Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 14, 2023

Diamondbacks at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SNET

Arizona Diamondbacks

15-13

2 - 7

Toronto Blue Jays

13-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Berrios			3.65	11-12
R.Nelson			5.31	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 15-13	+1.5-137	o9-120	+150
Blue Jays 13-15	-1.5+112	u9+100	-179

Friday 11:07 p.m.

July 14, 2023

Rogers CentreToronto

ARI +155

R.Nelson o15.5 Outs+125

$125.00

J.Berrios o17.5 Outs-135

J.Berrios o17.5 Outs-120

1.2u

Berrios is over this line in 11/L15 starts, incl 5/6 at home (miss was by 1 out). ARI really limped into the break (offensively) - last 2 weeks before the break, they had an 80 wRC+ vs righties (25th) and a .670 OPS (23rd). ARI also is below league avg in pitches per PA and Berrios at 3.72 is 23rd lowest out of 106. And as a team, ground ball pitching is the DBacks weakest split (.245 BA, .720 OPS).

TOR o4.5-145

2.07u

TOR o4.5-145

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The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Bo Bichette is slugging .487 on non-fastballs since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Kyle Nelson has thrown off-speed pitches 65% of the time since last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Bo Bichette is batting .308 against RHP this season -- eighth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .284 (55-for-194) against Ryne Nelson this season -- fourth worst among qualified SPs-- fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .286 against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for eighth best among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile. Opponents batted .402 (37-for-92) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- fifth worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .286 (16-for-56) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 -- 88th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 9-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Blue Jays' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	17-11	8-5	9-6	6-3	11-7
Diamondbacks	14-14	7-9	7-5	10-11	4-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	10-18	7-6	3-12	3-6	6-12
Diamondbacks	15-10-3	7-6-3	8-4	11-7-3	4-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	13-15	8-5	5-10	6-3	7-11
Diamondbacks	15-13	8-8	7-5	11-10	4-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 9th	@DET	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8	TOR -138
Jul 8th	@DET	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 8	DET -225
Jul 7th	@DET	W 12-2	-1.5 W	O 9	TOR -137
Jul 7th	@CWS	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	TOR -135
Jul 6th	@CWS	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	TOR -140

Daulton Varsho
CF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Blaze Alexander
SS
Alexander is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	97	5.2	3	1
LK.Nelson, P	12	0.1	0	1
RA.Adams, P	28	0.2	0	3
RJ.Martinez, P	27	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
3C.Carroll, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5L.Gurriel, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6E. Longoria, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
6D.Canzone, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.McCarthy, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8G.Moreno, C	2-4	1	1	1
9A.Thomas, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	90	5.1	4	1
RT.Richards, P	24	1.2	3	1
RN.Pearson, P	14	1	2	0
RJ.Jackson, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Bichette, SS	2-5	0	0	0
3B. Belt, DH	2-4	0	0	1
3C.Biggio, PR	1-1	1	0	0
3C.Biggio, DH	1-1	1	0	0
4V.Guerrero, 1B	2-5	2	1	1
5M.Chapman, 3B	3-4	2	0	1
6W.Merrifield, 2B	2-5	1	0	2
7D.Varsho, LF	1-3	0	0	0
8D.Jansen, C	1-4	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-3	1	0	1