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Cardinals vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2025

Cardinals at Reds

4:40 pm • FDSMW

St. Louis Cardinals

54-52
1
1 - 9

Cincinnati Reds

55-50
9
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Andrew Abbott logoA.AbbottCincinnati Reds logo2.098-1
Matthew Liberatore logoM.LiberatoreSt. Louis Cardinals logo4.046-8

Cardinals at Reds Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals
54-52
N/A
N/A
N/A
Reds
55-50
N/A
N/A
N/A
location pinThursday 4:40 p.m.
May 01, 2025
Great American Ball ParkCincinnati
Cardinals vs. Reds Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 58-37-1 (+17.9u)
CIN -118 (Live)
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 2-5-0 (+0.3u)
A.Abbott u4.5 Ks+105
0.53u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 53-44-2 (-0.2u)
A.Abbott u4.5 Ks+105
1u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 11-17-0 (-3.7u)
A.Abbott u4.5 Ks+105
1.05u
Abbott has looked strong early (6.7 K/game, 33% K rate), but he’s faced a soft schedule and draws his toughest test yet against the Cardinals. He’s struggled to consistently throw strikes — especially first-pitch strikes — and STL swings at the first pitch at the 6th-lowest rate in the league, giving them a good shot to get ahead in counts. That’s a bad setup against a disciplined lineup, especially with ump Nate Tomlinson who has been squeezing pitchers hard this year. My sim shows slight value on the under (projected -110), but the real signal comes from the S&K 500 model, where Abbott is a strong sell with a +19.4 Priority Score — good for official Club 17 access. He’s cleared this line in 2 of 3 starts, but I have him getting pulled just before he can face the softer 5-7 and 9 spots a third time. Great time to sell high.
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
S.Steer o0.5 HR+520
1.3u
S.Steer o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
0.65u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 157-164-11 (+7.7u)
Over 8.5-115
0.5u
Bet to 9 (+100)
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 77-78-8 (+44.6u)
STL +102
1u
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Cardinals vs. Reds Previews & Analysis

  • 3 MLB Players Props for Thursday’s Slate article feature image

    3 MLB Players Props for Thursday’s Slate

    Alex Hinton•
    May 1, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Cardinals vs. Reds Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Cardinals

Public

Home Logo

Reds

50%

Bets%

50%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Reds are 27-26 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Reds' 51 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds		55-4928-2327-2622-2533-23
Cardinals		56-5029-2327-2721-2834-22

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Reds		41-59-417-31-324-28-112-32-328-27-1
Cardinals		54-47-528-22-226-25-325-20-428-27-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds		55-5029-2225-2825-2229-27
Cardinals		54-5231-2123-3126-2327-29

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 30thSTLL 1-9+1.5 LO 9.5STL -118
Apr 30thSTLL 0-6-1.5 LU 9STL -150
Apr 28thSTLW 3-1+1.5 WU 9.5CIN -122
Apr 27th@COLW 8-1-1.5 WU 11.5CIN -162
Apr 26th@COLW 6-4-1.5 WU 10.5CIN -212

Cardinals vs. Reds Injury Updates

Cardinals Injuries

  • Nolan Gorman
    2B

    Gorman is out with back

    Out

Reds Injuries

  • Noelvi Marte
    3B

    Marte is day-to-day with side

    Day-to-Day

  • Brandon Williamson
    SP

    Williamson is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Graham Ashcraft
    RP

    Ashcraft is out with groin

    Out

  • Julian Aguiar
    SP

    Aguiar is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Rhett Lowder
    SP

    Lowder is out with elbow

    Out

  • Carson Spiers
    RP

    Spiers is out with shoulder

    Out

See more MLB Injuries Right Arrow
Cardinals vs. Reds Box Score
Cardinals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Matthew Liberatore logoLM.Liberatore, P42322
Matt Svanson logoRM.Svanson, P44222
Riley O'Brien logoRR.O'Brien, P341.223
John King logoLJ.King, P241.111
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Lars Nootbaar logo1L.Nootbaar, LF0-4000
Masyn Winn logo2M.Winn, SS0-4000
Brendan Donovan logo3B.Donovan, 2B1-3100
Nolan Arenado logo4N.Arenado, 3B1-3000
Nolan Gorman logo4N.Gorman, PH0-1000
Willson Contreras logo5W.Contreras, 1B0-2000
Alec Burleson logo5A.Burleson, PH0-1000
Luken Baker logo6L.Baker, DH0-3000
Jordan Walker logo7J.Walker, RF0-2000
Yohel Pozo logo8Y.Pozo, C1-3000
Jose Barrero logo9J.Barrero, CF0-3000
Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Andrew Abbott logoLA.Abbott, P74431
Graham Ashcraft logoRG.Ashcraft, P31340
Taylor Rogers logoLT.Rogers, P12110
Luis Mey logoRL.Mey, P15110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
TJ Friedl logo1T.Friedl, CF1-4200
Matt McLain logo2M.McLain, 2B1-5001
Elly De La Cruz logo3E.De La Cruz, SS0-3100
Noelvi Marte logo4N.Marte, 3B2-4201
Santiago Espinal logo5S.Espinal, LF2-4102
Spencer Steer logo6S.Steer, 1B2-3111
Gavin Lux logo7G.Lux, DH0-3101
Jose Trevino logo8J.Trevino, C1-3113
Blake Dunn logo9B.Dunn, RF0-4000

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds Comparison

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Cardinals at Reds Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Cardinals
54-52
N/A
N/A
Reds
55-50
N/A
N/A