Guardians vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2024

Guardians at Braves

5:35 pm • BSSO

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

3 - 4

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Elder			6.52	2-5
B.Lively			3.82	13-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-149	o9-118	+131
Braves 0-2	-1.5+124	u9-103	-155

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

April 28, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 9-102

0.98u

… windy unders Overall: 913-660-82,58% (ROI:12%) Season:9-2-1,82% (ROI:51%)

CLE +1-105

A.Riley o0.5 HR+400

0.2u

See note about recent lack of success despite good ABs from Riley

A.Riley o1.5 Total Bases+100

0.5u

Riley’s rolling fly ball and hard hit graph has been on the rise of late, the results just haven’t shown. Yesterday, he hit a ball 113.5 mph, 106.3 & 102.4. The day before a 109.4 mph deep fly out. Seeing the ball well, results should come Ben Lively in his 2 starts has give up a 52% hard-hit rate and just a 25.9 GB%. Lot of fly balls coming

Under 9.5-122

0.5u

Bet to 9 (-115)

CLE +163

0.5u

Bet to +155

Featured Insight
Guardians have won 69% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second best in MLB. Braves have won just 25% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 75% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- best in MLB. Guardians have won just 31% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Sunday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 28, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Ronald Acuna is slugging .554 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- third best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Andres Munoz has thrown his slider 56% of the time since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Jarred Kelenic has struck out in 32% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th highest among hitters with at least 523 total PA's-- third Percentile. Andres Munoz has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Ben Lively has a strikeout rate of 33% (14 SO in 42 PAs) this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 97th Percentile.

Bryce Elder has averaged 89.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	CLE	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -170
Apr 26th	CLE	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -270
Apr 24th	MIA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ATL -270
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -262
Apr 22nd	MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -218

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	88	4.1	5	1
RN.Sandlin, P	13	0.2	2	0
RC.Smith, P	9	1	1	0
RS.Barlow, P	14	1	3	0
RH.Gaddis, P	22	1	0	2
RT.Beede, P	10	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	8	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-5	0	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	0	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-3	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0
5D.Fry, DH	2-4	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-3	0	0
6R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0
6R.Laureano, RF	0-1	0	0
7T.Freeman, CF	1-4	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	1	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	2-3	2	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	85	5.1	2	2
LA.Bummer, P	35	1.2	2	1
LT.Matzek, P	9	1	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	16	1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	2	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	1
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	1	0
9C.Tromp, C	1-3	0	1
9T.d'Arnaud, PH	1-1	0	0
9T.d'Arnaud, C	1-1	0	0