	1	0	0
6M.Haniger, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7T.Locklear, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Rojas, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8V.Robles, LF	1-2	0	0	0
8L.Raley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9R.Bliss, 2B	1-2	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	87	6	2	3
LT.Herrin, P	15	0.1	0	0
RC.Smith, P	21	1.2	2	0
RE.Clase, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-3	2	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	1	1	2
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5D.Fry, C	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Hedges, C	0-0	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	3-4	2	2	2
7D.Schneemann, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Freeman, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-2	0	0	0