Cubs vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2023

Cubs at Giants

2:15 am • NBCS-BA

Chicago Cubs

11-5

3 - 2

San Francisco Giants

16-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.DeSclafani			4.88	4-8
M.Stroman			3.95	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 11-5	-1.5+165	o8-102	+100
Giants 16-5	+1.5-192	u8-110	-120

Saturday 2:15 a.m.

June 10, 2023

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

SF -119

1.19u

A.DeSclafani u4.5 Ks-105

Went over this on our Discord channel, but he’s pitching to contact more this year (only a 7.7% swinging strike rate) and not getting hitters to chase as much. He’s also not going deep into games. Only 80+ pitches in 2 of last 5 games. I’m probably being too generous with some of his underlying projections and still showing a fair price for his under closer to -155

A.DeSclafani u17.5 Outs+100

My daily fade of a pitcher vs the Cubs continues. Descalafani started hot this season, but is now under this line in 4/L5 starts. Desclafani is slider- heavy. He throws it 43% of the time. Over the course of the season, the spin rate, and to some extent the velocity have dropped over the course of the season. Over the L3 games, opponents are 11/27 against it, with 6 XBH. The Cubs rank 11th in wRC per 100 sliders seen, and their low chase rate should drive up descalafani’s pitch count (slider out of zone rate hovering at 45%).

M.Stroman o17.5 Outs-130

$153.85

Over 7-120

0.6u

Bet to -122 or 7.5 (-103)

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The Giants are 7-5 (.583) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

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MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cubs	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cubs	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cubs	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 8th	@COL	W 6-4	-1.5 W	U 12	SF -175
Jun 8th	@COL	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 11	SF -230
Jun 7th	@COL	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 11	SF -165
Jun 4th	BAL	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	BAL -108
Jun 4th	BAL	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	SF -132

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	91	6.2	5	2
RM.Leiter, P	26	1.1	2	0
RA.Alzolay, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Madrigal, 2B	0-3	0	0
1N.Madrigal, 3B	0-3	0	0
2M.Tauchman, CF	0-4	0	0
3S.Suzuki, RF	3-3	1	0
4I.Happ, DH	0-3	1	0
5D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0
6M.Mervis, 1B	0-3	1	0
7P.Wisdom, 3B	1-1	0	0
7N.Hoerner, PH	2-2	0	2
7N.Hoerner, 2B	2-2	0	2
8C.Morel, LF	0-3	0	0
9T.Barnhart, C	1-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.DeSclafani, P	93	6	2	2
RR.Walker, P	22	0.2	1	1
RT.Beck, P	23	2.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	0-2	1	0
2J.Pederson, DH	4-4	0	1
3T.Estrada, 2B	1-4	0	1
4M.Conforto, RF	0-4	0	0
5M.Yastrzemski, CF	1-4	0	0
6B.Sabol, LF	0-3	0	0
7P.Bailey, C	0-2	0	0
7J.Davis, PH	0-1	0	0
8C.Schmitt, 3B	0-3	0	0
8W.Flores, PH	0-1	0	0
9B.Crawford, SS	1-4	1	0