Cubs vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2023

Cubs at White Sox

12:10 am • NBCS-CHI

Chicago Cubs

72-54

10 - 7

Chicago White Sox

45-81

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 72-54	-1.5+140	o9-105	-125
White Sox 45-81	+1.5-170	u9-115	+105

Thursday 12:10 a.m.

July 27, 2023

Rate FieldChicago

Over 9+100

L.Lynn u18.5 Outs-168

0.6u

M.Stroman o4.5 Ks-110

CWS +106

Available at FanDuel. This number has bounced around all morning (it was +102 a few minutes ago), and there's a chance it moves again soon. But as long as the White Sox are underdogs, I think they're a quality bet. My model puts them at 55.6% to win versus 48.5% implied. They're up there because Lance Lynn has been on a heater since reintroducing his curveball. It's a seven-start sample, and he has a 3.30 SIERA with a 32.6% strikeout rate in that time. He hasn't had the best results, but his batted-ball data is largely fine, and he has faced some tough teams. This time around, he's at home against a team with a league-average wRC+ against righties. The White Sox's offense is rough, but it's possible getting Yoan Moncada back can help at least a bit. I agree with the model that the market is too light on the Sox here.

Over 8.5-115

0.5u

Bet to -122 or 9 (-103)

CWS +110

0.5u

Bet to +101

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 36-28 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of White Sox' 62 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	72-54	36-26	36-28	0-2	72-52
Cubs	60-66	30-34	30-32	44-45	16-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	57-62-7	32-25-5	25-37-2	0-2	57-60-7
Cubs	58-61-7	29-31-4	29-30-3	39-45-5	19-16-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	45-81	26-36	19-45	1-1	44-80
Cubs	72-54	40-24	32-30	57-32	15-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	CHC	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CHC -105
Jul 23rd	@MIN	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN +134
Jul 22nd	@MIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +112
Jul 22nd	@MIN	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8	MIN +130
Jul 20th	@NYM	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	CWS +139

Ky Bush
SP
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
SP
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

Jameson Taillon
SP
Taillon is out with calf
Out
Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	85	3.1	4	7
RJ.Assad, P	24	1.2	1	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	18	2	2	0
RM.Leiter, P	11	1	1	0
RA.Alzolay, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	1-5	1	0	1
2N.Hoerner, 2B	2-3	1	0	2
3I.Happ, LF	2-4	2	1	2
4C.Bellinger, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
5S.Suzuki, RF	0-2	1	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	0-5	0	0	0
7C.Morel, DH	1-4	2	0	2
8M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	1-5	2	0	0
9T.Barnhart, C	1-2	0	0	1
9Y.Gomes, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	1-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	100	4.2	5	7
RJ.Kelly, P	26	0	1	1
LA.Bummer, P	29	1.1	2	0
RK.Graveman, P	20	1	1	0
RK.Middleton, P	25	1	2	2
RT.Toussaint, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Benintendi, LF	1-4	2	0	0
2T.Anderson, SS	2-4	2	0	1
3L.Robert, CF	1-5	1	0	1
4E.Jimenez, DH	2-5	0	0	4
5Y.Moncada, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Vaughn, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Burger, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
8O.Colas, RF	1-4	1	0	0
9S.Zavala, C	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Sheets, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9Y.Grandal, C	0-0	0	0	0