Cubs vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 23, 2025

Cubs at Reds

10:40 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

4-4

13 - 6

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.76	7-4
M.Boyd			3.21	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 4-4	-1.5	-1.5+147	o8.5-105	-116
Reds 0-2	u8.5	+1.5-175	u8.5-120	-103

Friday 10:40 p.m.

May 23, 2025

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

M.Boyd u5.5 Ks+115

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

M.Boyd u5.5 Ks+115

1.15u

Boyd has cleared this line in 4 straight, but that’s largely due to an easier schedule — and this sets up as a sharp sell-high spot. The Reds rank 4th in K% on the season, but today’s lineup projects closer to league average. Boyd’s 24.8% K rate has outpaced his expected mark (21.6% in my model), so some regression looks likely. His best strikeout pitch is the slider (35%+ whiff rate), and while the Reds have struggled badly against sliders (worst whiff rate in MLB), they’re right around league average vs. fastballs, changeups, and curveballs — which is notable because Boyd leans on that mix against right-handed hitters, and the Reds are sending up 8 of them today. His most likely K range is 4–6, and with the under, we win on 2 of those 3 outcomes. I project this closer to -140, making +115 a strong value.

M.Boyd o5.5 Ks-127

1.5u

K.Tucker o0.5 HR+380

0.5u

S.Suzuki o0.5 HR+425

2.13u

CHC -105 (F5)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-150

0.5u

Under 8.5-110

365

Under 8.5-104

0.52u

Bet to -115

M.Boyd o17.5 Outs-130

1.3u

Cubs vs Reds: +180 SGP for Friday
Chilly Bets•
May 23, 2025 UTC
5 Home Run Prop Bets & Parlay for Friday
Grant Neiffer•
May 23, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Reds' 79 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34
Cubs	78-84	39-42	39-42	55-60	22-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6
Cubs	74-78-10	40-36-5	34-42-5	52-56-7	22-21-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44
Cubs	92-70	50-31	42-39	73-42	18-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 21st	@PIT	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -128
May 20th	@PIT	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -145
May 19th	@PIT	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CIN -116
May 18th	CLE	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 9	CIN -135
May 17th	CLE	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 10	CIN -105

Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
RP
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Boyd, P	93	4	3	4
RJ.Merryweather, P	32	0.2	0	2
RC.Flexen, P	14	1.1	0	0
RB.Keller, P	17	1	1	0
LD.Pomeranz, P	15	1	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	1-4	2	0	0
2K.Tucker, DH	1-5	1	0	2
3S.Suzuki, RF	3-5	3	1	3
4P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	3-5	2	2	6
5C.Kelly, C	1-4	1	0	0
6M.Busch, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	1-4	1	1	2
8N.Hoerner, 2B	3-5	2	0	0
9M.Shaw, 3B	0-5	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	83	4	2	2
RS.Barlow, P	18	1.1	3	0
LT.Rogers, P	10	0.2	0	0
RI.Gibaut, P	12	0.1	0	3
RT.Santillan, P	17	0	0	3
LB.Suter, P	35	1.2	2	3
RL.Mey, P	23	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	2-5	1	1
2S.Espinal, 3B	1-4	1	0
3E.De La Cruz, SS	1-5	1	0
4A.Hays, LF	2-5	1	1
5S.Steer, 1B	3-5	1	1
6T.Stephenson, DH	1-4	1	1
7J.Trevino, C	0-2	0	0
7G.Lux, PH	0-0	0	0
7A.Wynns, C	1-1	0	0
8C.Joe, RF	1-2	0	0
8W.Benson, PH	0-2	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-2	0	0
9M.McLain, 2B	1-4	0	0