Mariners vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 20, 2024

Mariners at Guardians

5:10 pm • MLB Network

Seattle Mariners

43-40

3 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

40-42

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 43-40	PK-114	o8-118	-101
Guardians 40-42	PK+101	u8-103	-118

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

June 20, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

S.Kwan o1.5 Total Bases-105

SEA -115

$1150.00

CLE -130

1.54u

SEA +0.5 (F5)-150

1.5u

M’s are +.5 on MGM but action showing differently had to adjust if the bet doesn’t grade correctly I’ll add custom just fyi

SEA +110

SEA -115

1.15u

SEA +105

SEA -1.5+168

M.Garver o0.5 HR+500

0.2u

CLE -104

2.88u

SEA -125 (F5)

2.5u

Under 8.5-112

0.56u

Bet to -116

Featured Insight
The Mariners have allowed just 1.1 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (237 games). The Guardians have scored just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (232 games).

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .218 (1,118-for-5,120) against Guardians RPs since the 2022 season -- tied for second best in MLB. The Mariners are batting just .222 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 20, 2024 UTC
Mariners vs Guardians: Favor Seattle on Thursday
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See more MLB Coverage

The Guardians are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Guardians are 16-9 (.640) after a loss this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.

The Mariners are 15-85 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Steven Kwan has an OPS of 1.010 this season -- third best among hitters with at least 106 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Tim Mayza has allowed an OPS of .879 (107 PAs) this season -- seventh worst among qualified RPs-- third Percentile.

Mitch Garver has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- 13th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Cade Smith has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.085 (117 PA's) versus the top of the order this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .740 -- second Percentile.

Luis Castillo has walked 35 of 432 batters (8%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- 16th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 27% (177 SO in 657 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 85th Percentile.

Logan Allen has walked 6 of 44 batters (14%) -- 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 22-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Guardians' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	39-43	17-23	22-20	15-16	24-26
Mariners	34-49	16-23	18-26	17-34	16-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	33-45-4	18-21-1	15-24-3	15-16	18-28-4
Mariners	45-34-4	20-16-3	25-18-1	28-19-4	15-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	40-42	20-20	20-22	19-12	21-29
Mariners	43-40	20-19	23-21	27-24	14-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 19th	SEA	W 8-0	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -155
Jun 18th	SEA	L 5-8	-1.5 L	O 9	SEA -135
Jun 16th	@TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	TOR +100
Jun 15th	@TOR	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	TOR +105
Jun 14th	@TOR	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE +125

Gabriel Arias
SS
Arias is out with leg
Out
Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	93	5	4	5
LT.Saucedo, P	13	1	0	0
RR.Stanek, P	25	1	2	0
RT.Thornton, P	22	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2D.Moore, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
3J.Rodriguez, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Garver, C	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Raleigh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Raleigh, C	0-1	0	0	0
5T.France, DH	0-2	1	0	0
6M.Haniger, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7T.Locklear, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Rojas, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8V.Robles, LF	1-2	0	0	0
8L.Raley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9R.Bliss, 2B	1-2	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	87	6	2	3
LT.Herrin, P	15	0.1	0	0
RC.Smith, P	21	1.2	2	0
RE.Clase, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-3	2	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	1	1	2
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5D.Fry, C	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Hedges, C	0-0	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	3-4	2	2	2
7D.Schneemann, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Freeman, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-2	0	0	0